Manchester City vs Real Madrid prediction 17/05/2023

Manchester City

Manchester City

4 : 0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

match ended

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  • Date: 17/05/2023 
  • Competition: Champions League
  • KO: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Etihad Stadium (Manchester)

A mouthwatering Champions League semi-final second leg is ours to savour on Wednesday as Man City hosts Real Madrid at the Etihad Stadium.

Deadlocked at 1:1 following an intense and high-quality first leg at the Bernabeu, Man City enters the second leg as odds-on favourites to make it through to their second Champions League final in three years. However, with the 14-time champions standing in their way, a thrilling contest can be expected in Manchester.

Manchester City vs Real Madrid Betting Tips: BTTS / Man City to qualify

Undoubtedly in better form, Man City took a giant stride towards the PL title on Sunday with a 3:0 win at Everton, coupled with Arsenal´s 3:0 loss at home to Brighton. Finding their strongest performances at the perfect time of the season, Pep Guardiola´s men remain unbeaten in 22 matches since February, while they have now won all 15 games played at the Etihad in 2023.

Indeed, remarkably, City have now won 33 of their last 35 competitive home matches in all competitions over the past 13 months. Only Brentford and Everton left this venue with anything other than their tail between their legs since April 2022, while the Citizens scored three or more in an incredible 26 of those 33 victories, including eight of the last ten. City have also won ten of their last 11 home UCL matches.

Contrastingly, Real Madrid have managed to win only three of their last six games while they have lost on both recent away La Liga matches at Girona and Real Sociedad. Falling short in the La Liga title race, Real have now lost seven matches away from home this season.

However, In this competition, goals can usually be expected when Carlo Ancelotti´s side takes to the road, with Los Mergenuese seeing BTTS and over 3.5 goals scored in four of their last eight away UCL games. Real scored two or more in six of those eight fixtures, while five also saw both teams hitting the target.

Of course, one of those matches was last year´s remarkable semi-final first leg against City which ended with a stunning 4:3 win for the hosts. While it might be a little wishful thinking to hope for a repeat, we can´t see how this one finishes 0:0. Indeed, City´s home form suggests Real might need something of a miracle to make it into yet another CL final.

Ultimately, this game promises goals, drama and serious quality. We assume both have to score, with the over 2.5 goal line surely being broken once more at the Etihad. At least three goals have been scored in ten of Man City´s last 11 at home, while they have scored at least three goals alone in eight of their last nine on home soil.

With that in mind, we´re confident of at least three outcomes on Wednesday - BTTS, over 2.5 goals and City to qualify all look likely, while who´s betting against both of the brilliant strikers - Haaland and Benzema getting their names on the scoresheet?

Manchester City vs Real Madrid Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Real Madrid

    1 : 1

    Manchester City

    Champions League

  2. Real Madrid

    3 : 1

    Manchester City

    Champions League

  3. Manchester City

    4 : 3

    Real Madrid

    Champions League

  4. Manchester City

    2 : 1

    Real Madrid

    Champions League

  5. Real Madrid

    1 : 2

    Manchester City

    Champions League

Manchester City

Man City team news

Pep Guardiola has just one injury concern, with Nathan Ake again expected to miss out. Kyle Walker will continue to deputise on the right of the back three, with Manuel Akanji moving over to the left of the City rearguard. 

Kevin De Bruyne, Jack Grealish, Bernardo Silva and John Stones will all come back into the side, having been left out of the starting XI that claimed a comfortable 3:0 win at Everton on Sunday.

Last matches of Manchester City

  1. Everton

    0 : 3

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  2. Real Madrid

    1 : 1

    Manchester City

    Champions League

  3. Manchester City

    2 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  4. Manchester City

    3 : 0

    West Ham United

    Premier League

  5. Fulham

    1 : 2

    Manchester City

    Premier League

Manchester City lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Ederson

Defenders

  • 2

    Kyle Walker

  • 3

    Rúben Dias

  • 25

    Manuel Akanji

Midfielders

  • 5

    John Stones

  • 16

    Rodri

  • 17

    Kevin De Bruyne

  • 8

    İlkay Gündoğan

Forwards

  • 20

    Bernardo Silva

  • 10

    Jack Grealish

  • 9

    Erling Haaland

Real Madrid

Real Madrid team news

Carlo Ancelotti is boosted by the return of suspended defensive pair Eder Militao and Dani Carvajal. The former Chelsea boss also has a strong squad to choose from, with only Eduardo Camavinga a fitness doubt following the Frenchman´s withdrawal in the weekend victory against Getafe. 

David Alaba, Karim Benzema and Rodrygo are all available, having been rested for that fixture; however, reports suggest Ancelotti may be considering a tactical alteration that could see Rodygo having to settle for a place on the visitor´s bench.

Last matches of Real Madrid

  1. Real Madrid

    1 : 0

    Getafe

    La Liga

  2. Real Madrid

    1 : 1

    Manchester City

    Champions League

  3. Real Madrid

    2 : 1

    Osasuna

    Copa Del Rey

  4. Real Sociedad

    2 : 0

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  5. Real Madrid

    4 : 2

    Almería

    La Liga

Real Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Thibaut Courtois

Defenders

  • 2

    Daniel Carvajal

  • 3

    Éder Militão

  • 4

    David Alaba

  • 12

    Eduardo Camavinga

Midfielders

  • 15

    Federico Valverde

  • 8

    Toni Kroos

  • 10

    Luka Modrić

Forwards

  • 21

    Rodrygo

  • 9

    Karim Benzema

  • 20

    Vinícius Júnior

Key Facts Manchester City vs Real Madrid

  1. Man City have won 33 of their last 35 home competitive matches
  2. Man City have seen over 2.5 goals scored in ten of their last 11 home matches
  3. Real Madrid have failed to score in just one of their last 12 away UCL games
  4. Man City won 4:3 when these sides last met at this venue

Main prediction Manchester City - Real Madrid

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

58% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Originally from Scotland, Ryan is an experienced betting expert and content producer based out of Barcelona, Spain.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.67

Bet here

Additional predictions

Team 1 to Win

Best odds:1.67

Over 2.5

Best odds:1.61

Over 3.5

Best odds:2.47

Man City vs Real Madrid - FAQ

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Manchester City Player to Watch

Erling Haaland - The unstoppable Norwegian has scored an outstanding 52 goals in 48 appearances in his first season at Man City. The 22-year-old has now bagged 228 goals in just 271 matches during his still fledgling career.
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Real Madrid Player to Watch

Karim Benzema - The veteran Frenchman shows no signs of slowing down with an impressive haul of 29 goals in 39 appearances this season. Benzema has now scored at least 20 goals in 11 of his last 13 seasons with Real.
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Where to Watch?

This Champions League match can be viewed live on BT Sport, and various networks across the globe.