Liepāja vs Riga FC prediction 14.05.2024

Liepāja

Liepāja

1 - 1

Elapsed: FT

Half time: 0 - 1

Full time: 1 - 1

Kick off:

Date:

Riga FC

Riga FC

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11.90

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6.00

2

1.21

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  • Competition: Virsliga
  • Date: Tuesday, 14th May, 2024
  • Kickoff: 16:00 UTC +1 / 17:00 CEST
  • Venue: Daugavas stadions (Liepāja)

While football season is coming to an end in most European countries, in Latvia, that is not the case. In the 13th round, last-placed Liepaja will welcome one of the best teams in the league, Riga FC, at Daugavas Stadium in Liepāja.

Liepaja were founded only ten years ago and was mostly among the top five teams in the league, securing European Qualifiers pretty regularly. However, the start of the current season has been a pure disaster! After 12 rounds, Liepaja are sitting at last place with only eight points and already a -15 goal difference. Coach Tamaz Pertia is trying to give younger players more playing time, which is not working out for them now. So, it will be interesting to see whether he will step away from that tactic. 

RIga FC finished second in the previous two years. Last year, they missed the title by one point after failing to win their last game of the season. However, they at least secured the Cup title after beating RFS. This year, they are once again looking like one of the two best teams in the league as they are currently 2nd with 25 points, three away from the first-placed RFS. Also, Riga FC won one trophy after beating RFS again, this time in the Super Cup. 

Liepaja vs Riga FC pick: Riga FC to win and cover the -1 AH spread

Liepaja had probably their worst start ever, with eight losses in 12 rounds - 67%. At home, they are even worse, as they lost four of five matches while scoring only two goals (0.4 per game). So, we cannot speak about a significant home-pitch advantage. 

On the other hand, Riga FC are playing well. They won eight of the first 12 while winning by two or more goals on four occasions. Now, winning against the out-of-from Liepeja shouldn't be a problem. In recent games, they have won twice and drew only against Valmiera (1:1), but they looked good even in that draw, and they could easily enter this game on a three-game winning streak. 

In the first h2h game, Riga FC dismantled Liepaja, winning 4:0! Additionally, Riga FC won the last seven h2h games, with a combined goal difference of 21:3! In six of those seven h2h matches, Riga FC won by two or more goals difference. Considering a massive difference in form, we strongly believe in another comfortable win for last season's vice-champions. 

Liepāja vs Riga FC Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Riga FC

    4 : 0

    Liepāja

    Virsliga

  2. Riga FC

    3 : 1

    Liepāja

    Virsliga

  3. Riga FC

    2 : 1

    Liepāja

    Latvian Cup

  4. Riga FC

    3 : 1

    Liepāja

    Virsliga

  5. Liepāja

    0 : 4

    Riga FC

    Virsliga

Liepāja

Liepāja team news

Left full-back/wing-back Cheikh Faye received a straight red card in the previous game vs RFS and will be unavailable for this match. Faye started in six games before the last one vs RFS, where he entered in the 57th minute and received a red card after only two minutes. 

After a 4:1 loss vs RFS, coach Tamaz Pertija spoke to the media. He said they made some mistakes, which cannot happen against such a strong team as RFS. However, he said that is understandable because he is trying to play with younger players and develop them. When asked why he did not opt for some of the more experienced players, the coach responded: "Because there are really players in whom I am very disappointed. It's not easy for me to talk about it because I invited them to the team."

Last matches of Liepāja

  1. Rīgas FS

    4 : 1

    Liepāja

    Virsliga

  2. Liepāja

    1 : 2

    Metta / LU

    Virsliga

  3. Tukums

    0 : 0

    Liepāja

    Virsliga

  4. FC Daugavpils

    0 : 0

    Liepāja

    Virsliga

  5. Liepāja

    0 : 1

    FS Jelgava

    Virsliga

Liepāja lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Ilja Isajevs

Defenders

  • 28

    Alans Kangars

  • 3

    Normunds Uldriks

  • 2

    Rudolfs Ziemelis

Midfielders

  • 21

    Janis Grinbergs

  • 6

    Giorgi Kutsia

  • 99

    Fraj Kayramani

  • 14

    Eduards Tidenbergs

Forwards

  • 7

    Luka Silagadze

  • 9

    Aram Baghdasaryan

  • 11

    Mouhamadou Diaw

Riga FC

Riga FC team news

After a 1:1 draw vs Valmiera, coach Simo Valakari spoke to the media. He said it was an exciting match, and a draw was probably a fair result. He also said it was a game with a lot of transition play because Valmiera likes to defend with only seven players and leave the remaining players ready for a counter-attack. He praised his players for adapting to such a tactic but noted they needed to take better care of the ball. Because whenever they lost it, Valmiera had an opportunity on the other side. 

Riga's total market value is around 11 million euros, compared to Liepaja's only 3.7 million. 

Last matches of Riga FC

  1. Riga FC

    1 : 1

    Valmiera

    Virsliga

  2. Auda

    1 : 2

    Riga FC

    Virsliga

  3. Riga FC

    2 : 0

    Grobiņa

    Virsliga

  4. Riga FC

    1 : 2

    Rīgas FS

    Virsliga

  5. Metta / LU

    1 : 2

    Riga FC

    Virsliga

Riga FC lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Nils Purins

Defenders

  • 13

    Raivis Jurkovskis

  • 21

    Baba Musah

  • 15

    Petar Bosancic

  • 35

    Ivan Erquiaga

Midfielders

  • 20

    Emanuel Muscia

  • 8

    Milos Jojic

  • 93

    Kemelho Nguena

Forwards

  • 77

    Gauthier Mankenda

  • 18

    Marko Regza

  • 23

    Eduards Daskevics

4 Reasons why Riga FC should win and cover the -1 AH spread

  1. Liepaja lost back-to-back games while allowing six games
  2. Liepaja lost eight of 12 games
  3. Riga FC won eight of 12 games
  4. Riga FC won the last seven h2h games

Main prediction Liepāja - Riga FC

AH2 (-1)

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Additional predictions

Team 2 to Win

Best odds:1.21

Liepāja vs Riga FC - FAQ

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How much is the average xG for Liepaja this season?

The average xG for Liepaja in the Virsliga this season is 1.09.

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How much is the average xG for Riga FC this season?

The average xG for Riga FC in the Virsliga this season is 2.05.