Atletico Madrid vs Valencia prediction 28.01.2024

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2 : 0

Valencia

Valencia

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  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Sunday, 28th January 2024
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UTC / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)

Since Diego Simeone arrived at Atletico Madrid, Colchoneros were pretty much constantly in the top three teams in Spain, even winning the league title on two occasions. This year, Simeone's squad is slowly losing the race with the top two teams this season, Real Madrid and Girona, and their only goal will be to finish in the top four spots and secure the Champions League next year. Currently, they are 4th with 41 points after 20 rounds. In the UCL, Colchoneros easily secured the knockout phase by finishing first in the group and also did great in the Cup, where they reached the Semi-finals after eliminating Sevilla and Real Madrid in the previous rounds. 

Years when Valencia constantly secured Europe are long over. In the last four seasons, popular Bats were between 9th and 14th place without a real chance of securing Europe. In fact, last year, they barely escaped relegation after finishing just two points away from the danger zone. This season, through the season, they were mediocre, but with four wins in a row, they quickly moved in the standings and are now 7th with 32 points, only three away from the European spots. 

Atletico Madrid vs Valencia pick: Over 2.5 goals

Atletico Madrid have been incredible at Metropolitano Stadium this season, and their road record is the only reason they are not at the top of the league (or at least close to it). At home, Colchoneros are undefeated in 15 games while winning 14 of those 15 games! Their offense have been incredible at home, with 37 scored goals in those 15 matches (2.5 per game), and scoring at least two goals is a very realistic scenario against anyone in the World. Because of their excellent offensive performance, Colchoneros were over 2.5 goals in 11 of 15 games - 73.3%.

Valencia are in excellent form, winning five of the last six games in all competitions. Their offense finally started producing on a regular basis and have scored 11 goals over the previous six matches, so we expect them to score in this match as well. On the other hand, away from home, Valencia are having trouble defensively, and with 19 allowed goals in 11 games, they are among the worst teams in that category. 

In the previous six h2h games, we have seen three or more goals on five occasions. Considering the previous h2h games, both team's good form, and Atletico's offensive potential at Metropolitano Stadium, we expect a game with at least three goals, most likely with both teams scoring.

Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Valencia

    3 : 0

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  2. Atletico Madrid

    3 : 0

    Valencia

    La Liga

  3. Valencia

    0 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  4. Atletico Madrid

    3 : 2

    Valencia

    La Liga

  5. Valencia

    3 : 3

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid team news

According to the club's website, Cesar Azpilicueta suffered a meniscus tear. There is no definite timetable for his return, but he will probably be out until mid-April. Also, Vitolo and Thomas Thomas Lemar will remain sidelined with long-term injuries. 

Reinildo Mandava returned from AFCON after Mozambique's elimination from the tournament and was on the bench in the previous game vs Sevilla in the Cup. 

Last matches of Atletico Madrid

  1. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 0

    Sevilla

    Copa Del Rey

  2. Granada

    0 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  3. Atletico Madrid

    2 : 2

    Real Madrid

    Copa Del Rey

  4. Real Madrid

    2 : 0

    Atletico Madrid

    Super Cup

  5. Lugo

    1 : 3

    Atletico Madrid

    Copa Del Rey

Atletico Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Jan Oblak

Defenders

  • 2

    Jose Gimenez

  • 20

    Axel Witsel

  • 22

    Mario Hermoso

Midfielders

  • 16

    Nahuel Molina

  • 5

    Rodrigo de Paul

  • 6

    Koke

  • 8

    Saul Niguez

  • 12

    Samuel Lino

Forwards

  • 19

    Alvaro Morata

  • 7

    Antoine Grizmann

Valencia

Valencia team news

Mouctar Diakhaby and Selim Amallah are with their national teams for the ongoing AFCON and are unavailable for the upcoming game. 

Sergi Canos suffered a hamstring injury in the previous game vs Athletic Bilbao and had to leave the field after 14 minutes. He will most likely be out for at least a week or two. With him out, we could see Jesús Vázquez start as his replacement as a left midfielder.

Besides Canos, Alberto Mari and Albero Almeida should remain sidelined with their injuries. 

Last matches of Valencia

  1. Valencia

    1 : 0

    Athletic Bilbao

    La Liga

  2. Valencia

    1 : 3

    Celta Vigo

    Copa Del Rey

  3. Cadiz

    1 : 4

    Valencia

    La Liga

  4. FC Cartagena

    0 : 1

    Valencia

    Copa Del Rey

  5. Valencia

    3 : 1

    Villarreal

    La Liga

Valencia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    Giorgi Mamardashvili

Defenders

  • 20

    Dimitri Folquier

  • 3

    Cristhian Mosquera

  • 5

    Gabriel Paulista

  • 14

    Jose Gaya

Midfielders

  • 23

    Francisco Perez

  • 6

    Hugo Guillamon

  • 18

    Pepelu

  • 21

    Jesus Vazquez

Forwards

  • 9

    Hugo Duro

  • 16

    Diego Lopez

4 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Atletico Madrid were over 2.5 goals in 11 of 15 home games
  2. Atletico Madrid scored 40 goals in 20 La Liga games
  3. Valencia scored at least one goal in the last seven games
  4. We have seen three or more goals in five of the previous six h2h games

Main prediction Atletico Madrid - Valencia

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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1.88

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Do you agree with Nikola qq ?

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Nikola qq

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29 votes

Yes 66%

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29 votes

No 34%

Additional predictions

BTTS

Best odds:1.95

Team 1 to Win

Best odds:1.53

Atletico Madrid vs Valencia - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

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How much is the average xG for Atletico Madrid this season?

The average xG for Atletico Madrid in La Liga this season is 1.53.

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How much is the average xG for Valencia this season?

The average xG for Valencia in La Liga this season is 0.9.