AC Milan vs Napoli prediction 11.02.2024

AC Milan

AC Milan

1 : 0

Napoli

Napoli

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  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Sunday, 11th February 2024
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Last year, AC Milan had an unsuccessful season as they finished without winning any trophies. They barely secured Europe by finishing 4th, but only because Juve had a 10-point deduction. This season, even though there is a lot of football to be played, it seems that AC Milan will once again fail to win a domestic trophy as they were knocked from the Cup by Atalanta and are already eight points away from the 1st-placed Inter in Serie A and they played one game more. However, recently, Rossoneri did well, winning ten points in the last four Serie A games, and there are definitely reasons to be optimistic. 

After winning their third Scudetto last year in a dominant fashion, everyone expected another good season from Napoli. However, after losing coach Luciano Spalletti, it all crumbled, and the Blues are in 7th place, four points away from the Champions League spots and 22 away from the league's leader, Inter. Pretty much their only bright spot of the season is their Champions League appearance, where they managed to secure the knockout phase and will face Barcelona on February 21st.

AC Milan vs Napoli pick: AC Milan to win

AC Milan are in good form, with ten points in the last four games. They won three and drew against Bologna but were unlucky in that match, considering they missed two penalties. They could have easily been on a four-game winning streak if they had been just a little luckier. At San Siro, Rossoneri have been really good throughout the season and have won eight of 11 matches - 73%. 

Napoli have been really inconsistent this season, and even though they have been good away from home throughout the season, that has not been the case lately. In the last five matches, they won just one point while failing to score in four of those five matches! So, it is really hard to expect a positive result against a strong home team like AC Milan, especially without their key striker Osimhen, who is in AFCON.

In the previous h2h game at Naples, we saw a close 2:2 draw. Now, considering all the above, but especially Napoli's recent road games, we believe that AC Milan should secure a win at San Siro. 

AC Milan vs Napoli Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Napoli

    2 : 2

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  2. Napoli

    1 : 1

    AC Milan

    Champions League

  3. AC Milan

    1 : 0

    Napoli

    Champions League

  4. Napoli

    0 : 4

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  5. AC Milan

    1 : 2

    Napoli

    Serie A

AC Milan

AC Milan team news

Midfielder Tijjani Reijnders received a fifth yellow card in the previous game vs Frosinone and will be unavailable for the Napoli game. 

Due to injuries, the players who missed the previous games will remain sidelined: Mattia Caldara, Pierre Kalulu, Tommaso Pobega, Malick Thiaw, and Fikayo Tomori.

Samuel Chukwueze is still with his national team (Nigeria) in the ongoing AFCON, where they will face Ivory Coast in the finals. 

Last matches of AC Milan

  1. Frosinone

    2 : 3

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  2. AC Milan

    2 : 2

    Bologna

    Serie A

  3. Udinese

    2 : 3

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  4. AC Milan

    3 : 1

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  5. AC Milan

    1 : 2

    Atalanta

    Coppa Italia

AC Milan lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Mike Maignan

Defenders

  • 2

    Davide Calabria

  • 24

    Simon Kjaer

  • 46

    Matteo Gabbia

  • 19

    Theo Hernandez

Midfielders

  • 7

    Yacine Adli

  • 8

    Ruben Loftus-Cheek

  • 4

    Ismael Bennacer

Forwards

  • 11

    Christian Pulisic

  • 9

    Olivier Giroud

  • 10

    Rafael Leao

Napoli

Napoli team news

A left full-back, Mario Rui, received a fifth yellow card vs Hellas Verona and will serve his one-game suspension against AC Milan.

According to Italian media, Piotr Zielinski and Matteo Politano did not train with the rest of the team due to minor injuries. Both will most likely miss the upcoming match(es). Also, Alex Meret and Marhias Olivera will remain sidelined with their injuries.

Victor Osimhen is still playing for his national team (Nigeria) in the ongoing AFCON and will miss the Milan game. Osimhen is a key piece for Napoli, and his absence is a major problem for Mazzarri's squad. 

Last matches of Napoli

  1. Napoli

    2 : 1

    Hellas Verona

    Serie A

  2. Lazio

    0 : 0

    Napoli

    Serie A

  3. Napoli

    0 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Super Cup

  4. Napoli

    3 : 0

    Fiorentina

    Super Cup

  5. Napoli

    2 : 1

    Salernitana

    Serie A

Napoli lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 95

    Pierluigi Gollini

Defenders

  • 22

    Giovanni Di Lorenzo

  • 13

    Amir Rrahmani

  • 5

    Juan Jesus

  • 30

    Pasquale Mazzocchi

Midfielders

  • 99

    Frank Anguissa

  • 68

    Stanislav Lobotka

  • 24

    Jens Cajuste

Forwards

  • 21

    Matteo Politano

  • 18

    Giovanni Simeone

  • 77

    Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

4 Reasons why AC Milan should win

  1. AC Milan won eight of 11 Serie A games at home
  2. AC Milan won ten points in the last four games
  3. Napoli won one point in the last five road games in all competitions
  4. Napoli failed to score in the previous four road games

Main prediction AC Milan - Napoli

AC Milan to win

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

1xBet

1.99

Bet here

Do you agree with Nikola qq ?

Nikola qq

Nikola qq

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58 votes

Yes 86%

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58 votes

No 14%

Additional predictions

Over 2.5

Best odds:1.84

AC Milan vs Napoli - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

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How much is the average xG for AC Milan this season?

The average xG for AC Milan in the Serie A this season is 1.48.

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How much is the average xG for Napoli this season?

The average xG for Napoli in the Serie A this season is 1.85.