Crvena Zvezda vs TSC Backa Topola prediction 02.05.2024

• Competition: Super Liga, Championship Group
• Date: Thursday, 2nd May, 2024
• Kickoff: 18:00 UTC +1 / 19:00 CEST
• Venue: Stadion Rajko Mitić (Belgrade)

Crvena Zvezda dominated the Serbian league in recent years, winning six consecutive league titles and three Cup titles in those six years! This year, the Red and Whites again spent a lot of money (by Serbian football standards), and it was evident they were the primary candidate for the title again. After battling with their arch-rivals for the top spot for the entire season, with Partizan losing three in a row, Crvena Zvezda are now super close to winning the title. There are only five rounds left, and Crvena Zvezda have an 11-point advantage, which is almost impossible to lose in Super Liga. Also, just about a week ago, Crvena Zvezda eliminated their arch-rival (Partizan) in the Cup Semi-Finals and entered the last part of the season super confident. 

TSC Backa Topola became one of the best teams in Serbia, even securing second place last year and a Champions League Qualifiers. This year, they were third for most of the season, and it looked like another second-place finish was too far. However, with second-placed Partizan losing three in a row, including the last game to TSC, the gap between them is only four points. Now, they need to continue with good results, but they will have a really hard job against the league's leader at Stadion Rajko Mitić in Belgrade.

Crvena Zvezda vs TSC Backa Topola pick: TSC Backa Topola to cover the +1.5 AH spread

Crvena Zvezda are the best team in the league, and after securing a win against arch-rival Partizan, the title is almost a certainty. In the last match, they played one of the worst games of the season (0:0 vs Vojvodina) and barely secured one point. One of the reasons behind it is that they rotated the squad a bit, and their coach announced they will continue to do so in the remainder of the season.

While Crvena Zvezda is without too much motive, TSC is hunting for that 2nd place, which is only four points away. They are generally in excellent form, having lost just once (vs Vojvodina 3:2) in the last nine games. Even in that match, they lost only by one goal difference. Throughout the season, they played 33 games in the domestic competitions and lost just once by more than one goal difference. 

With a massive difference in motive, and considering TSC only lost once in 33 games by more than one goal difference, we believe the underdogs can make this game close. We will try with a +1.5 AH bet on the visitors.