Inter vs Empoli prediction 01.04.2024

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

2 : 0

Empoli

Empoli

1

1.25

X

7.24

2

12.6

match ended

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  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Monday, 1st April 2024
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Inter played remarkably well throughout the season, but two poor performances in the Cup vs Sassuolo and the Champions League vs Atletico Madrid (in Madrid) tainted the picture of the 2023/24 season. Yes, they are on pace to win their 20th Scudetto as they have a 14-point advantage over their city rival, AC Milan, but the general impression is that Nerazzurri were capable of more this year. Still, with only nine rounds in Serie A, it is almost impossible for them to fail to win the domestic title. It's also apparent that the bookies believe that they will win the title, as they don't currently offer odds on it. 

Since returning to Serie A, Empoli were in the lower part of the league's table in the previous two years. Still, they were not too close to being relegated as they finished 11 and 12 points away from the danger zone. However, this season looks to be more difficult as they are just one point away from the danger zone. The additional problem for the Blues is a really challenging remaining schedule, considering they will primarily face teams from the upper half of the league's table. 

Inter vs Empoli pick: Under 3.5 goals

Inter are in a mini-crisis. They won one game in the last three matches but were outplayed even in that win (1:0) against Bologna. Throughout the season, their offense looked unstoppable, but that was not the case in recent matches, as they scored only one goal per game in those three matches. So, we do not expect such a dominant offensive performance from them as we are used to.

Empoli are by far the worst offensive team in the league with only 22 scored goals in 29 matches - 0.76 per game. Additionally, they failed to score in the previous three matches vs Bologna, AC Milan, and Cagliari. Primarily due to a poor offense, Empoli was under 3.5 goals in 25 of 29 Serie A games - 86%! 

In the first h2h game this season, Inter won 1:0. Additionally, the last three h2h games finished with fewer than four goals. Considering the last h2h games, Inter's somewhat weaker recent performances, and Empoli's offensive struggles, we believe we should see fewer than four goals in this Serie match clash. 

Inter Milan vs Empoli Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Empoli

    0 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  2. Empoli

    0 : 3

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  3. Inter Milan

    0 : 1

    Empoli

    Serie A

  4. Inter Milan

    4 : 2

    Empoli

    Serie A

  5. Inter Milan

    3 : 2

    Empoli

    Coppa Italia

Inter Milan

Inter team news

The first goalkeeper, Yann Sommer, was injured while playing for his national team (Switzerland). The 35-year-old veteran was forced to leave the field after 37 minutes due to an ankle injury. According to Italian media, he could be ready for the Empoli game. 

According to Italian media, Stefan de Vrij will be out for around two weeks with a thigh injury. Also, Marko Arnautovic and Juan Cuadrado will remain sidelined with their injuries. 

Last matches of Inter Milan

  1. Inter Milan

    1 : 1

    Napoli

    Serie A

  2. Atletico Madrid

    3 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Champions League

  3. Bologna

    0 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  4. Inter Milan

    2 : 1

    Genoa

    Serie A

  5. Inter Milan

    4 : 0

    Atalanta

    Serie A

Inter Milan lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 77

    Emil Audero

Defenders

  • 28

    Benjamin Pavard

  • 15

    Francesco Acerbi

  • 95

    Alessandro Bastoni

Midfielders

  • 2

    Denzel Dumfries

  • 23

    Nicolo Barella

  • 20

    Hakan Calhanoglu

  • 22

    Henrikh Mkhitaryan

  • 32

    Federico Dimarco

Forwards

  • 9

    Marcus Thuram

  • 10

    Lautaro Martinez

Empoli

Empoli team news

Midfielder Youssef Maleh received his tenth yellow card in the previous game vs Bologna and will be suspended for the Inter game. The 25-year Moroccan started in 86% of Empoli's games in Serie A and is a vital part of the squad.

The newest name on the injury list is Tyronne Ebuehi. The 28-year-old Nigerian suffered a partial ACL tear and is ruled out for the rest of the season. Also, Ardian Ismajli and Alberto Grassi should remain sidelined with their injuries. 

Last matches of Empoli

  1. Empoli

    0 : 1

    Bologna

    Serie A

  2. AC Milan

    1 : 0

    Empoli

    Serie A

  3. Empoli

    0 : 1

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  4. Sassuolo

    2 : 3

    Empoli

    Serie A

  5. Empoli

    1 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

Empoli lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    Elia Caprile

Defenders

  • 19

    Bartosz Bereszynski

  • 4

    Sebastian Walukiewicz

  • 33

    Sebastiano Luperto

  • 3

    Giusseppe Pezzella

Midfielders

  • 27

    Szymon Zurkowski

  • 18

    Razvan Marin

  • 8

    Viktor Kovalenko

Forwards

  • 11

    Emmanuel Gyasi

  • 10

    M'Baye Niang

  • 28

    Nicolo Cambiaghi

4 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Inter scored one goal per game in the previous three games
  2. Empoli averaged only 0.76 goals per game
  3. Empoli were under 3.5 goals in 25 of 29 rounds
  4. The last three h2h games finished with fewer than four goals

Main prediction Inter Milan - Empoli

Under 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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1.69

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17 votes

Yes 88%

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17 votes

No 12%

Additional predictions

Team 1 to Win

Best odds:1.25

BTTS - NO

Best odds:1.66

Inter vs Empoli - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

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How much is the average xG for Inter this season?

The average xG for Inter in the Serie A this season is 1.78.

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How much is the average xG for Empoli this season?

The average xG for Empoli in the Serie A this season is 0.94.