Panevėžys vs HJK prediction 09.07.2024 | Champions League



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HJK Helsinki

HJK Helsinki







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  • Competition: Champions League Qualifiers, 1st Round, 1st Leg
  • Date: Tuesday, 9th July, 2024
  • Kickoff: 16:30 UTC +1 / 17:30 CEST
  • Venue: Aukstaitijos Stadium (Panevėžys)

On Tuesday afternoon, Lithuanian champions Panevezys will face off against Finish champs HJK in the Champions League First Qualifying round at Aukstaitijos Stadium Panevėžys.

Panevezys had a historic previous season as they managed to win their first league title in a pretty dominant fashion, leaving the greatest Lithuanian club, Zalgiris, 12 points behind. However, this season is a pure contrast to the last one, as they are on a path to relegation. Right now, they are 9th (which leads to a relegation playout) with only 21 points in 21 matches. A big reason for their terrible season is their road record, and in order to secure the next round of Champions League Qualifiers, they have to do well in the first game in Lithuania.

HJK are the greatest Finnish club. In recent years, they have been by far the best team in Finland, winning the last four league titles and six of the previous seven. This season, they are once again looking like the best team in the country and are the favorite to win another title. In Europe, HJK rarely went past the 2nd Round of the CL Qualifiers but secured the Conference League and Europe League Group phase in the last three consecutive seasons.

Panevezys vs HJK pick: Under 2.5 goals

Panevezys are in terrible form. They have lost back-to-back league games against Hegelmann and Banga and failed to score in those two matches. They are generally terrible offensively this season and have averaged only 0.71 per game. Because of poor offense, they were under 2.5 goals in 16 out of 21 league games.

Similarly to Panevezys, HJK are also in poor form. They won just once in the last three games and scored only two goals. Additionally, they are a team that struggles away from home in Europe (Group and stage combined). They won just three games in 21 road games, and it is hard to expect a good offensive performance, even against struggling Panevezys.

Considering all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet should be the safest option for this match.


Panevėžys team news

Due to injury, the team will miss goalkeeper Tomas Svedkauskas. Luckily for Panevezys, their best goalkeeper, Vytautas Cerniauskas, just recovered and played an entire match against Hegelmann.

Additionally, one of the better offensive players, Ariagner Smith, will remain sidelined with a long-term injury. 

Last matches of Panevėžys

  1. Panevėžys

    0 : 1

    Hegelmann Litauen

    A Lyga

  2. Panevėžys

    0 : 1


    A Lyga

  3. Suduva

    1 : 3


    A Lyga

  4. Panevėžys

    2 : 0


    A Lyga

  5. TransINVEST Vilnius

    3 : 0


    A Lyga

Panevėžys lineup


  • 1

    Vytautas Cerniauskas


  • 29

    Markas Beneta

  • 4

    Kaspars Dubra

  • 2

    Linas Klimavicius

  • 72

    Robert Mazan


  • 20

    Jovan Cadjenovic

  • 31

    Federico Palacios

  • 5

    Nicolas Gorbasov


  • 23

    Jeffrey Sarpong

  • 28

    Sivert Gussias

  • 7

    Ernestas Veliulis

HJK Helsinki

HJK team news

After a 3:0 loss against Ilves in the last game before Panevezys, coach Toni Koreakunnas spoke to the media. He was clearly unhappy, saying it was a collective failure, and noted the home team played really well today. "We had a plan, and it got complicated when the home team got a few quick goals early on," the coach added.

HJK's total market value is almost nine million euros, compared to Panevezys' 5.5 million euros. 

Last matches of HJK Helsinki

  1. FC Ilves

    3 : 0

    HJK Helsinki


  2. IFK Mariehamn

    1 : 2

    HJK Helsinki


  3. EIF

    4 : 2

    HJK Helsinki

    Finland Cup

  4. HJK Helsinki

    3 : 1



  5. TuPS

    0 : 5

    HJK Helsinki

    Finland Cup

HJK Helsinki lineup


  • 1

    Jesse Ost


  • 6

    Aapo Halme

  • 4

    Joona Toivio

  • 45

    Diogo Tomas


  • 27

    Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan

  • 14

    Nunoo Sarpei

  • 10

    Lucas Lingman

  • 30

    Noah Pallas


  • 7

    Santeri Hostikka

  • 9

    Luke Plange

  • 18

    Topi Keskinen

3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Panevezys failed to score in the last two games
  2. Panevezys were under 2.5 goals in 16 of 21 league games
  3. HJK scored three goals in the last three games

Main prediction Panevėžys - HJK Helsinki

Under 2.5 goals



54% winrate


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Panevėžys vs HJK - FAQ

? Who could be the goalscorer for Panevezys?

Sivert Gussias, who scored two goals in 16 league games this season.

? Who could be the goalscorer for HJK?

Luke Plange, who scored six goals in 16 league games this season.