Girona vs Atletico Madrid prediction 25.05.2025 | La Liga

• Competition: La Liga
• Date: Sunday, 25th May, 2025
• Kickoff: 13:00 UK / 14:00 CEST
• Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)

Girona returned to reality this season after a remarkable campaign last year when they secured a Champions League spot and finished third in La Liga. The White and Reds struggled both domestically and in Europe, managing just three points from eight Champions League matches. In La Liga, they flirted with relegation but managed to create some separation after winning two games in the last four. Now, they sit in 15th place with 41 points from 37 rounds - four away from the danger zone. As a result, there's little at stake for them in the final match of the season.

Since winning the title in the 2020/21 season, Atletico Madrid have been third (twice) and fourth once. This year, "Colchoneros" are around their usual placement as they are occupying third place with 73 points from 37 matches. They have already secured the Champions League appearance and are three points away from the fourth-placed Athletic Bilbao. Since they have better h2h stats against Bilbao, the third place is guaranteed, and they have nothing to play for in this match.

Girona vs Atletico Madrid pick: Over 2.5 goals

This season, Girona have been pretty good for this bet, especially at home, where 67% of their games (12 out of 18) ended with three or more goals. Only Barcelona and Villarreal had more games (13) with three or more goals.

Meanwhile, Atletico Madrid weren't among the best teams in La Liga for this bet. However, that changed lately, mostly due to an excellent offense. In the last eight matches, they scored 17 goals (2.125 per game), and we believe they can score at least a couple against Girona.

In the previous h2h game, Atletico Madrid won 3:0. Moreover, we saw three or more goals in five consecutive h2h games. Also, since both teams have no particular motive in this match, we do not expect them to put too much effort into defense. Considering the trend during the previous h2h games and all the above, we believe that an over 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for this La Liga tie.