Ecuador vs Italy prediction 24.03.2024

Ecuador

Ecuador

0 : 2

Italy

Italy

1

3.42

X

3.32

2

2.18

match ended

The match has ended, you can view football predictions for today and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: Friendly International
  • Date: Sunday, 24th March 2024
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UTC / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Red Bull Arena (Harrison, NJ)

After winning the Euro 2020, Italy experienced a massive setback as they failed to secure the World Cup appearance (second in a row). But after a failure in the WC Qualifiers, Italy played well in the UEFA Nations League, winning the group and finishing 3rd in the Playoffs. In the EURO Qualifiers, Italy were not too impressive. Yes, they secured the EURO appearance but were on a level with points with Ukraine, which played their home games on a neutral pitch. The general impression is that Italy are a step behind the best teams in the World at this moment, but they are still a dangerous team capable of a lot.

Ecuador are 31st on the FIFA World Ranking list and the number five in the South America region. They were solid in the previous World Cup in Qatar, as they had the opportunity to advance to the knockout phase in the final game of the group phase but lost to Senegal and blew the historic opportunity. After the World Cup, Ecuador started another WC Qualification cycle well, holding 5th place with eight points. But they had a three-point deduction, and if it weren’t for that, they would have had an even better situation.

Italy vs Ecuador pick: Italy to win

Lately, Italy were solid in the previous eight matches, losing only 2:1 to England in London in a close game. The biggest problem for Italy in recent years was the striker position. The federation tried to fix that by adding an Argentine-born Mateo Retegui, which seems to be the right move. The young striker scored four goals in five appearances and two goals in the last match vs Venezuela. He could be a real game-changer for this squad if he is healthy.

Ecuador are in good form, losing just once in the last ten matches. But they mostly faced mediocre teams, objectively weaker than Italy. Lately, their defensive performances have been impressive as they have kept a clean sheet in the last four games, and Italy will surely have the challenging task of scoring. Still, we believe that Italy are a better team overall and should walk away with a victory.

Ecuador

Ecuador team news

Coach Luciano Spalletti called three newcomers into the squad: Raoul Bellanova (Torino), Michael Folorunsho (Hellas Verona), and Lorenzo Lucca (Udinese). On the other hand, he left out Gianluca Scammacca and Lazio legend Ciro Immobile. Additionally, attacking winger Domenico Berardi was left out due to a leg injury he sustained earlier this month.

Inter’s central defender, Francesco Acerbi, was called to the national team but left the squad after he was accused of racial language towards Juan Jesus in the previous game vs Napoli.

Last matches of Ecuador

  1. Ecuador

    2 : 0

    Guatemala

    Friendly International

  2. Ecuador

    1 : 0

    Chile

    WC Qualification South America

  3. Venezuela

    0 : 0

    Ecuador

    WC Qualification South America

  4. Ecuador

    0 : 0

    Colombia

    WC Qualification South America

  5. Bolivia

    1 : 2

    Ecuador

    WC Qualification South America

Ecuador lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Alexander Dominguez

Defenders

  • 18

    Julio Ortiz

  • 4

    Robert Arboleda

  • 3

    Piero Hincapie

  • 6

    Wilian Pacho

  • 7

    Pervis Estupinan

Midfielders

  • 9

    John Yeboah

  • 23

    Moises Caicedo

  • 5

    Jose Cifuentes

  • 11

    Jeremy Sarmiento

Forwards

  • 19

    Jordy Caicedo

Italy

Italy team news

Striker Enner Valencia did not play against Guatemala just days ago due to pain in his right foot and will most likely miss the game against Italy. With him out, Jordy Caicedo will most likely start once again as a replacement.

Ecuador’s total market value is around 236 million euros, compared to Italy’s 757 million.

Last matches of Italy

  1. Italy

    2 : 1

    Venezuela

    Friendly International

  2. Ukraine

    0 : 0

    Italy

    Euro Qualification

  3. Italy

    5 : 2

    North Macedonia

    Euro Qualification

  4. England

    3 : 1

    Italy

    Euro Qualification

  5. Italy

    4 : 0

    Malta

    Euro Qualification

Italy lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gianluigi Donnarumma

Defenders

  • 2

    Giovanni Di Lorenzo

  • 4

    Alessandro Buongiorno

  • 23

    Alessandro Bastoni

Midfielders

  • 24

    Andrea Cambiaso

  • 18

    Nicolo Barella

  • 7

    Giacomo Bonaventura

  • 5

    Manuel Locatelli

  • 3

    Federico Dimarco

Forwards

  • 9

    Mateo Retegui

  • 14

    Federico Chiesa

3 Reasons why Italy should win

  1. Italy’s total market value is more than three times bigger
  2. Ecuador will miss their best striker, Enner Valencia
  3. Italy won four of the previous six games

Main prediction Ecuador - Italy

Italy to win

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.18

Bet here

Do you agree with Nikola qq ?

Nikola qq

Nikola qq

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99 votes

Yes 75%

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99 votes

No 25%

Additional predictions

Under 2.5

Best odds:1.66

BTTS - NO

Best odds:1.82

Ecuador vs Italy - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

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Who could be the goalscorer for Italy?

Mateo Retegui, who scored two goals vs Venezuela in the previous game.

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Who could be the goalscorer for Ecuador?

John Yeboah, who scored a goal in the previous game vs Guatemala.