Sport Recife vs Atletico Mineiro prediction 22.05.2024

Sport Recife

Sport Recife

1 - 0

Half time: 1 - 0

Full time: 1 - 0

Kick off:

Date:

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

1

4.33

X

3.60

2

1.80

  • Competition: Copa do Brasil, 1/16 Finals, 2nd Leg
  • Date: Wednesday, 22nd May, 2024
  • Kickoff: 23:00 UTC +1
  • Venue: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata)

On the night between Wednesday and Thursday, a Serie B side, Sport Recife, will face off against Serie A team, Atletico Mineiro, in the second leg of the Copa do Brasil 1/16. The first leg finished with the Atletico MG winning 2:0 at MRV Arena, and the second leg will take place at Arena Pernambuco in São Lourenço da Mata.

After suffering relegation from Serie A in the 2021 season, Sport Recife had two seven-place finishes in Serie B. Still, last year, they were super close to securing promotion, as they were only one point short. This year, the Lions of the North had an excellent start to the season, winning their state league and also having a really good start in the Serie B. Still, after back-to-back losses, they dropped to 3rd place and will try to change that negative momentum with a good performance in the Cup. 

Atletico Mineiro have mostly been among Brazil's best teams in recent years, even winning the title in 2021. This year, like their opponents, Atletico Mineiro started the year by winning their state league. Additionally, they also had a solid start in the Serie A and an excellent one in the Copa Libertadores, where they secured the second stage rather easily. Expectedly, they are a big favorite to advance to the next stage, but they are also the third favorite to win the title, at least according to bookies. Right now, the bookies offer odds of 7.5 for them to win the title, only behind Flamengo (4.5) and Palmeiras (5.9).

Sport Recife vs Atletico Mineiro pick: Under 2.5 goals

Sport Recofe lost back-to-back games vs Ituano and Avai while scoring only one goal. Additionally, in the first leg, we already saw they struggled to create goalscoring opportunities and had only two shots on goal and two off goal. So, scoring against Atletico Mineiro, which had five clean sheers in the last nine games, will surely be a challenge, even at home. 

Atletico Mineiro played mostly low-scoring games lately, as three of their last four matches in all competitions finished with fewer than three goals. Now, in the second leg, we believe they will try to slow the pace of the game and control the possession as they often do, even against much better teams than Sport Recife. 

Considering all the above, we believe that an under 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for this Cup tie. 

Sport Recife vs Atletico Mineiro Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Atletico Mineiro

    2 : 0

    Sport Recife

    Copa do Brasil

  2. Atletico Mineiro

    3 : 0

    Sport Recife

    Serie A

  3. Sport Recife

    0 : 1

    Atletico Mineiro

    Serie A

  4. Sport Recife

    2 : 3

    Atletico Mineiro

    Serie A

  5. Atletico Mineiro

    0 : 0

    Sport Recife

    Serie A

Sport Recife

Sport Recife team news

The team should have no new injuries or suspensions, but Renzo and Pedro Martins, who missed the previous games with injuries, will remain sidelined. However, they are not an essential part of the squad, and their absences will certainly not affect the game.

Sport Recife's total market value is 17.65 million euros, compared to Mineiro's 85.2 million. 

Last matches of Sport Recife

  1. Sport Recife

    1 : 2

    Avaí

    Serie B

  2. Sport Recife

    4 : 1

    Brusque

    Serie B

  3. Coritiba

    0 : 1

    Sport Recife

    Serie B

  4. Atletico Mineiro

    2 : 0

    Sport Recife

    Copa do Brasil

  5. Amazonas

    2 : 3

    Sport Recife

    Serie B

Sport Recife lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Caique Franca

Defenders

  • 54

    Pedro Lima

  • 15

    Rafael Thyere

  • 40

    Luciano Castan

  • 6

    Felipinho

Midfielders

  • 19

    Lucas Lima

  • 8

    Fabricio Dominguez

  • 94

    Felipe

  • 11

    Romarinho

Forwards

  • 9

    Gustavo Coutinho

  • 59

    Christian Ortiz

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro team news

Midfielder Otavio suffered an injury in the last game vs Penarol and had to leave the field after only 19 minutes. According to credible sources, he will be sidelined until early June. Otavio is one of the key players on the team, having started in 100% of Mineiro's games in Serie A. Additionally, Rubens and Paulo Vitor who missed the previous games with injuries will remain sidelined.

Atletico Mineiro had a few days off since their last two Serie A games were postponed due to flooding. 

Last matches of Atletico Mineiro

  1. Rosario Central

    0 : 1

    Atletico Mineiro

    Copa Libertadores

  2. Fluminense

    2 : 2

    Atletico Mineiro

    Serie A

  3. Atletico Mineiro

    2 : 0

    Sport Recife

    Copa do Brasil

  4. Cuiabá

    0 : 3

    Atletico Mineiro

    Serie A

  5. Atletico Mineiro

    3 : 2

    Penarol

    Copa Libertadores

Atletico Mineiro lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Everson

Defenders

  • 26

    Renzo Saravia

  • 21

    Rodrigo Battaglia

  • 3

    Fuchs Bruno

  • 13

    Guilherme Arana

Midfielders

  • 6

    Gustavo Scarpa

  • 17

    Igor Gomes

  • 23

    Alan Franco

  • 15

    Matias Zaracho

Forwards

  • 7

    Hulk

  • 10

    Paulinho

4 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Sport Recife scored one goal in the last two games
  2. Sport Recife were under 2.5 goals in four of the last six games in all competitions
  3. Atletico Mineiro were under 2.5 goals in three of the last four matches
  4. The first leg finished with Atletico Mineiro winning 2:0

Main prediction Sport Recife - Atletico Mineiro

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.86

Bet here

Additional predictions

BTTS - NO

Best odds:1.94

Draw

Best odds:3.66

Sport Recife vs Atletico Mineiro - FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Premiere Clubes channel.

? Who could be the goalscorer for Sport Recife?

Gustavo Coutinho, who scored 13 goals in 29 appearances this season. 

? Who could be the goalscorer for Atletico Mineiro?

Hulk, who scored seven goals in 20 appearances this season.