France vs Luxembourg prediction 05.06.2024

• Competition: Friendly International
• Date: Wednesday, 5th June, 2024
• Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
• Venue: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

France, the World Cup vice-champions, were super close to securing the World Cup title but eventually lost it on penalties after a great Finals match against Argentina. After that, France did great in the EURO Qualifiers, easily securing first place in the Group with the Netherlands, Greece, Ireland, and Gibraltar. Now, in the EURO, Les Bleus are surely among the favorites for the title and are the second-favorite according to bookmakers. Currently, the odds of them winning the title are 5.0, only behind England, with odds of 4.0.

Luxembourg were a long time among the worst teams in Europe. However, we can see a significant improvement in recent years as they came close to gaining promotion to UEFA Nations League B after finishing 2nd in their Group. In the EURO Qualifiers, Luxembourg were also very good, finishing 3rd in a very tough group with Portugal, Slovakia, Iceland, Bosnia & Herzegovina, and Liechtenstein. They had an additional chance to secure EURO but were stopped by Georgia in the Playoff Semi-Finals by 2:0.

France vs Luxembourg pick: Over 3.5 goals

France are one of the best teams in Europe and surely one of the teams with the best offense. They are capable of scoring three or four goals against teams like Luxembourg or even stronger ones. Looking at the last six games in all competitions, France has scored two or more goals on five occasions. Mostly due to a good offense, they were over 3.5 goals in four of those six matches.

Luxembourg are not as bad as the other small countries in Europe. They score pretty regularly and have done so in seven of those ten matches. Defensively, they did well against most teams, but when they face good teams, they tend to collapse. We saw that in two games against Portugal, where they lost 9:0 and 6:0. Objectively, France has a lot better offensive potential than Portugal and should also do well against Luxembourg.

Considering all the above, we expect Los Blues to win dominantly. However, since the odds on -AH 1.5/2 are very low, we believe that an over 3.5 goals bet is the best choice for this friendly match.