Italy vs Moldova prediction 09.06.2025 | World Cup Qualifiers
Kick off:
Date:
1
1.07
X
16.50
2
45.00
Contents
- Competition: World Cup Qualifiers
- Date: 9th June 2025
- Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
- Venue: Stadio Città del Tricolore
The bottom two teams in Group I of the 2026 World Cup European qualifiers meet on Monday evening, when Italy welcome Moldova to Reggio Emilia.
Italy intended to start their qualifying campaign with a win, but it was no easy task as they had to travel to Ullevaal Stadion to take on the group leaders, Norway. Ståle Solbakken’s team dominated possession, but could only register one shot on target and lost 3-0. The Blues have now shipped two or more goals in each of their last four matches with three defeats and they will surely be eager to respond in their second World Cup qualifier on Monday night.
Meanwhile, Moldova are without a win in their last four games with three defeats and one draw. One of those defeats was against Poland in a friendly last Friday. Prior to that, the visitors were defeated by Norway and Estonia — both Group I World Cup qualifiers.
Italy vs Moldova Betting Tips: Italy to win & Over 2.5 goals
The most recent meeting between these two nations was a friendly at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in 2020. Under Roberto Mancini, Italy won 6-0, and they have also won each of their last two competitive meetings with Moldova.
However, Ståle Solbakken’s men are unlikely to keep a clean sheet, given their recent defensive struggles. Gli Azzurri conceded exactly three goals in 3 of their last four matches and they boast just one clean sheet from their last 13 matches.
- Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals
- Italy vs Moldova prediction: 3-1
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Italy
6 : 0
Moldova
Friendly International
-
Italy
2 : 1
Moldova
WC Qualification Europe
-
Moldova
0 : 1
Italy
WC Qualification Europe
Italy team news
The Blues remain without the likes of Moise Kean, Alessandro Buongiorno, Manuel Locatelli and Matteo Gabbia due to injuries.
Italy head coach Luciano Spalletti is expected to make significant changes to his XI following the defeat to Norway.
Having been replaced at the start of the second half in that match, Nicolò Rovella is among those tipped to start on the bench on Monday.
Last matches of
-
Norway
3 : 0
Italy
WC Qualification Europe
-
Germany
3 : 3
Italy
UEFA Nations League
-
Italy
1 : 2
Germany
UEFA Nations League
-
Italy
1 : 3
France
UEFA Nations League
-
Belgium
0 : 1
Italy
UEFA Nations League
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Defenders
-
21
Alessandro Bastoni
-
14
Diego Coppola
-
22
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
Midfielders
-
13
Destiny Udogie
-
16
Davide Frattesi
-
3
Federico Dimarco
-
8
Sandro Tonali
-
18
Nicolò Barella
Forwards
-
9
Mateo Retegui
-
10
Giacomo Raspadori
Moldova team news
Oțelul Galați forward Maxim Cojocaru is suspended for Monday’s game following his red card against Estonia in March.
His absence could see Joseph Saliste start at right-back, while Oleg Reabciuk is likely to play at left-back.
Last matches of
-
Poland
2 : 0
Moldova
Friendly International
-
Moldova
2 : 3
Estonia
WC Qualification Europe
-
Moldova
0 : 5
Norway
WC Qualification Europe
-
Gibraltar
1 : 1
Moldova
Friendly International
-
Andorra
0 : 1
Moldova
UEFA Nations League
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
23
Andrii Kozhukhar
Defenders
-
3
Joseph Saliste
-
14
Artur Crăciun
-
4
Vladislav Baboglo
-
2
Oleg Reabciuk
Midfielders
-
8
Nichita Moțpan
-
11
Mihail Caimacov
-
22
Vadim Rață
Forwards
-
17
Virgiliu Postolachi
-
9
Ion Nicolaescu
-
7
Ștefan Bodișteanu
Three reasons we expect at least three goals in this game
- Moldova conceded ten goals in their last three games alone.
- Only one of the last nine games of Italy produced fewer than three goals.
- The last two meetings between Italy and Moldova produced nine goals.
Main prediction -
Over 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
bet365
1.33
Additional predictions
& current standing in WC Qualification Europe
| Group I | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 - 2 | +10 | 9 |
| 2 | Israel | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 - 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 | Estonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 - 7 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Italy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 - 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 5 | Moldova | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 - 8 | -6 | 0 |