Manchester United vs Bournemouth prediction 09.12.2023

Manchester United

Manchester United

0 : 3

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

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  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Saturday, 9th December 2023
  • Kickoff: 15:00 UK / 16:00 CET
  • Venue: Old Trafford (Manchester)

Manchester United are having a terrible season so far in all competitions, at least by their standards. The Red Devils are already eliminated from the Carabao Cup and are the last-placed team in the pretty weak Champions League Group with Bayern Munich, FC Copenhagen, and Galatasaray. The situation in the Premier League was terrible as well, but with four wins in the last five games, they climbed to 6th place and are now only three points away from the Champions League spots. Now, the next two games, vs Bournemouth in the Premier League and against Bayern Munich in the UCL, are crucial because, with two wins, the season could take a significant turn for the better. 

Last season, Bournemouth finished 15th despite having a disastrous defensive record (71 goals in 38 rounds - 1.9 per game). This year, despite changing the coach, they once again struggle on the defensive end and allow two goals per game. Still, the last few games have been a reason for optimism, as they won ten points in four rounds with notable wins against Newcastle and Crystal Palace. Currently, they are 15th, nine points away from the danger zone.

Manchester United vs Bournemouth pick: Over 2.5 goals

The main problem for Manchester United this season is the poor contribution from their offensive players. Still, we can see some improvements from the team in recent games. In the last six games in all competitions, the Red Devils have scored 12 goals - two per game. Because of a bit better offensive displays, they were over 2.5 goals in four of the last six games. The Red Devils also scored twice in the last game vs Chelsea, but since they had 28 goal attempts and 4.11 xG, we can once again say they should have done even better. Now, against one of the weakest defensive teams in the Premier League, we expect their offense to finally wake up and start scoring up to their potential.

Bournemouth are on an excellent run, with ten points in four games and notable wins against Crystal Palace on the road and against Newcastle at Vitality Stadium. Away from home, Bournemouth have been an excellent team for over 2.5 goals bet, considering we have seen three or more goals in seven of eight (87.5%) matches in all competitions. The primary reason is the terrible defensive record. However, Iraola's counter-attacking playing style is also a major factor in their high-scoring games, as the Cherries have regularly scored against very good opponents away from home. In eight matches away from home, Iraola's side failed to score just once. We already saw them scoring against Manchester City, Liverpool, Brighton, etc. So, we believe they are capable of scoring against MU. 

In the previous three h2h games and Old Trafford, we have seen three or more goals every time. Considering everything above, we expect an exciting game with at least three goals, most likely with both teams scoring. 

Best bookmakers for Manchester United vs Bournemouth match

Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. AFC Bournemouth

    0 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  2. Manchester United

    3 : 0

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  3. Manchester United

    5 : 2

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  4. AFC Bournemouth

    1 : 0

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  5. Manchester United

    4 : 1

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

Manchester United

Manchester United team news

The biggest change Erik Ten Haag made for the previous game was replacing Marcus Rashford with Rasmus Hojlund. The coach was under a lot of pressure to drop Rashford, and considering the Red Devils did a better job without him, we believe he will stay on the bench for the second game in a row. 

The team has no new injuries or suspensions. The ones who missed the previous games will remain sidelined: Casemiro, Christian Eriksen, Tyrell Malacia, Lisandro Martinez, Mason Mount, and Amad Diallo. While Raphaël Varane, who missed the previous game with a minor injury, should be available for the upcoming game.

Also, Jadon Sancho was suspended by the club early in the season, and the situation is still unchanged. The 23-year-old will most likely leave the club in the next transfer window. 

According to bookies, coach Erik ten Hag (along with Steve Cooper) is the primary candidate to get sacked in the Premier League. Right now, the odds are at 2.5. 

Last matches of Manchester United

  1. Manchester United

    2 : 1

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  2. Newcastle United

    1 : 0

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  3. Galatasaray

    3 : 3

    Manchester United

    Champions League

  4. Everton

    0 : 3

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  5. Manchester United

    1 : 0

    Luton Town F.C.

