Unión Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo prediction 15.06.2024

• Competition: Liga Profesional
• Date: Saturday, 15th June, 2024
• Kickoff: 20:00 UTC +1 / 21:00 CEST
• Venue: Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe)

In recent years, Union Santa Fe has been among the worst teams in the Argentinian top-flight division. In Argentina, the worst team in the last three years is relegated, and since they had a really bad two last years, they must have a much better season to avoid relegation. Luckily, this season started pretty well, as they hold 4th place after four rounds with ten points won. However, they did have a pretty easy schedule as they played against mediocre teams at best - Banfield, Instituto, and Barracas Central.

On the other hand, San Lorenzo have been among the best teams in recent years. Last year, they finished 3rd in Liga Profesional but weren't too close to winning the title as the first-placed River Plate left them 15 points behind. After a solid Liga Profesional, San Lorenzo weren't as great in Copa de La Liga and also had a pretty bad start in this year's Liga Profesional. Right now, they are 25th with only one point, although with a game played fewer than the rest of the league. On the other side, San Lorenzo are doing well in Copa Libertadores, where they reached the knockout phase and will face off against Atletico Mineiro in about a month. So, even though they had a pretty poor start in Liga Profesional, we believe it is only a matter of time before they start winning games.

Unión Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo pick: Under 2.5 goals

Unión Santa Fe were under 2.5 goals in all four Liga Profesional games so far. Defensively, they have been simply incredible, allowing only one goal so far. So, we expect they should offer another good defensive performance against out-of-form San Lorenzo.

San Lorenzo were also under 2.5 goals in all three Liga Profesional games so far. If we look further back, we can see a similar pattern of low-scoring games. In the last 12 games in all competitions, San Lorenzo were under 2.5 goals on 11 occasions - 92%. Additionally, San Lorenzo are a team that heavily relies on home pitch advantage. They have not won in the last 12 road games and have not scored a goal in the last five.

In the previous three h2h games, we saw fewer than three goals every time, with only 1.0 goals per game. Considering the previous game and all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet should be the best option for this Liga Profesional game.