Portugal vs Sweden prediction 21.03.2024

Portugal

Portugal

5 : 2

Sweden

Sweden

1

1.43

X

4.75

2

7.5

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  • Competition: Friendly match
  • Date: Thursday, 21st March 2024
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UTC / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Estádio D. Afonso Henriques (Guimarães)

On Thursday night in Guimaraes, Portugal will host Sweden. The teams are in completely opposite moments. While Portugal are one of the best European teams and will use a friendly against Sweden as part of EURO preparations, on the other side, Sweden failed to qualify, so this will be a new beginning.  

Portugal was the only perfect team in the qualifications. In ten games, they recorded ten wins and showed Europe and the world that they will have the highest ambitions at EURO. In the previous game, they won 2-0 against Iceland. 

Sweden disappointed their fans again. They finished with nine points fewer than the desired top-two spots. During qualifications, Sweden had a few terrible results, like a 3-0 loss in Baku or a 3-1 loss at home against Austria. In January, Sweden had a friendly game versus Estonia (2-1), but in that game, mostly players from the domestic leagues played, so we shouldn't care too much about that one. That was just another test for younger players. 

Portugal vs Sweden pick: Portugal to win and cover AH -1.5  spread

The last Portuguese and Swedish h2h matches were in 2020. In two Nations League games, Portugal won easily (2-0 in Solna and 3-0 in Lisbon). We should expect a similar outcome on Thursday night in Guimaraes. 

Portugal vs Sweden Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Portugal

    3 : 0

    Sweden

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Sweden

    0 : 2

    Portugal

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Portugal

    2 : 3

    Sweden

    Friendly International

  4. Portugal

    2 : 3

    Sweden

    Friendly International

  5. Sweden

    2 : 3

    Portugal

    WC Qualification Europe

Portugal

Portugal team news

Although Joao Cancelo is included in the Portuguese team for the upcoming games, he might miss them as he also skipped the previous Barca game. Spanish media claimed that Cancelo had some physical discomfort. Still, Fermin Lopez, after Barcelona's win, said that he dedicated a win to Cancelo. He said, "I want to dedicate this win to Cancelo, who is having a hard time." We still don't know what exactly happened, but he might miss the upcoming game against Sweden. 

Also, Bayern's Raphael Guerreiro sustained a muscle injury, and he will miss the upcoming match as well. 

Last matches of Portugal

  1. Portugal

    2 : 0

    Iceland

    Euro Qualification

  2. Liechtenstein

    0 : 2

    Portugal

    Euro Qualification

  3. Bosnia and Herzegovina

    0 : 5

    Portugal

    Euro Qualification

  4. Portugal

    3 : 2

    Slovakia

    Euro Qualification

  5. Portugal

    9 : 0

    Luxembourg

    Euro Qualification

Portugal lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Diogo Costa

Defenders

  • 2

    Nelson Semedo

  • 4

    Ruben Dias

  • 14

    Goncalo Inacio

  • 19

    Diogo Dalot

Midfielders

  • 23

    Matheus Nunes

  • 6

    Joao Palhinha

  • 18

    Ruben Neves

Forwards

  • 18

    Trincao

  • 9

    Goncalo Ramos

  • 17

    Rafael Leao

Sweden

Sweden team news

After disappointing EURO qualifications, Sweden sacked the head coach, Janne Andersson. His replacement is Jon Dahl Thomasson. At the first press conference as the Sweden manager, he said, "The spring gatherings are a chance for the players who are around the men's national team, but also the U21 national team, to catch my attention. Everyone should get an honest chance to show themselves. We will implement the way I want us to play but also get used to each other. The upcoming collections will give me some answers."

Last matches of Sweden

  1. Sweden

    2 : 1

    Estonia

    Friendly International

  2. Sweden

    2 : 0

    Estonia

    Euro Qualification

  3. Azerbaijan

    3 : 0

    Sweden

    Euro Qualification

  4. Sweden

    3 : 1

    Moldova

    Friendly International

  5. Sweden

    1 : 3

    Austria

    Euro Qualification

Sweden lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Viktor Johansson

Defenders

  • 2

    Emil Krafth

  • 3

    Viktor Lindelof

  • 5

    Isak Hien

  • 6

    Ludwig Augustinsson

Midfielders

  • 16

    Hugo Larsson

  • 18

    Samuel Gustafson

  • 9

    Jens Cajuste

Forwards

  • 21

    Dejan Kulusevski

  • 17

    Viktor Gyokeres

  • 11

    Anthony Elanga

3 Reasons why Portugal should win and cover AH -1.5 spread

  1. Portugal won the last ten matches
  2. Portugal allowed only two goals in the previous ten games
  3. Portugal won 2-0 and 3-0 in the last two h2h matches against Sweden

Main prediction Portugal - Sweden

AH1 (-1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

7 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.12

Bet here

Do you agree with Nemanja 87 ?

Nemanja 87

Nemanja  87

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18 votes

Yes 78%

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18 votes

No 22%

Additional predictions

Over 2.5

Best odds:1.85

BTTS

Best odds:2.2

Portugal vs Sweden - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the RTP channel.

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How much is the average xG for Portugal in EURO qualifications?

The average xG for Portugal in EURO qualifications is 2.46.

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How much is the average xG for Sweden in EURO qualifications?

The average xG for Sweden in EURO qualifications is 1.58.