Paraguay vs Brazil prediction 29.06.2024 | Copa America
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Contents
- Competition: Copa America
- Date: Saturday, 29th June, 2024
- Kickoff: 02:00 UTC +1 / 03:00 CEST
- Venue: Allegiant Stadium (Paradise, NV)
Paraguay are #58th on the FIFA World Ranking List and the second-worst team in the South American region, only above Bolivia. They are definitely a team on the decline, as they failed to appear in the last three World Cups and were far from impressive in this WC Qualifications cycle. However, they did have some success in the Copa America, reaching the Quarter-Finals in the previous two tournaments. Unfortunately for them, they opened this Copa America with a loss against Colombia and are under pressure to win points in the upcoming game in order to have some chance of reaching the second stage.
Brazil, one of the best national teams in the World, have been far from its expected level in recent years. They have not won a title in the last five World Cups and have won only one Copa America title in the last five tournaments. Even when they did win, it was as the hosts. In this Copa America, Brazil opened with a goalless draw against Costa Rica. However, the bookies still consider them as the second-favorite for the title, only behind Argentina.
Paraguay vs Brazil pick: Under 2.5 goals
Before the Copa America, Paraguay played only low-scoring games in the World Cup Qualifiers. Their six games in the Qualifiers were all under 2.5 goals, with only one scored goal - 0.17 per game. So, we do not expect they can score against Brazil.
Brazil is in terrible form. If we exclude the friendlies, they have not won in the last five matches while scoring only two goals! In the first game of Copa America, they had 70% ball possession and 19 goal attempts, but those were far from clear-cut chances.
In the previous three h2h games, we saw fewer than three goals on two occasions. Considering all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet should be the best option for this Copa America match.
Paraguay vs Brazil Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Brazil
4 : 0
Paraguay
WC Qualification South America
-
Paraguay
0 : 2
Brazil
WC Qualification South America
-
Brazil
0 : 0
Paraguay
Copa America
-
Brazil
3 : 0
Paraguay
WC Qualification South America
-
Paraguay
2 : 2
Brazil
WC Qualification South America
-
Brazil
1 : 1
Paraguay
Copa America
Paraguay team news
After a 2:1 loss to Colombia in the first match, coach Daniel Garnero spoke to the media. He wasn't too unhappy with the loss, saying he saw some positives against an excellent rival. "We knew it was going to be very difficult against a rival that does possession in its own way. It is difficult to take the ball away from a team that plays so well," the coach added.
The team is missing Antonio Sanabria with an injury. Torino's striker was the Paraguay's starting forward in the last two World Cup Qualifier matches.
Last matches of Paraguay
-
Chile
3 : 0
Paraguay
Friendly International
-
Peru
0 : 0
Paraguay
Friendly International
-
Paraguay
0 : 1
Colombia
WC Qualification South America
-
Chile
0 : 0
Paraguay
WC Qualification South America
-
Paraguay
1 : 0
Bolivia
WC Qualification South America
Paraguay lineup
Goalkeeper
-
22
Rodrigo Morinigo
Defenders
-
25
Gustavo Velazquez
-
5
Fabian Balbuena
-
15
Omar Alderete
-
4
Matias Espinoza
Midfielders
-
26
Hernesto Caballero
-
14
Andreas Cubas
-
23
Mathias Villasanti
Forwards
-
10
Miguel Almiron
-
18
Alex Arce Barrios
-
19
Julio Enciso
Brazil team news
Due to injuries, the Brazilian national team will be without several key players, including Neymar, Ederson, Richarlison, and Gabriel Jesus. Meanwhile, the most surprising omission from the squad is Manchester United's midfielder, Casemiro.
After a goalless draw against Costa Rica, coach Dorival Junior spoke to the media. He said they played on a smaler pitch, wich helps the team wich defend an because of it Vinicius Junior was constantly being marked with two or three players. "We lacked some in-depth moves. It was the aspect that we intensified the most in training," the coach added.
Last matches of Brazil
-
Brazil
0 : 0
Costa Rica
Copa America
-
Mexico
2 : 3
Brazil
Friendly International
-
Spain
3 : 3
Brazil
Friendly International
-
England
0 : 1
Brazil
Friendly International
-
Brazil
0 : 1
Argentina
WC Qualification South America
Brazil lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Alisson
Defenders
-
2
Danilo
-
3
Eder Militao
-
4
Marquinhos
-
16
Arana Guilherme
Midfielders
-
5
Bruno Guimaraes
-
8
Lucas Paqueta
-
15
Joao Gomes
Forwards
-
11
Rapinha
-
10
Rodrygo
-
7
Vinicius Junior
3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals
- Paraguay were under 2.5 goals in nine of the previous 11 games
- Brazil scored only one goal in the last four non-friendly matches
- Two of the last three h2h games finished with fewer than three goals
Main prediction Paraguay - Brazil
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
Additional predictions
Paraguay & Brazil current standing in Copa America
Group D | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 - 2 | +4 | 7 |
2 | Brazil | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 - 2 | +3 | 5 |
3 | Costa Rica | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 - 4 | -2 | 4 |
4 | Paraguay | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 - 8 | -5 | 0 |