Frosinone vs AC Milan prediction 03.02.2024

Frosinone

Frosinone

2 : 3

AC Milan

AC Milan

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  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Saturday, 3rd February 2024
  • Kickoff: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CET
  • Venue: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

On Saturday afternoon, Frosinone will welcome a 19-time Scudetto winner, AC Milan, at Stadio Benito Stirpe in Frosinone. 

Frosinone secured the Serie A by winning the Serie B title last season after leaving Genoa seven points behind. This season, the Yellow and Blues had an excellent start, and despite a poor period from mid-December to mid-January, they are still pretty safe from the danger zone. Right now, they are 13th, with 23 points, five points away from the danger zone. Securing survival is Frosinone's "only" goal, especially since they failed to do so in their last two times when they competed in Serie A. Also, Frosinone had a nice run in the Cup, reaching the quarter-finals, where Juve eventually stopped them at Allianz Stadium. 

AC Milan won their last Scudetto in the 2021/22 season, but last season, they were nowhere close to doing so as they finished 4th, barely securing the Champions League Spot. In fact, the only reason why they played the UCL this season was Juve's ban by UEFA for financial malversations. This year, Rossoneri are not on a desired level in any competition. In Serie A, they are 3rd and slowly losing the title race with the top two teams, Inter and Juve. In the Cup, Atalanta knocked them from the Quarter-Finals, and they also failed to reach the knockout phase in the UCL. However, by finishing third in the group, they will continue their European journey in the Europa League knockout phase. 

Frosinone vs AC Milan pick: Over 2.5 goals

Frosinone have the highest goal per game (3.2) and the most games with three or more goals - 15 of 22. Defensively, they have been really bad, and with 41 conceded goals, they are the second-worst in the Serie A. On the other hand, their offense have been solid, much better than the teams from the lower part of the league's table. For example, the last season's champs, Napoli, scored only one goal more. So, at home, against Milan, which haven't been great defensively in recent games, we expect at least one scored goal.

AC Milan played only high-scoring games recently and were over 2.5 goals in the last six games in all competitions. In the last three games, their offense really looked good, scoring eight goals while missing two penalties. 

In the previous h2h game, at Milan, AC Milan won 3:1. Considering everything above, we believe that over 2.5 goals is the safest bet for this Serie A match. 

Frosinone vs AC Milan Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. AC Milan

    3 : 1

    Frosinone

    Serie A

  2. AC Milan

    2 : 0

    Frosinone

    Serie A

  3. Frosinone

    0 : 0

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  4. AC Milan

    3 : 3

    Frosinone

    Serie A

  5. Frosinone

    2 : 4

    AC Milan

    Serie A

Frosinone

Frosinone team news

Due to injuries, the team will have massive problems at the back. They should miss the players who missed the previous games: Sergio Kalaj, Riccardo Marchizza, Anthony Oyono, Jaime Baez, Pol Lirola, Mateus Lusuardi, Marvin Cuni, and Kevin Bonifazi. 

After a 1:1 draw with Verona in the previous game, coach Eusebio Di Francesco spoke to the media. He said they had to play with two midfielders as full-backs and was satisfied with the team for adjusting. But he called out the sports director, saying they need some additions to the team because they are having massive injury problems. 

Last matches of Frosinone

  1. Hellas Verona

    1 : 1

    Frosinone

    Serie A

  2. Frosinone

    3 : 1

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  3. Atalanta

    5 : 0

    Frosinone

    Serie A

  4. Juventus

    4 : 0

    Frosinone

    Coppa Italia

  5. Frosinone

    2 : 3

    AC Monza

    Serie A

Frosinone lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 80

    Stefano Turati

Defenders

  • 14

    Francesco Gelli

  • 5

    Caleb Okoli

  • 6

    Simone Romagnoli

  • 4

    Marco Brescianini

Midfielders

  • 45

    Enzo Barrenechea

  • 24

    Mehdi Bourabia

  • 21

    Abdou Harroui

Forwards

  • 18

    Matias Soule

  • 9

    Kaio Jorge

  • 8

    Demba Seck

AC Milan

AC Milan team news

Just like Frosinone, AC Milan also has many injured players at the back: Fikayo Tomori, Malick Thiaw, Pierre Kalulu, and Mattia Caldara. So, we should expect Matteo Gabbia and Simon Kjaer at the back, as in the previous game vs Bologna. Besides those defenders, the team will also miss Ismael Bennacer and Tommaso Pobega with injuries. 

An attacking midfielder, Samuel Chukwueze, is with his national team (Nigeria) in the ongoing AFCON and is unavailable for the Frosinone game.

Last matches of AC Milan

  1. AC Milan

    2 : 2

    Bologna

    Serie A

  2. Udinese

    2 : 3

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  3. AC Milan

    3 : 1

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  4. AC Milan

    1 : 2

    Atalanta

    Coppa Italia

  5. Empoli

    0 : 3

    AC Milan

    Serie A

AC Milan lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Mike Maignan

Defenders

  • 2

    Davide Calabria

  • 24

    Simon Kjaer

  • 46

    Matteo Gabbia

  • 19

    Theo Hernandez

Midfielders

  • 7

    Yacine Adli

  • 8

    Ruben Loftus-Cheek

  • 14

    Tijani Reijnders

Forwards

  • 11

    Cristian Pulisic

  • 9

    Olivier Giroud

  • 10

    Rafael Leao

4 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Frosinone went 15 times over 2.5 goals in 22 Serie A games
  2. AC Milan were over 2.5 goals in the last six games
  3. Frosinone allowed 41 goals in 22 Serie A rounds
  4. In the previous h2h game, AC Milan won 3:1

Main prediction Frosinone - AC Milan

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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1.69

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Do you agree with Nikola qq ?

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Nikola qq

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23 votes

Yes 83%

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23 votes

No 17%

Additional predictions

Team 2 to Win

Best odds:1.71

BTTS

Best odds:1.67

Frosinone vs AC Milan - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

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How much is the average xG for Frosinone this season?

The average xG for Frosinone in the Serie A this season is 1.14.

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How much is the average xG for AC Milan this season?

The average xG for AC Milan in the Serie A this season is 1.48.