Almería vs Alaves prediction 26.01.2024

Almería

Almería

0 : 3

Alaves

Alaves

The match has ended, you can view football predictions for today and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Friday, 26th January 2024
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Power Horse Stadium (Almería)

On Friday evening, the worst team in La Liga, Almeria, will welcome Alaves in the 22nd round of the Spanish La Liga at the Power Horse Stadium in Almería.

Last season, Almeria barely secured survival, finishing just one point away from the relegation zone. This season, the Andalusian team is really struggling, and it would take a miracle for them to escape relegation if they continue with such poor results. Currently, they are 20th in the league with only six points, already ten away from the 17th-placed Sevilla and the safe zone. Additionally, Almeria are the only winless team in La Liga this season! 

Alaves secured an instant return to the Spanish top-flight division last year but had to go through the La Liga 2 playoffs. However, Alaves are doing great this season, surprising many football experts. Right now, they are 12th with 23 points, eight points away from the danger zone. Also, Alaves had a good run in the Copa del Rey, reaching the 1/8 Finals. Unfortunately for the popular Babazorros, they played vs Bilbao (one of the best Spanish teams this season) and eventually lost 2:0 away from home. 

Almeria vs Alaves pick: Under 2.5 goals

Almeria are playing an absolutely terrible season, and their only win came against the four-tier team, CF Talavera, in the Cup. Their offense has been really bad, as they scored only five goals in the last eight games. Interestingly, their goals came against really good teams (Real Madrid, Barcelona, and Atletico Madrid), while they struggled against mediocre or poor teams. Their defense was terrible throughout the season, but we could see a big improvement in recent home games. In the last three games vs Girona, Mallorca, and Betis, they kept a clean sheet as all three matches finished as goalless draws. 

Alaves are one of the teams that mostly plays low-scoring games. Their offense, with 19 scored goals, is tied with Mallorca for the second-worst, only better than Cadiz. However, a good defense keeps them pretty high on the league's table. Because of a poor offense and pretty good defense, 71.4% of their La Liga games (six of 15) finished with fewer than three goals. 

In the first h2h game, Alaves won 1:0. Considering all the above, we believe that an under 2.5 goals bet is the best choice for this tie. 

Almería vs Alaves Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Alaves

    1 : 0

    Almería

    La Liga

  2. Almería

    5 : 0

    Alaves

    Copa Del Rey

  3. Alaves

    1 : 1

    Almería

    La Liga 2

  4. Almería

    0 : 2

    Alaves

    La Liga 2

  5. Almería

    2 : 2

    Alaves

    La Liga 2

Almería

Almería team news

A left attacking winger, Largie Ramazani, collected his fifth yellow card and will serve his one-game suspension vs Alaves. The 22-year-old Belgian is one of the key offensive players this season, with three scored and four assisted goals. He participated in 33% of Alameria's goals this season. On the other hand, Leo Baptistao served his one-game suspension in the previous game and will be available. 

Iddrisu Baba, Houboulang Mendes, and Marciano Sanca left the team and joined their national teams for the ongoing AFCON. 

Due to injuries, Arnau Puigmal and Ibrahima Kone will remain sidelined. 

Last matches of Almería

  1. Real Madrid

    3 : 2

    Almería

    La Liga

  2. Almería

    0 : 0

    Girona

    La Liga

  3. Osasuna

    1 : 0

    Almería

    La Liga

  4. FC Barcelona

    3 : 2

    Almería

    La Liga

  5. Almería

    0 : 0

    Mallorca

    La Liga

Almería lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    Luis Maximiano

Defenders

  • 18

    Marc Pubill

  • 3

    Edgar Gonzalez

  • 21

    Chumi

  • 15

    Sergio Akieme

Midfielders

  • 6

    Dion Lopy

  • 19

    Sergio Arribas

  • 5

    Lucas Robertone

Forwards

  • 10

    Adri Embarba

  • 12

    Leo Baptistao

  • 9

    Luis Suarez

Alaves

Alaves team news

One of the team's better offensive players, Kike Garcia, suffered an injury vs Cadiz and had to leave the field after 75 minutes. With him potentially out, we will most likely see Samu Omorodion in the starting eleven. Also, Aleksandar Sedlar will remain sidelined with an ACL injury he sustained in early November.

Abqar Abdelkebir and Jesus Owono left the team and joined their national teams for the ongoing Africa Cup of Nations. 

Last matches of Alaves

  1. Alaves

    1 : 0

    Cadiz

    La Liga

  2. Athletic Bilbao

    2 : 0

    Alaves

    Copa Del Rey

  3. Sevilla

    2 : 3

    Alaves

    La Liga

  4. Alaves

    1 : 0

    Real Betis

    Copa Del Rey

  5. Real Sociedad

    1 : 1

    Alaves

    La Liga

Alaves lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Antonio Sivera

Defenders

  • 2

    Andoni Gorosabel

  • 16

    Rafa Marin

  • 3

    Ruben Duarte

  • 27

    Javi Lopez

Midfielders

  • 8

    Antonio Blanco

  • 18

    Jon Guridi

  • 6

    Ander Guevara

Forwards

  • 22

    Carlos Vicente

  • 32

    Samu Omorodion

  • 11

    Luis Rioja

4 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Almeria's last three home games finished as goalless draws
  2. Alaves scored 19 goals in 21 La Liga games
  3. Alaves were under 2.5 goals in 15 of 21 La Liga games (71.4%)
  4. Alaves won the previous h2h game 1:0

Main prediction Almería - Alaves

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

1xBet

1.74

Bet here

Do you agree with Nikola qq ?

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Nikola qq

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19 votes

Yes 68%

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19 votes

No 32%

Additional predictions

BTTS - NO

Best odds:1.91

Draw

Best odds:3.39

Double Chance (X2)

Best odds:1.52

Almería vs Alaves - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

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How much is the average xG for Almeria this season?

The average xG for Almeria in La Liga this season is 1.33.

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How much is the average xG for Alaves this season?

The average xG for Alaves in La Liga this season is 1.33.