Estoril vs Estrela prediction 11.08.2025 | Liga Portugal
Kick off:
Date:
1
2.10
X
3.20
2
3.40
Contents
- Competition: Liga Portugal
- Date: Monday, 11th August, 2025
- Kickoff: 18:45 UK / 19:45 CEST
- Venue: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril)
One of the leagues that is about to start this week is the Liga Portugal. The game we will focus on is between Estoril and Estrela, which will take place at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota in Estoril. These teams have very different goals before the start of the season. While Estril are aiming to be competitive and hopefully secure Europe, Estrela are only looking to survive.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Estoril
4 : 0
Estrela Amadora
Liga Portugal
-
Estrela Amadora
2 : 4
Estoril
Liga Portugal
-
Estoril
1 : 0
Estrela Amadora
Liga Portugal
-
Estrela Amadora
2 : 1
Estoril
Liga Portugal
Last season, these teams met twice, with Estoril dominating both matches (4:0 and 4:2). If we look further back, these teams met seven times - Estoril won three times, and Estrela won four times. We can see that Estrela were better in the past, but Estoril are doing a much better job lately.
Estoril team overview
Last year was Estoril's best season since returning to the Portuguese top-flight division in the 2021/22 season. They finished eighth with 46 points in 34 matches - 11 points away from fifth place and European spots. Even though they were fairly far away from Europe, the danger spots were nowhere near as they finished 19 points away from it.
Over the transfer window, the club was very active, adding seven new players and one on a loan deal. Still, a few important defenders from last season left, and it is difficult to predict whether they are better or worse than last season. Judging only from the friendlies, the Canaries are not looking that great after losing four out of six games.
Last matches of
-
Estoril
4 : 0
Estrela Amadora
Liga Portugal
-
Moreirense
2 : 2
Estoril
Liga Portugal
-
Famalicao
3 : 0
Estoril
Liga Portugal
-
AVS
0 : 3
Estoril
Liga Portugal
-
Estoril
1 : 2
Porto
Liga Portugal
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
27
Joel Robles
Defenders
-
24
Pedro Amaral
-
25
Felix Bacher
-
44
Kevin Boma
-
5
Diogo Brasido
Midfielders
-
12
Joao Carvalho
-
10
Jordan Holsgrove
-
6
Patrick de Paula
-
18
Goncalo Costa
Forwards
-
99
Rafik Guitane
-
9
Alejandro Marques
Estrela team overview
Estrela secured promotion to Liga Portugal in 2022/23 and had massive problems surviving in the following two seasons. They finished 14th and 15th, just one and two points away from the relegation play-out spot. So, expecting a much different outcome this season is improbable.
Over the Summer, the club has been active. Maybe even too active as they added 19 players (one on a loan deal), and 14 players left the team! That many chances during one offseason often backfire, especially at the start of the season.
Last matches of
-
Estoril
4 : 0
Estrela Amadora
Liga Portugal
-
Estrela Amadora
0 : 1
AVS
Liga Portugal
-
Rio Ave
2 : 0
Estrela Amadora
Liga Portugal
-
Estrela Amadora
2 : 0
Porto
Liga Portugal
-
Estrela Amadora
0 : 1
Farense
Liga Portugal
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
40
Renan Ribeiro
Defenders
-
14
Bernardo Schappo
-
55
Sidny Cabral
-
79
Atanas Chernev
-
30
Luan Patrick
Midfielders
-
12
Amine Oudrhiri
-
8
Robinho
-
21
Guilherme Montoia
Forwards
-
9
Rodrigo Pinho
-
11
Jovane
-
99
Abraham Marcus
Prediction
During the pre-season, Estoril were absolutely terrible, losing four out of six games. Their offense haven't been on an expected level, particularly in the last two games, as they failed to score vs Millwall and Nottingham. Yes, those are only friendly matches, but they used their key players, and those two performances are undoubtedly reasons for concern before the season's opener.
Meanwhile, Estrela went under 2.5 goals in three out of four games in the pre-season and were fantastic for this bet last season. They went under 2.5 goals in 68% of their games (23 out of 34). Only Santa Clara had more games with fewer than three goals (24). But away from home, Estrela have been the best team in the league for this bet because they were absolutely terrible offensively, scoring just six goals in 17 rounds - 0.35 per game.
Considering all the above, we expect both teams to struggle offensively in the season opener, and an under 2.5 goals bet should be the safest option for the upcoming Liga Portugal tie.
3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals
- Estoril failed to score in the last two friendlies vs Millwall and Nottingham
- Estrela went under 2.5 goals in three out of four friendlies
- Estrela scored only six goals in 17 away league games last season
Main prediction -
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
Megapari
1.77
vs standings in Liga Portugal
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 - 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 - 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 - 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | Vitória SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Sporting Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Famalicão | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | AVS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 - 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 - 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 - 2 | -2 | 0 |