Aston Villa vs Manchester United prediction 11.02.2024

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1 : 2

Manchester United

Manchester United

The match has ended, you can view football predictions for today and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Sunday, 11th February 2024
  • Kickoff: 16:30 UK / 17:30 CET
  • Venue: Villa Park (Birmingham)

Aston Villa are undoubtedly one of the most pleasant surprises in the Premier League. The improvement under Unai Emery is evident as they are currently sitting in 4th place, just five away from the top spot. Still, it seems that they are slowing down, as they won just once in the last five games in all competitions. It will be interesting to see how they will respond after a big 3:1 loss at Villa Park in the FA Cup 1/16 Finals against Chelsea. Also, the Villans were superb in the Europa Conference League, where they reached the 1/8 Finals and are the primary candidate for the title by the bookies. Generally speaking, their season has been a success so far, but their recent form is worrisome. 

On the other hand, Manchester United's season has been a disaster, at least by their standards. The Red Devils got embarrassed in the UCL, finishing last in a pretty easy group with Bayern, FC Copenhagen, and Galatasaray. In the Premier League, they are already 13 points away from the top spot and eight away from their next opponent and the Champions League spot. Still, it seems that they finally started playing better, as they won four of the last five matches. 

Aston Villa vs Manchester United pick: Over 2.5 goals

Aston Villa are one of the best offensive teams in the league, with 49 goals scored in 23 Premier League games - 2.13. Mostly because of a good offensive display, the Villans were over 2.5 goals in 16 of 23 Premier League games. At home, they have been incredible for the majority of the season, losing just three games and 17 matches in all competitions. However, even in those losses, the Villans managed to score, so a goal or two against anyone in England is pretty much guaranteed. 

Manchester United had massive problems offensively this season, but it looks like that Erik ten Hag finally found a recipe for success. They won five times in the last seven games while scoring 19 goals (2.71 per game)! Yes, some of those games were against lower-tier teams in the FA Cup, but still, three scored goals vs West Ham, four against Wolves, and two against Tottenham are a big reason for optimism. 

These teams met about a month and a half with Manchester United winning 3:2 at Old Trafford. Additionally, we have seen three or more goals in five of the last six h2h games. Considering the previous h2h games, Aston Villa's offensive displays at Villa Park throughout the season, and MU's recent goalscoring form, we expect at least three goals, most likely with both teams scoring. 

Aston Villa vs Manchester United Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Manchester United

    3 : 2

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  2. Manchester United

    1 : 0

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  3. Manchester United

    4 : 2

    Aston Villa

    Carabao Cup

  4. Aston Villa

    3 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  5. Manchester United

    2 : 2

    Aston Villa

    Club Friendlies 1

Aston Villa

Aston Villa team news

The newest name on the injury list is Ezri Konsa. According to English media, the 26-year-old defender has a knee sprain and will not be available for three or four weeks. His absence is surely a big blow for the Villans, considering he started in all 23 Premier League games this season. 

The players who missed the previous games due to injuries will remain sidelined: Emiliano Buenadia, Tyrone Mings, and Jhon Duran, while Lucas Digne is doubtful with a thigh injury. 

Last matches of Aston Villa

  1. Aston Villa

    1 : 3

    Chelsea

    FA Cup

  2. Sheffield United

    0 : 5

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  3. Aston Villa

    1 : 3

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  4. Chelsea

    0 : 0

    Aston Villa

    FA Cup

  5. Everton

    0 : 0

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

Aston Villa lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Emiliano Martinez

Defenders

  • 2

    Matty Cash

  • 3

    Diego Carlos

  • 17

    Clement Lenglet

  • 15

    Alex Moreno

Midfielders

  • 44

    Boubacar Kamara

  • 8

    Youri Tielemans

  • 6

    Douglas Luiz

Forwards

  • 31

    Leon Bailey

  • 11

    Ollie Watkins

  • 7

    John McGinn

Manchester United

Manchester United team news

Lisandro Martinez suffered a knee injury in the previous game vs West Ham and had to leave the field after 71 minutes. It is still early to tell, but he is expected to be sidelined for at least eight weeks. 

Besides Martinez, the players who missed the previous matches should remain sidelined: Aaron Wan-Bissaka, Mason Mount, Tyrell Malacia, and Anthony Martial.

In recent games, ten Hag used more or less the same starting eleven, especially up front. Rashford - Hojlund - Garnacho trio finally started producing goals on a regular basis, and we shouldn't expect any changes there. 

Last matches of Manchester United

  1. Manchester United

    3 : 0

    West Ham United

    Premier League

  2. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    3 : 4

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  3. Newport County

    2 : 4

    Manchester United

    FA Cup

  4. Manchester United

    2 : 2

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

  5. Wigan Athletic

    0 : 2

    Manchester United

    FA Cup

Manchester United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 24

    Andre Onana

Defenders

  • 20

    Diogo Dalot

  • 5

    Harry Maguire

  • 19

    Raphael Varane

  • 23

    Luke Shaw

Midfielders

  • 37

    Kobbie Mainoo

  • 8

    Bruno Fernandes

  • 18

    Casemiro

Forwards

  • 17

    Alejandro Garnacho

  • 11

    Rasmus Hojlund

  • 10

    Marcus Rashford

5 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Aston Villa went 16 times over 2.5 goals in 23 Premier League games
  2. Aston Villa scored 49 goals in 23 Premier League matches
  3. MU scored 19 goals in the last seven games
  4. We have seen a 3:2 win for MU in the previous h2h game
  5. Five of the last six h2h games finished with three or more goals

Main prediction Aston Villa - Manchester United

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Bet365

1.57

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Do you agree with Nikola qq ?

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44 votes

Yes 91%

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44 votes

No 9%

Additional predictions

BTTS

Best odds:1.51

Draw

Best odds:4.01

Aston Villa vs Manchester United - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

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How much is the average xG for Aston Villa this season?

The average xG for Aston Villa in the Premier League this season is 1.63.

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How much is the average xG for Manchester United this season?

The average xG for Manchester United in the Premier League this season is 1.49.