Everton vs Liverpool prediction 24.04.2024

• Competition: Premier League
• Date: Wednesday, 24th April 2024
• Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
• Venue: Goodison Park (Liverpool)

The 244th Merseyside derby between Everton and Liverpool will be highly important for both teams. The Toffees are battling relegation, and the Reds are trying to secure their 20th Premier League title and the first since the 2019/20 season. 

Everton are among the few teams that have never been relegated from the Premier League. However, in the last two seasons, they were fairly close to the danger zone, finishing 16th and 17th. This year, the Toffees had an additional problem after they had eight points deducted by the FA. They were constantly around the danger zone. Still, with two wins over the other relegation-threatened teams (Nottingham Forrest and Burnely) in the last three games, they gained some separation from the relegation zone. Currently, they are five points away from the 18th-placed Luton and with a game played less. 

Liverpool won the Carabao Cup this year but failed to show up in Europe after Atalanta eliminated them several days ago in the Quarter-finals. However, it was evident they are much more interested in keeping the key players fresh for the Premier League than winning the EL. In the Premier League, the Reds were among the top three teams for most of the season. Right now, they are on a level with points with first-placed Arsenal, but both teams have played more games than Manchester City, which is one point behind them. So, we will definitely have an exciting title battle until the last round, and every game is a must-win at this stage of the competition. 

Everton vs Liverpool pick: Under 3.5 goals

Everton is the best team in the league for this type of bet, with 76% of their games ending with fewer than four goals. They are a gritty team with issues offensively, but on the defensive end, they are really good - better than some teams battling for Europe. That makes them an excellent team for an under 3.5 goals bet.

Lately, Liverpool had problems offensively. Yes, they scored three against Fulham in the last match, but before that, the Reds scored only once in three games! 

In the first h2h game, Liverpool won 2:0. Additionally, the last four h2h games finished with fewer than four goals. Considering all the above, we think that an under 3.5 goals bet is the safest option for this Premier League clash.