Napoli vs Cagliari prediction 23.05.2025 | Serie A

Kick off:

Date:

1

1.18

X

8.70

2

19.50

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Friday, 23rd May 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples)

Friday will be the most important day for Napoli this season. They are one point above Inter Milan and with a win in the final round, Antonio Conte's team will win their fourth title in history. Before the season, most pundits didn't see the possibility of Napoli finishing in front of Inter, but consistency brought them just one step away from a big success. 

Napoli had a chance to finish the job earlier, but they won only two points in the last two matches. Last weekend, Conte's team played 0-0 on the road against Parma. The guests had the ball possession on their side, but they created xG of only 0.38, so they couldn't find a way to the net and victory. 

Cagliari started as one of the lowest-budget teams in Serie A, but they found a way to secure relegation and enter the final round stress-free. Cagliari haven't played great lately, with two defeats in the last three matches. However, they won 3-0 at home against Venezia in the previous round. The home side showed significantly more throughout the game and recorded an important victory. 

Napoli vs Cagliari pick: Napoli to win and cover the AH -2 spread

Napoli are great at home lately, as they have won four of the previous five matches at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. We should expect a convincing Napoli win on Friday night and a big celebration at the end of the game. 

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Cagliari

    0 : 4

    Napoli

    Serie A

  2. Cagliari

    1 : 1

    Napoli

    Serie A

  3. Napoli

    2 : 1

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  4. Cagliari

    1 : 1

    Napoli

    Serie A

  5. Napoli

    2 : 0

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  6. Napoli

    1 : 1

    Cagliari

    Serie A

Napoli team news

Napoli's head coach, Antonio Conte, got a red card late in the previous round and will not lead the team in the last game of the season. Juan Jesus, Stanislav Lobotka, and Alessandro Buongiorno are injured and will skip the final round as well. 

Last matches of

  1. Napoli

    2 : 0

    Torino

    Serie A

  2. Napoli

    3 : 0

    Empoli

    Serie A

  3. Napoli

    2 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  4. Venezia FC

    0 : 0

    Napoli

    Serie A

  5. Napoli

    2 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Alex Meret

Defenders

  • 22

    Giovanni Di Lorenzo

  • 13

    Amir Rrahmani

  • 17

    Mathias Olivera

  • 37

    Leonardo Spinazzola

Midfielders

  • 21

    Matteo Politano

  • 99

    Andre Zambo Anguissa

  • 6

    Billy Gilmour

  • 8

    Scott McTominay

Forwards

  • 11

    Romelu Lukaku

  • 81

    Giacomo Raspadori

Cagliari team news

Cagliari could have a full squad on Friday against Napoli as they don't have any injuries. Also, Leonardo Pavoletti should return after skipping the previous match due to suspension. 

Last matches of

  1. Como

    3 : 1

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  2. Inter Milan

    3 : 1

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  3. Empoli

    0 : 0

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  4. Cagliari

    3 : 0

    AC Monza

    Serie A

  5. AS Roma

    1 : 0

    Cagliari

    Serie A

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    Elia Caprile

Defenders

  • 28

    Gabriele Zappa

  • 26

    Yerry Mina

  • 6

    Sebastiano Luperto

Midfielders

  • 19

    Nadir Zortea

  • 8

    Michel Adopo

  • 29

    Antoine Makoumbou

  • 14

    Alessandro Deiola

  • 3

    Tommaso Augello

Forwards

  • 77

    Zito Luvumbo

  • 91

    Roberto Piccoli

4 Reasons why Napoli should win and cover AH -2 spread

  1. Napoli won four of the last five games at the home stadium
  2. Napoli have an 11:4 goal difference in the previous five home matches
  3. Cagliari lost two of the last three matches
  4. Cagliari will play without much motivation in the final round

Main prediction -

AH1 (-2)

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

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1.78

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& current standing in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Napoli 37 23 10 4 57 - 27 +30 79
2 Inter 37 23 9 5 77 - 35 +42 78
3 Atalanta 37 22 8 7 76 - 34 +42 74
4 Juventus 37 17 16 4 55 - 33 +22 67
5 Roma 37 19 9 9 54 - 35 +19 66
6 Lazio 37 18 11 8 61 - 48 +13 65
7 Fiorentina 37 18 8 11 57 - 39 +18 62
8 Bologna 37 16 14 7 56 - 44 +12 62
9 Milan 37 17 9 11 59 - 43 +16 60
10 Como 37 13 10 14 49 - 50 -1 49
11 Torino 37 10 14 13 39 - 43 -4 44
12 Udinese 37 12 8 17 39 - 53 -14 44
13 Genoa 37 9 13 15 34 - 48 -14 40
14 Cagliari 37 9 9 19 40 - 54 -14 36
15 Hellas Verona 37 9 7 21 32 - 65 -33 34
16 Parma 37 6 15 16 41 - 56 -15 33
17 Empoli 37 6 13 18 32 - 57 -25 31
18 Lecce 37 7 10 20 26 - 58 -32 31
19 Venezia 37 5 14 18 30 - 53 -23 29
20 Monza 37 3 9 25 28 - 67 -39 18

Napoli vs Cagliari - FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Napoli this season?

The average xG for Napoli in Serie A this season is 1.45.

? How much is the average xG for Cagliari this season?

The average xG for Cagliari in Serie A this season is 1.21.