Leganes vs Valencia prediction 04.10.2024 | La Liga

• Competition: La Liga
• Date: Friday, 4th October, 2024
• Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
• Venue: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Last year, Leganes managed to return to La Liga after a four-year wait. They won the La Liga 2 title, but their only goal this season is to somehow secure survival. "Los Pepineros" had a promising start, collecting five points in their first three matches. Unfortunately, they couldn't maintain that momentum and now find themselves in 16th place, with just seven points from eight games. What's even more concerning is that their schedule has been relatively favorable, as they only faced Bilbao and Real Betis from the teams that finished in the upper half of the league's table last year. So, these games against out-of-form teams like Valencia are highly important for their survival.

IOver the past five seasons, Valencia has consistently finished between 9th and 14th place, far from challenging for European competition.This year, the popular "Bats" have had an absolutely terrible start, winning just five points in both rounds. Right now, they are in the relegation zone (18th place) with five points in eight rounds. On paper, they have a really good squad, capable of much more. However, for now, they haven't shown much, especially away from home, where they are still looking for their first points.

Leganes vs Valencia pick: Under 2.5 goals

These teams have been absolutely atrocious offensively this season, scoring five goals each in eight rounds - 0.62 per game. Moreover, Leganes's defense have been pretty good, which makes them perfect for this type of bet. So far, they were under 2.5 goals in seven out of eight games (87.5%).

As we said, Valencia have been terrible offensively, but their road record is even more worrisome. They lost all four games and scored just once, so it is unreal to expect a dominant offensive performance against anyone in the league at this point.

Traditionally, these teams played only low-scoring games and were under 2.5 goals in the last five h2h games. Considering the previous h2h games, both teams' poor offensive performances, and all the above, we believe that an under 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for this La Liga tie.