Toulouse vs Brest prediction 19.05.2024

• Competition: Ligue 1
• Date: Sunday, 19th May, 2024
• Kickoff: 20:00 UTC +1 / 21:00 CEST
• Venue: Stadium Municipal (Toulouse)

Last year, Toulouse had a historic season, as they won their first major trophy after beating Nantes in the French Cup Finals. They got the opportunity to play in the Europa League and surprisingly did very well, reaching the 1/16 Finals, where Benfica eventually stopped them. In Ligue 1, they had two similar seasons. Last year, they finished 13th with 48 points, and this year, one round before the end of the season, they are 11th with 43 points. The team from South France has nothing to gain from this match as they cannot move significantly up or down. 

Brest are one of the most pleasant surprises in the top five European leagues, maybe even beyond. They are quietly having a huge season, which is by far the best in their history. The Pirates are currently 4th, on a level with points with 3rd-placed Lille. But considering they are four points away from 5th-placed Nice, Brest will at least play in the Champions League qualifiers. So, the last game of the season will decide whether they will play the qualifiers or end up in the Champions League Group phase directly. 

Toulouse vs Brest pick: Both teams to score

Toulouse are in excellent form, having lost just once in the last seven games. During that period, they have been really efficient, scoring 13 goals - 1.86 per game, which is way above their average of 1.3 goals per game. On the other hand, they had no clean sheets in the previous five matches, and it is hard to expect one in a game in which they have absolutely no motive. Additionally, at home, 75% of Toulouse's games finished with both teams scoring, which is the third-best in the league, just behind Rennes and PSG.

Brest have been in solid form, and just like Toulouse, they have been much better offensively in recent matches than their average. They scored 13 goals in six rounds - 2.1 per game! So, scoring a goal in this must-win game is a completely real scenario. On the other hand, the Pirates have been far from impressive defensively on he road, allowing eight goals vs Rennes and Lyon.

The first h2h game this season ended in a 1:1 draw. Additionally, the last five h2h games ended with both teams scoring. Considering all the above, we expect another game with both teams scoring.