Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Al Nassr prediction 05.12.2023

Istiqlol Dushanbe

Istiqlol Dushanbe

1 : 1

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

The match has ended, you can view football predictions for today and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: AFC Champions League
  • Date: Tuesday, 5th December 2023
  • Kickoff: 16:00 UTC / 17:00 CET
  • Venue: Republican central stadium (Dushanbe)

On Tuesday afternoon, Istiqlol Dushanbe will welcome Al Nassr at Republican Central Stadium in Dushanbe in the last game of the AFC Champions League Group phase, where both teams are without a motive, considering Al Nassr already secured the next stage of the competition. 

Istiqlol Dushanbe have been a dominant force in Tajikistan, winning ten league titles in a row, including this season, where they already secured the title three rounds before the end of the season. However, in the continental competition, expectedly, they are nowhere near as successful. This season, they had very little success in the AFC Champions League as they won just two points in five rounds, and if they fail to win this match against Al Nassr, they will finish the competition as the last-placed team in the group, regardless of the result in the Persepolis vs Al Duhail game. 

Al Nassr are one of the teams from Saudi Arabia that invested a lot of money to bring in high-profile players. Still, since Ronaldo came, Al Nassr won only the Arab Club Champions Cup by beating Al Hilal. And even though Al Nassr are playing relatively well, with the latest loss against Al Hilal, it seems that the domestic league title is slowly slipping away, considering they are already seven points behind Al Hilal with only 15 rounds into the season. Although there is a lot of football to be played, the situation is far from impressive. In the AFC Champions League, Al Nassr easily secured the next phase, and we believe they are one of the primary candidates for the title. 

Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Al Nassr pick: Al Nassr to win and cover the -1 AH spread

Istiqlol Dushanbe are playing well in the domestic league, as they won 13 of 19 games this season - 68%. Still, they are simply not good enough to make some noise in the continental competition. So far, they drew two and lost three in the AFC CL, but the general impression is that they could easily lose all five matches. 

Before the 3:0 loss against Al Hilal, Al Nassr were on a 20-game unbeaten run with 17 wins! Even though losing to a city rival surely hurts, it is not something too embarrassing, considering it occurred at King Fahd International Stadium against one of the best teams in Asia. In the AFC Champions League, Al Nassr won four of five matches, only failing to win against Persepolis (0:0) away from home. However, the primary reason for it is an early red card by Ali Lajami. 

In the previous game, Al Nassr absolutely dominated Istiqlol Dushanbe, winning 3:1 with 80% ball possession and 27 goal attempts, compared to only five goal attempts for the Tajikistan team. Al Nassr are simply a better team, and considering everything above, we expect them to secure another comfortable win. 

Best bookmakers for Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Al Nassr match

Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Al Nassr Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Al Nassr

    3 : 1

    Istiqlol Dushanbe

    AFC Champions League

Istiqlol Dushanbe

Istiqlol Dushanbe team news

The team's best striker, Manuchekhr Dzhalilov, have been out for more than five months due to injury and will also miss the upcoming game. His injury is a massive problem for this team, considering he was really efficient before the injury, scoring nine goals in 12 appearances.

Istiqlol's total market value is around 5 million euros, compared to Al Nassr's 182 million - a difference of more than 36 times. 

Last matches of Istiqlol Dushanbe

  1. Kuktosh

    1 : 4

    Istiqlol Dushanbe

    Vysshaya Liga

  2. Al Duhail

    2 : 0

    Istiqlol Dushanbe

    AFC Champions League

  3. Istiqlol Dushanbe

    1 : 1

    Persepolis

    AFC Champions League

  4. Persepolis

    2 : 0

    Istiqlol Dushanbe

    AFC Champions League

  5. Al Nassr

    3 : 1

    Istiqlol Dushanbe

    AFC Champions League

Istiqlol Dushanbe lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Rustam Yatimov

Defenders

  • 23

    Alidzhon Karomatullozoda

  • 33

    Ivan Novoselec

  • 5

    Sodikdzhon Kurbonov

  • 28

    Akhtam Nazarov

Midfielders

  • 77

    Ayni Alidzhoni

  • 9

    Joseph Okoro

  • 10

    Alisher Dzhalilov

Forwards

  • 13

    Amadoni Kamolov

  • 18

    Pakhlavon Bakhrizoda

  • 11

    Shervoni Mabatshoev

Al Nassr

Al Nassr team news

A starting central defender, Ali Lajami, received a red card in the previous AFC Champions League game vs Persepolis and will be unavailable for the upcoming game. With him out, we will most likely see Abdulelah Al-Amri in the starting lineup. 

A starting left full-back, Alex Telles, suffered an injury in the previous game vs Al Hilal and had to leave the field after 37 minutes. He will most likely miss the game.

Cristiano Ronaldo suffered a neck injury in the previous AFC Champions League but played in the last game against Al Hilal. Considering Al Nassr already qualified for the next phase, coach Luís Castro might decide to rest him and maybe a few other key players. 

Last matches of Al Nassr

  1. Al Hilal

    3 : 0

    Al Nassr

    Pro League

  2. Al Nassr

    0 : 0

    Persepolis

    AFC Champions League

  3. Al Nassr

    3 : 0

    Al Akhdoud

    Pro League

  4. Al Wahda Mecca

    1 : 3

    Al Nassr

    Pro League

  5. Al Duhail

    2 : 3

    Al Nassr

    AFC Champions League

Al Nassr lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 44

    Nawaf Al-Aqidi

Defenders

  • 12

    Nawaf Al-Boushal

  • 27

    Aymeric Laporte

  • 5

    Abdulelah Al-Amri

  • 24

    Mohammed Qasem

Midfielders

  • 77

    Marcelo Brozovic

  • 25

    Otavio

  • 17

    Abdullah Al-Khaibari

Forwards

  • 94

    Talisca

  • 29

    Abdulrahman Ghareeb

  • 23

    Ayman Yahya

4 Reasons why Al Nassr should win the cover the -1 AH spread

  1. Istiqlol Dushanbe lost three of five AFC Champions League games
  2. Al Nassr won four of five games in the competitions
  3. Al Nassr lost only once in the last 21 games in all competitions
  4. Al Nassr won the previous h2h game 3:1

Main prediction Istiqlol Dushanbe - Al Nassr

AH2 (-1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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2.03

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Nikola qq

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27 votes

Yes 78%

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27 votes

No 22%

Additional predictions

Team 2 to Win

Best odds:1.44

Over 2.5

Best odds:1.62

BTTS - NO

Best odds:1.98

Istiqlol Dushanbe & Al Nassr current standing in AFC Champions League

Group E P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 6 4 2 0 13 - 7 +6 14
2 Persepolis 6 2 2 2 5 - 5 0 8
3 Al Duhail 6 2 1 3 9 - 9 0 7
4 Istiqlol Dushanbe 6 0 3 3 3 - 9 -6 3

Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Al Nassr - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Dilema Sport 2 channel.

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Who could be the goalscorer for Istiqlol Dushanbe?

Alisher Dzhalilov, who scored 11 goals in 24 games this season.

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Who could be the goalscorer for Al Nassr?

Talisca, who scored 17 goals in 16 appearances.