Boca Juniors vs Sarmiento prediction 01.02.2024

• Date: 01.02.2024
• Competition: LPA
• KO: 22:00 UTC / 23:00 CET
• Venue: Estadio Pedro Bidegaín (Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires)

Boca Juniors vs Sarmiento Betting Tips - Under 2.5 Goals

Boca Juniors come into Thursday's LPA match coming off the back of a 0-0 stalemate in their first match of the new season against Platense. Likewise, Sarmiento were held to a goalless draw in their first league contest of the season against Tigre.

Goals seem likely to be few and far between in this contest and still early in the season, we have little in the way of recent form to make any solid predictions. However, history tells us that a low-scoring home win is the most likely outcome for this LPA encounter.

Boca have endured a tough run of form at home in recent months, with the famous giants of Argentine football only recording two wins in their last ten on home soil. A lack of goals has been a major issue and as a result, only one of their last ten home fixtures saw over 2.5 goals scored.

Visiting Sarmiento endured a miserable run of form in the LPA towards the end of last season. Now under the charge of Sergio Rondina, the Verde Verdolaga have won just one of their last 13 league matches (W1, D8, L4). Only 13 goals were scored in those 13 matches, suggesting we cannot expect a goal-fest in Buenos Aires on Thursday.

Taking a look at the H2H record reveals Boca have claimed victory in three of four previous home matches against Sarmiento. In addition, all seven previous meetings since 2015 saw under 2.5 goals scored.

Given both teams' struggles, the under 2.5 goal pick has to be the most secure selection for this LPA clash. Adding Boca to win can add further value but be prepared for a tight low-scoring affair that could be settled by just one goal.