Benfica vs Toulouse prediction 15.02.2024.



2 : 1



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  • Competition: Europa League
  • Date: Thursday, 15th February 2024
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UTC / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

Benfica have another good season. In the Portuguese league, they will have a tight race with Sporting CP and Porto for the title, while in the Europa League, Benfica are among the teams that could go all over to the final game. Roger Schmidt's team are without a loss in the last four matches in all competitions. Last weekend, they played 2-2 on the road against Vitoria Guimaraes. Surprisingly, the home side was much closer to the win as they had xG of 2.34, while guests had 0.88. 

The 2023/24 could be a horror for Toulouse. They collected only 20 points in 21 Ligue 1 rounds, so Toulouse could return to the second level of French football after only two seasons. Carles Martinez's team lost three of the last four matches. In the previous game, they lost 2-1 at home against Nantes. According to the stats, Toulouse dominated in that match, but Martinez's team still stayed empty-handed once again. Now, they will focus on the Europa League 1/16 final, but they will probably very soon refocus on Ligue 1, where they will wait for crucial battles to avoid relegation. 

Benfica vs Toulouse pick: Over 2.5 goals

Benfica scored 11 goals in the last four matches. Also, all four games went over 2.5 goals. On the other hand, Toulouse allowed ten goals in the previous four games and went over 2.5 goals in three of those four matches. Over 2.5 goals should be the best bet for this tie between Benfica and Toulouse. 


Benfica team news

Benfica's head coach, Roger Schmidt, admitted that Benfica was lucky to take one point from the game versus Vitoria Guimaraes. He said that his team wanted to win, but it was difficult, but they saved themself in the final minute. 

Benfica will be without injured Juan Bernat versus Toulouse on Thursday night. Besides him, all other players are available to Roger Schmidt. 

Last matches of Benfica

  1. Vitoria Guimaraes

    2 : 2


    Liga Portugal

  2. Vizela

    1 : 2


    Taça De Portugal

  3. Benfica

    3 : 0

    Gil Vicente

    Liga Portugal

  4. Estrela Amadora

    1 : 4


    Liga Portugal

  5. Benfica

    4 : 5


    League Cup

Benfica lineup


  • 1

    Anatolii Trubin


  • 6

    Alexander Bah

  • 4

    Antonio Silva

  • 30

    Nicolas Otamendi

  • 5



  • 87

    Joao Neves

  • 11

    Angel Di Maria

  • 10

    Orkun Kokcu


  • 20

    Joao Mario

  • 27

    Rafa Silva

  • 8

    Fredrik Aursnes


Toulouse team news

Toulouse have two injured players for the upcoming Europa League tie. They will be without Denis Genreau and Zakaria Aboukhlal. But we should say that neither player had a big role this season, so their absence will not be a big blow for Carles Martinez's team for the game versus Benfica. 

Last matches of Toulouse

  1. Toulouse

    1 : 2


    Ligue 1

  2. Reims

    2 : 3


    Ligue 1

  3. Toulouse

    0 : 2

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  4. Rouen

    3 : 3


    Coupe de France

  5. Metz

    0 : 1


    Ligue 1

Toulouse lineup


  • 50

    Guillaume Restes


  • 3

    Mikkel Desler

  • 13

    Christian Mawissa

  • 2

    Rasmus Nicolaisen

  • 17

    Gabriel Suazo


  • 8

    Vincent Sierro

  • 37

    Yann Gboho

  • 20

    Niklas Schmidt


  • 80

    Shavy Babicka

  • 9

    Thijs Dallinga

  • 15

    Aron Donnum

4 Reasons why we should see three or more goals in this match

  1. Benfica scored 11 goals in the last four matches
  2. Benfica went over 2.5 goals in each of the previous four games
  3. Toulouse allowed ten goals in the last four matches
  4. Toulouse went over 2.5 goals in each of the previous four games

Main prediction Benfica - Toulouse

Over 2.5 goals



55% winrate


1 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

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Do you agree with Nemanja 87 ?

Nemanja 87

Nemanja  87

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27 votes

Yes 78%

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27 votes

No 22%

Additional predictions

AH1 (-1.5)

Best odds:2.11


Best odds:2.06

Benfica vs Toulouse - FAQ


Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.


How much is the average xG for Benfica this season?

The average xG for Benfica in Liga Portugal this season is 1.99.


How much is the average xG for Toulouse this season?

The average xG for Toulouse in Ligue 1 this season is 1.13.