Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield prediction 29.05.2025 | Copa Libertadores

Penarol

Penarol

Kick off:

Date:

Vélez Sarsfield

Vélez Sarsfield

1

2.15

X

3.10

2

3.75

  • Competition: Copa Libertadores
  • Date: Thursday, 29th May 2025
  • Kickoff: 23:00 UK / 00:00 CEST
  • Venue: Campeón del Siglo (Montevideo)

Everything is decided in Copa Libertadores group H, as we know that Penarol and Velez Sarsfield will end in the first two positions and progress to the 1/8 final. The only thing we have to find out in the last round is which of the two teams will finish at the top of the table. Velez Sarsfield have an advantage, so for them, even a draw is enough, while Penarol have to win. 

Penarol had some problems throughout the season, so they finished only fourth in the Uruguayan Apertura. However, Penarol are in spectacular form lately. They won the last six matches in a row. In the previous game, Penarol won 2-0 at home against Plaza Colonia. That was another dominating performance and an easy win for Diego Aguirre's team. 

Velez Sarsfield has not been at their best in the Argentinian Apertura in the previous months. They ended with only 14 points from 16 matches. Velez Sarsfield won only one of the last four matches. In the previous game, they lost 2-0 in the cup against Lanus. In the match that was played at a neutral field in Guatemala, Velez Sarsfield ended with only xG of 0.28, so they couldn't expect much more than the defeat. 

Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield pick: Penarol to win

Penarol seems unstoppable right now, while Velez Sarsfield does not play well. We should expect the home side to win in the upcoming tie and reclaim the top group position. 

Penarol vs Vélez Sarsfield Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Penarol

    1 : 1

    Vélez Sarsfield

    Copa Sudamericana

  2. Vélez Sarsfield

    0 : 0

    Penarol

    Copa Sudamericana

  3. Vélez Sarsfield

    3 : 1

    Penarol

    Copa Libertadores

  4. Penarol

    0 : 1

    Vélez Sarsfield

    Copa Libertadores

  5. Vélez Sarsfield

    2 : 1

    Penarol

    Copa Libertadores

  6. Penarol

    1 : 0

    Vélez Sarsfield

    Copa Libertadores

Penarol

Penarol team news

After the victory against Plaza Colonia, Penarol's head coach, Diego Aguirre, made it clear how important the upcoming tie against Velez Sarsfield was. He said, "You always have to improve, but every match is different. Today, we suffered a lot, but I'm not going to jump to conclusions. I will jump to conclusions about Vélez because it's a very important match for us. We want to finish first in the group; that's our main focus. The Libertadores dazzles you."

Last matches of Penarol

  1. San Antonio Bulo Bulo

    0 : 3

    Penarol

    Copa Libertadores

  2. Defensor Sporting

    0 : 1

    Penarol

    Primera Division

  3. Penarol

    2 : 0

    San Antonio Bulo Bulo

    Copa Libertadores

  4. Danubio

    0 : 1

    Penarol

    Primera Division

  5. Juventud

    0 : 2

    Penarol

    Primera Division

Penarol lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Guillermo De Amores

Defenders

  • 20

    Pedro Milans

  • 34

    Nahuel Herrera

  • 2

    Leo Coelho

  • 15

    Maximiliano Olivera

Midfielders

  • 5

    Ignacio Sosa

  • 10

    Leonardo Fernandez

  • 29

    Eric Remedi

Forwards

  • 7

    Javier Cabrera

  • 11

    Maximiliano Silvera Cabo

  • 80

    David Terans

Vélez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield team news

Boca Juniors is far from a good situation right now, so they sacked their head coach. The famous Argentinian club has to search for a new manager quickly as the Club World Cup is approaching. One of the names that appeared in the media is Velez Sarsfield's head coach, Guillermo Barros Schelotto. After the previous game, he said he is focused only on Velez Sarsfield, which will not change. 

Last matches of Vélez Sarsfield

  1. Lanús

    2 : 0

    Vélez Sarsfield

    Copa Argentina

  2. Vélez Sarsfield

    1 : 0

    Gimnasia La Plata

    Liga Profesional de Fútbol

  3. Vélez Sarsfield

    0 : 1

    Sarmiento

    Liga Profesional de Fútbol

  4. Rosario Central

    2 : 1

    Vélez Sarsfield

    Liga Profesional de Fútbol

  5. Vélez Sarsfield

    0 : 1

    Deportivo Riestra

    Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Vélez Sarsfield lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Tomas Marchiori

Defenders

  • 21

    Jano Gordon

  • 34

    Damien Fernandez

  • 31

    Valentin Gomez

  • 3

    Elias Gomez

Midfielders

  • 32

    Christian Ordonez

  • 5

    Claudio Baeza

  • 26

    Agustin Bouzat

Forwards

  • 11

    Matias Pellegrini

  • 28

    Maher Carrizo

  • 20

    Francisco Pizzini

3 Reasons why we should expect Penarol to win against Velez Sarsfield

  1. Penarol won the last six matches
  2. Penarol have a 14:4 goal difference in the previous six games
  3. Velez Sarsfield won only one of the last four matches

Main prediction Penarol - Vélez Sarsfield

Penarol to win

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

bet365

2.15

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Penarol & Vélez Sarsfield current standing in Copa Libertadores

Group H P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Vélez Sarsfield 5 3 1 1 11 - 4 +7 10
2 Peñarol 5 3 1 1 9 - 4 +5 10
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 5 2 0 3 5 - 11 -6 6
4 Olimpia 5 0 2 3 5 - 11 -6 2

Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield - FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Penarol this season?

The average xG for Penarol in the Copa Libertadores this season is 1.58.

? How much is the average xG for Velez Sarsfield this season?

The average xG for Velez Sarsfield in the Copa Libertadores this season is 1.74.