Libertad Asuncion vs Alianza Lima prediction 27.05.2025 | Copa Libertadores

• Competition: Copa Libertadores
• Date: Tuesday, 27th May, 2025
• Kickoff: 23:00 UK / 00:00 CEST
• Venue: Estadio Tigo La Huerta (Asunción)

The situation in Copa Libertadores Group D is settled when it comes to the top two spots. Sao Paulo and Libertad Asuncion have already secured places in the Copa Libertadores knockout phase. However, the battle for third place - which leads to the Copa Sudamericana 1/16 Finals - is still open. In the final group-stage match, Libertad Asuncion, who have little to play for, will face Alianza Lima at Estadio Tigo La Huerta in Asunción.

Libertad Asuncion have been mostly the best team in the league in the last few years. To be fair, their last Clausura performance was not as good as we are used to them, but this year, in Apertura, they are doing a fine job once again. Right now, they are in 1st place with 41 points in 21 rounds, and with only one round left, they just need one point to secure the title. Considering they are without a motive in this Copa Libertadores game, they might rotate the squad to keep their players fresh for the domestic league.

Alianza Lima, a 25-time Peruan champ, are doing a good job in the Liga 1 Apertua as they are sitting in 2nd place with 26 points after 13 rounds. Currently, they are on a level with points with first-placed Universitario de Deportes but also just one point away from dropping to 4th place. So, these remaining few games could decide whether we will call this season a success, both in the domestic and continental competition.

Libertad Asuncion vs Alianza Lima pick: Under 2.5 goals

Libertad Asuncion finally stopped their ten-game winless streak with a 1:0 win over General Caballero. Most of their good performances came at the start of the season, both in Copa Libertadores and Primera Division. They have a massive problem offensively, considering they only scored six goals during that ten-game stretch. Luckily for them, they are doing a good job defensively. Because of that poor offense and good defense, they were under 2.5 goals in nine of the last ten matches. In fact, if we look further back, we can see they only went once over 2.5 goals in the previous 15 games in all competitions.

Alianza Lima also played mostly low-scoring games and were under 2.5 goals in the last six matches. Away from home, they haven't been great offensively, scoring one or zero goals in five of the previous six games - 83%.

In the previous h2h game in April, Libertad Asuncion won 1:0. Considering all the above, we believe that an under 2.5 goals bet is the safest bet for this Copa Libertadores tie.