Real Madrid vs Cadiz prediction 04.05.2024

• Competition: La Liga
• Date: Saturday, 4th May, 2024
• Kickoff: 15:15 UTC +1 / 16:15 CEST
• Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)

Real Madrid are playing an excellent season. For the majority of La Liga, they went toe-to-toe with Girona, but with the Catalan team slowing down, Los Blancos came very close to securing their 36th league title. Right now, they are nine points above Barcelona, and with only five rounds left, the title is almost a certainty. Currently, the bookmakers don't even have an odds for them winning the title, which says a lot about their chances. Additionally, Los Blancos are doing great in the Champions League. After a 2:2 draw in Germany, they will face off against Bayern just four days after the Cadiz game. So, we should expect a rotated squad for the upcoming La Liga match.

Since coming to La Liga, Cadiz were constantly in the lower part of the league's table. In the last two seasons, the Yellow Submarine barely secured survival, finishing one and two points above the danger zone. However, this year, Cadiz are in really tough position with five rounds before the end of the season. They are 18th with 26 points, five points away from the safe zone! 

Real Madrid vs Cadiz pick: Under 2.5 goals

In this game, Real Madrid will most likely rotate the squad like they did against Real Sociedad, which they won 1:0. Their key offensive players will most likely all sit out this game, which should greatly affect their offensive performance. On the other hand, we really trust their defense, as they only allowed 22 goals in 33 games and had 17 clean sheets - 52%. So, we believe they should keep their net intact even with the rotated squad. 

At the same time, Cadiz are by far the best team for this type of bet in La Liga, as 76% of their games finished with fewer than three goals. They only scored 23 goals in 33 rounds, and away from home, they are even worse, scoring just eight goals in 16 matches.

Considering all the above, we believe that an under 2.5 goals is the safest option for this La Liga tie.