    Premier League

Manchester United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 24

    Andre Onana

Defenders

  • 20

    Diogo Dalot

  • 5

    Harry Maguire

  • 2

    Victor Lindelof

  • 23

    Luke Shaw

Midfielders

  • 39

    Scott McTominay

  • 8

    Bruno Fernandes

  • 4

    Sofyan Amrabat

Forwards

  • 21

    Antony

  • 11

    Rasmus Hojlund

  • 17

    Alejandro Garnacho

AFC Bournemouth

Bournemouth team news

A starting right full-back, Max Aarons, will miss his fourth consecutive game with a thigh injury but is close to returning. He will most likely be back in a week or two. 

Midfielder Alex Scott should miss his fifth consecutive game with a knee injury, while central defender Lloyd Kelly, who missed the last two games with an injury, will most likely be ready. Still, since Zabarnyi and Senesi did a great job in the previous game, we do not expect Kelly to start against MU. 

Emiliano Marcondes, Ryan Fredericks, Tyler Adams, and Darren Randolph will remain sidelined with long-term injuries. 

In the previous game, Luis Sinisterra got the opportunity to start and did great. Coach Iraola praised him after the match and hinted that the 24-year-old loanee from Leeds could start in the upcoming games as well.

Last matches of AFC Bournemouth

  1. Crystal Palace

    0 : 2

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  2. AFC Bournemouth

    2 : 2

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  3. Sheffield United

    1 : 3

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  4. AFC Bournemouth

    2 : 0

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  5. Manchester City

    6 : 1

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

AFC Bournemouth lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Neto

Defenders

  • 15

    Adam Smith

  • 27

    Illia Zabarnyi

  • 25

    Marcos Senesi

  • 3

    Milos Kerkez

Midfielders

  • 17

    Luis Sinisterra

  • 10

    Ryan Christie

  • 4

    Lewis Cook

  • 24

    Antoine Semenyo

Forwards

  • 19

    Justin Kluivert

  • 9

    Dominic Solanke

4 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Manchester United scored two or more goals in four of the last six games
  2. Bournemouth failed to score only once in eight road games in all competitions
  3. Bournemouth were over 2.5 goals in seven of eight road games
  4. The previous three games at Old Trafford finished with three or more goals

Main prediction Manchester United - AFC Bournemouth

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Bet365

1.53

Bet here

Do you agree with Nikola qq ?

Nikola qq

Nikola qq

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16 votes

Yes 63%

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16 votes

No 38%

Additional predictions

Team 1 to Win

Best odds:1.58

BTTS

Best odds:1.67

Manchester United & AFC Bournemouth current standing in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Liverpool 23 15 6 2 52 - 22 +30 51
2 Arsenal 23 15 4 4 47 - 22 +25 49
3 Manchester City 21 14 4 3 51 - 24 +27 46
4 Aston Villa 23 14 4 5 49 - 30 +19 46
5 Tottenham Hotspur 23 13 5 5 49 - 35 +14 44
6 Manchester United 23 12 2 9 31 - 32 -1 38
7 West Ham United 23 10 6 7 36 - 36 0 36
8 Brighton & Hove Albion 23 9 8 6 42 - 38 +4 35
9 Newcastle United 23 10 3 10 48 - 37 +11 33
10 Wolverhampton Wanderers 23 9 5 9 37 - 37 0 32
11 Chelsea 23 9 4 10 38 - 39 -1 31
12 AFC Bournemouth 22 7 6 9 30 - 41 -11 27
13 Fulham 23 7 5 11 30 - 38 -8 26
14 Crystal Palace 23 6 6 11 26 - 40 -14 24
15 Brentford 21 6 4 11 31 - 36 -5 22
16 Nottingham Forest 23 5 6 12 28 - 41 -13 21
17 Luton Town 22 5 5 12 32 - 42 -10 20
18 Everton 23 8 5 10 26 - 30 -4 19
19 Burnley 23 3 4 16 24 - 47 -23 13
20 Sheffield United 23 2 4 17 19 - 59 -40 10

Manchester United vs Bournemouth - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

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How much is the average xG for Manchester United this season?

The average xG for Manchester United in the Premier League this season is 1.53.

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How much is the average xG for Bournemouth this season?

The average xG for Bournemouth in the Premier League this season is 1.42.