Marseille vs Metz prediction 09.02.2024

Marseille

Marseille

1 : 1

Metz

Metz

The match has ended, you can view football predictions for today and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: Friday, 9th February 2024
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

In recent years, Marseille were among the best French teams, constantly securing Europe. However, this season, Les Phocéens are playing a really bad season, at least by their standards. They are only in 8th place with 29 points, three points away from the European spots but 18 away from the 1st-placed PSG. The primary reason for Marseille's poor positioning this season is their awful road record. About ten days ago, Rennes knocked them out of the Cup, and they will not be able to secure Europe that way. So these types of games vs teams from the bottom of the league are a must-win for them to move closer to the European spots. On the other hand, in Europe, Marseille were fine, finishing 2nd in the Europa League Group B and securing the 1/16 finals against Shakhtar Donetsk.

Metz are one of the teams that constantly traveled between Ligue 1 and Ligue 2 in the last several years. Last year, they secured Ligue 1 by finishing 2nd in Ligue 2, but this season, they look like one of the candidates for relegation. They did start the season well, but since the start of December, they have been in terrible form, losing eight in a row in all competitions. Right now, the Maroons are 16th with 16 points but still only three points away from the safe zone. However, at this moment, they look like the worst team in Ligue 1. 

Marseille vs Metz pick: Under 2.5 goals

Marseille are in poor form, winning just once in the last six games. Their only win was in the Cup against a lower-tier team, Thionville. But even against them, they did not impress, winning only 1:0. Les Phocéen's offense has been pretty poor recently, scoring only six goals in the last six games, and because of it, were only once over 2.5 goals during that time. 

Metz are in absolutely terrible form with eight losses in a row (one after penalties in the Cup). They even failed to score in five of those games and will now face the best defensive home team in Ligue 1 in Marseille, which allowed only five goals in ten home Ligue 1 games. Also, with only 17 scored goals in 20 rounds, Metz are the second-worst offensive team in the league, only above the last-placed Clermont. So, it is hard to expect a goal from them in this match.

Considering both teams' poor goalscoring form and everything above, we believe that an under 2.5 goal is the safest bet for this Ligue 1 game. 

Marseille vs Metz Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Metz

    2 : 2

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  2. Metz

    1 : 2

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  3. Marseille

    0 : 0

    Metz

    Ligue 1

  4. Metz

    1 : 1

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  5. Marseille

    1 : 1

    Metz

    Ligue 1

Marseille

Marseille team news

A starting central defender, Chancel Mbemba, will miss the game since he is playing for his national team (DR Congo) in the ongoing AFCON. On the other hand, Iliman Ndiaye, Ismaila Sarr, Amine Harit, Azzedine Ounahi, and Pape Gueye all returned from AFCON after being eliminated and will be ready for the upcoming games.

Due to injuries, the players who missed the previous game(s) will remain sidelined: Jordan Veretout, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Amir Murillo, Bilal Nadir, and the team's captain, Valentin Rongier. 

Last matches of Marseille

  1. Lyon

    1 : 0

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  2. Marseille

    2 : 2

    Monaco

    Ligue 1

  3. Rennes

    9 : 8

    Marseille

    Coupe de France

  4. Marseille

    1 : 1

    Strasbourg

    Ligue 1

  5. Thionville Lusitanos

    0 : 1

    Marseille

    Coupe de France

Marseille lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Pau Lopez

Defenders

  • 7

    Jonathan Clauss

  • 5

    Leonardo Balerdi

  • 4

    Samuel Gigot

  • 3

    Quentin Merlin

Midfielders

  • 17

    Jean Onana

  • 8

    Azzedine Ounahi

  • 11

    Amine Harit

Forwards

  • 44

    Luis Henrique

  • 29

    Iliman Ndiaye

  • 10

    Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

Metz

Metz team news

The team should have no injured or suspended players for the Marseille game.

The club tried to strengthen the offense by adding Didier Lamkel Ze on loan from Hatayaspor. The 27-year-old played all 90 minutes in his debut vs Lorient and scored their only goal. Before that, they had already added striker Georges Mikautadze on a loan deal from Ajax as well. 

Metz's total market value is around 42 million euros, compared to Marseille's 238 million. 

Last matches of Metz

  1. Metz

    1 : 2

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  2. OGC Nice

    1 : 0

    Metz

    Ligue 1

  3. Metz

    0 : 1

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  4. Metz

    1 : 3

    Clermont

    Coupe de France

  5. PSG

    3 : 1

    Metz

    Ligue 1

Metz lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Alexandre Oukidja

Defenders

  • 2

    Maxime Colin

  • 8

    Ismael Traore

  • 5

    Fali Cande

  • 3

    Matthieu Udol

Midfielders

  • 22

    Kevin van Den Kerkhof

  • 27

    Danley Jean Jacques

  • 6

    Kevin N'Doram

  • 18

    Lamine Camara

  • 11

    Didier Lamkel Ze

Forwards

  • 10

    Georges Mikautadze

4 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Marseille allowed five goals in ten home Ligue 1 games
  2. Marseille scored six goals in the last six matches
  3. Marseille were under 2.5 goals in five of the last six mathces
  4. Metz scored only 17 goals in 20 Ligue 1 games

Main prediction Marseille - Metz

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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1.97

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Do you agree with Nikola qq ?

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Nikola qq

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31 votes

Yes 74%

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31 votes

No 26%

Additional predictions

BTTS - NO

Best odds:1.61

Team 1 to Win

Best odds:1.39

Marseille vs Metz - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

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How much is the average xG for Marseille this season?

The average xG for Marseille in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.49.

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How much is the average xG for Metz this season?

The average xG for Metz in the Ligue 1 this season is 0.85.