Italy vs Albania prediction 15.06.2024 UEFA EURO 2024

Italy

Italy

Kick off:

Date:

Albania

Albania

1

1.40

X

4.70

2

8.80

  • Competition: EURO 2024
  • Date: Saturday, 15th June, 2024
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UTC +1 / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

The current EURO champs, Italy, will start the competition against the weakest team in the group against Group B, Albania. The game will take place at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund. 

After winning the Euro 2020, Italy experienced a major setback as they failed to qualify for the World Cup. Still, after that big failure, Italy did great in the UEFA Nations League, winning a really tough group with Germany, England, and Hungary. In the end, they finished 3rd in the Playoffs. In the EURO Qualifiers, they barely finished 2nd, on a level with points with Ukraine. Italy lacks the big stars they once had (especially upfront), but they are still among the favorites to win the title. The bookies have them as the sixth favorite, with odds around 15.5 behind teams like England, France, Germany, Spain, and Portugal.

This is only the second time Albania reached EURO, with their first being in 2016, when they finished 3rd in a group with France, Switzerland, and Romania. This time, in EURO Qualifiers, they were super-impressive as they won their group. Yes, it was not a great group, but it was an impressive run regardless. Before the start of the competition, the bookies have Albania as the least likely team to win the title, with the odds set at around 500!

Italy vs Albania pick: Italy to win and cover the -1.5 AH spread

After the EURO Qualifiers, Italy played much better. They won two games against Ecuador and Venezuela, while Albania lost against Chile and Sweden without scoring a goal. 

A big part of Albanian success in the EURO Qualifiers is their dominant home performance, where they haven't allowed a single goal in four games and won ten points! Still, like most Balkan teams away from home, they are not even remotely as good, and we do not believe they can make an upset here. This game will be played on a neutral pitch in Germany, but looking at Albanian road games, we can see they have been disastrous, having won only one game (vs Faroe Islands) in 11 games in all competitions. 

These teams met four times, with Italy winning every time, twice by two or more goals. Italy are a much better team and does great in these types of competitions. So, anything but a big win for Italy would be a massive surprise. 

Italy vs Albania Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Albania

    1 : 3

    Italy

    Friendly International

  2. Albania

    0 : 1

    Italy

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Italy

    2 : 0

    Albania

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Italy

    1 : 0

    Albania

    Friendly International

Italy

Italy team news

One of the players who would probably be an important part of the squad is Domenico Berardi, but he has not been called for the national team due to an injury. That is a massive problem for Italy because they lack good offensive players.

Additionally, Sandro Tonali is unavailable due to breaching the betting rules. 

Last matches of Italy

  1. Italy

    1 : 0

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    Friendly International

  2. Italy

    0 : 0

    Turkey

    Friendly International

  3. Ecuador

    0 : 2

    Italy

    Friendly International

  4. Italy

    2 : 1

    Venezuela

    Friendly International

  5. Ukraine

    0 : 0

    Italy

    Euro Qualification

Italy lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gianluigi Donnarumma

Defenders

  • 2

    Giovanni Di Lorenzo

  • 15

    Francesco Acerbi

  • 23

    Alessandro Bastoni

  • 3

    Federico Dimarco

Midfielders

  • 18

    Nicolo Barella

  • 20

    Jorginho

  • 4

    Bryan Cristante

Forwards

  • 10

    Lorenzo Pellegrini

  • 9

    Mateo Retegui

  • 14

    Federico Chiesa

Albania

Albania team news

Due to injuries, the team's first goalkeeper, Etrit Berisha, is questionable. With him potentially out, Thomas Strakosha will definitely be their first option. Also, one of the better offensive players on the team, Myrto Uzuni, will miss EURO after suffering an ACL injury late in the season. 

Albania's total market value is 123 million euros, compared to Italy's 761 million.

Last matches of Albania

  1. Albania

    3 : 1

    Azerbaijan

    Friendly International

  2. Albania

    3 : 0

    Liechtenstein

    Friendly International

  3. Sweden

    1 : 0

    Albania

    Friendly International

  4. Albania

    0 : 3

    Chile

    Friendly International

  5. Albania

    0 : 0

    Faroe Islands

    Euro Qualification

Albania lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Thomas Strakosha

Defenders

  • 4

    Elseid Hysaj

  • 18

    Ardian Ismajli

  • 6

    Berat Djimsiti

  • 3

    Mario Mitaj

Midfielders

  • 21

    Kristjan Asllani

  • 20

    Ylber Ramadani

  • 10

    Nedim Bajrami

Forwards

  • 9

    Jasir Asani

  • 16

    Sokol Cikalleshi

  • 15

    Taulant Seferi

3 Reasons why Italy should win and cover the -1.5 AH spread

  1. Italy's total market value is more than six times bigger than Albania's
  2. Italy won all four h2h games
  3. Albania won most of their points in the EURO Qualifiers at home

Main prediction Italy - Albania

AH1 (-1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.11

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Italy vs Albania - FAQ

? Who could be the goalscorer for Italy?

Federico Chiesa, who scored seven goals for the national team in 45 appearances.

? Who could be the goalscorer for Albania? 

Sokol Cikalleshi, who scored 13 goals for the national team in 60 appearances.