Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund prediction 30.03.2024

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

0 : 2

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1

1.46

X

5.82

2

6.31

match ended

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  • Competition: Bundesliga
  • Date: Saturday, 30th March 2024
  • Kickoff: 17:30 UK / 18:30 CET
  • Venue: Allianz Arena (Munich)

After years of domination in Germany, Bayern found themselves in a difficult situation eight rounds before the end of the Bundesliga. The Bavarians are ten points behind the league's leader (Bayer Leverkusen), and this game could decide the season's outcome. Also, the third-tier team, Saarbrucken, knocked them out of the Cup. So, their best chance of winning the title this season is in the Champions League, where they reached the Quarter Finals and will face off against Arsenal on April 9th. 

Borussia Dortmund were super-close to winning the Bundesliga trophy but blew the opportunity in the last round. This year, it was evident they lost their X factor in Jude Bellingham. They held 4th place for the majority of the season, and finishing 4th and securing the Champions League appearance next season seems to be the maximum for the Black and Yellow. Just like Bayern, their best chance of securing the title is through the CL, where they will meet Atletico Madrid in the quarter-finals. 

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund pick: Bayern Munich to win and cover the -1.5 AH spread

The primary reason why Bayern are ten points behind Bayer Leverkusen is due to a somewhat poor road record. At home, the Bavarians won 11 of 13 games (85%) while scoring 47 goals - by far the most in the league. Bayern Munich are in absolutely great form, winning three in a row against Lazio, Mainz, and Darmstadt with an incredible 16 scored goals - 5.33 per game. 

Borussia Dortmund are in excellent form, no doubt about it. They won four in a row but will now face the team that handed them their worst defeat of the season. In the first h2h game, Bayern demolished Borussia Dortmund, winning 4:0 at Signal Iduna Park. Additionally, in the last eleven h2h games, Bayern Munich won ten times. Also, the Bavarians won by two or more goals difference in six of those ten wins.

We believe that Bayern Munich have the advantage and should secure a comfortable win at Allianz Arena. 

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Borussia Dortmund

    0 : 4

    Bayern Munich

    Bundesliga

  2. Bayern Munich

    4 : 2

    Borussia Dortmund

    Bundesliga

  3. Borussia Dortmund

    2 : 2

    Bayern Munich

    Bundesliga

  4. Bayern Munich

    3 : 1

    Borussia Dortmund

    Bundesliga

  5. Borussia Dortmund

    2 : 3

    Bayern Munich

    Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich team news

The team are having massive injury problems. Harry Kane suffered an ankle injury in the last game vs Darmstadt and had to leave the field in the 82nd minute. The English striker is questionable at this moment. 

Manuel Neuer picked up a minor injury while playing for Germany's national team and is questionable, too. At the same time, midfielder Aleksandar Pavlovic is questionable due to an illness. On the other hand, the players who missed the previous games due to injuries should remain sidelined: Noussair Mazraoui, Kingsley Coman, and Sacha Boey.

Last matches of Bayern Munich

  1. Darmstadt 98

    2 : 5

    Bayern Munich

    Bundesliga

  2. Bayern Munich

    8 : 1

    FSV Mainz

    Bundesliga

  3. Bayern Munich

    3 : 0

    Lazio

    Champions League

  4. SC Freiburg

    2 : 2

    Bayern Munich

    Bundesliga

  5. Bayern Munich

    2 : 1

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

Bayern Munich lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 26

    Sven Ulreich

Defenders

  • 6

    Joshua Kimmich

  • 4

    Matthijs de Ligt

  • 15

    Eric Dier

  • 19

    Alphonso Davies

Midfielders

  • 27

    Konrad Laimer

  • 25

    Thomas Muller

  • 8

    Leon Goretzka

Forwards

  • 10

    Leroy Sane

  • 13

    Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting

  • 42

    Jamal Musiala

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund team news

Midfielder Marcel Sabitzer received a straight red card vs Werder Bremen and will serve his suspension against Bayern Munich. 

Goalkeeper Gregor Kobel left the Swiss national team due to injury problems and is questionable for the upcoming match. 

Ramy Bensebaini suffered an injury while playing for Algeria and will most likely remain sidelined. At the same time, Sebastien Haller should miss his eighth game in a row due to an ankle injury. 

Last matches of Borussia Dortmund

  1. Borussia Dortmund

    3 : 1

    Eintracht Frankfurt

    Bundesliga

  2. Borussia Dortmund

    2 : 0

    PSV Eindhoven

    Champions League

  3. Werder Bremen

    1 : 2

    Borussia Dortmund

    Bundesliga

  4. FC Union Berlin

    0 : 2

    Borussia Dortmund

    Bundesliga

  5. Borussia Dortmund

    2 : 3

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 33

    Alexander Meyer

Defenders

  • 17

    Marius Wolf

  • 15

    Mats Hummels

  • 4

    Nico Schlotterbeck

  • 22

    Ian Maatsen

Midfielders

  • 19

    Julien Brandt

  • 23

    Emre Can

  • 11

    Marco Reus

Forwards

  • 21

    Donyell Malen

  • 14

    Niclas Fullkrug

  • 27

    Karim Adeyemi

3 Reasons why Bayern Munich should win and cover the -1.5 AH spread

  1. Bayern Munich won three in a row with 16 scored goals
  2. Bayern Munich won 11 of 13 Bundesliga home games
  3. Bayern Munich won the previous h2h game 4:0 away from home

Main prediction Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund

AH1 (-1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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2.07

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Do you agree with Nikola qq ?

Nikola qq

Nikola qq

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24 votes

Yes 83%

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24 votes

No 17%

Additional predictions

BTTS

Best odds:1.36

Over 3.5

Best odds:1.67

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the beIN Sports channel.

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How much is the average xG for Bayern Munich this season?

The average xG for Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga this season is 2.27.

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How much is the average xG for Borussia Dortmund this season?

The average xG for Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga this season is 1.68.