Genoa vs Lazio prediction 19.04.2024

• Competition: Serie A
• Date: Friday, 19th April 2024
• Kickoff: 17:30 UTC +1 / 18:30 CEST
• Venue: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

On Friday afternoon, Genoa will face off against Europe-chasing Lazio in the 33rd round of Serie A at Stadio Luigi Ferraris in Genoa.

After spending 15 years predominantly in the lower part of Serie A, Genoa were relegated in the 2021/22 season. However, they swiftly bounced back the following season. This year, the popular Griffins are having a pretty stable season, as they were around the middle of the league's table for the majority of the season. Right now, they are 12th with 39 points, 12 points away from the danger zone but also 10 away from the European spots. With only six rounds left, there is very little chance of moving significantly up or down.

Lazio came to this season after a great one where they finished 2nd and qualified for the Champions League. The Biancocelesti had a pretty good campaign in the UCL, securing the knockout phase, but eventually suffered defeat from Bayern Munich. In Serie A, Lazio are constantly flirting with European spots. Currently, they are 7th with 49 points, two away from 6th-placed Atalanta and the Europa Conference League spot. However, Lazio possesses an alternate route for European qualification through the Copa Italia, where they face the difficult challenge of overturning a 2:0 deficit against Juventus in the Semi-Finals following the Genoa game.

Genoa vs Lazio pick: Under 2.5 goals

Genoa are one of the better teams for this type of bet, as 19 of 32 games finished with fewer than three goals - 59%. Only Monza, Empoli, and Torino had more games in Serie A with fewer than three goals. 

Lately, Lazio have played mostly low-scoring games. In the last four, their games saw fewer than three goals on three occasions. The only match where they went over this line was against Salernitana when Lazio won 4:1. Still, that was against by far the worst defensive line in the league.

These teams met once in the Cup and once in the league this season, with Lazio winning the Cup game 1:0 and Genoa winning the league game with the same result. Considering all the above, we anticipate seeing another low-scoring game between Genoa and Lazio.