Estoril vs Arouca prediction 15.05.2023

Estoril

Estoril

2 : 0

Arouca

Arouca

match ended

The match has ended, you can view football predictions for today and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: Liga Portugal
  • Date: Monday, 15th May 2023
  • Kickoff: 20:15 UK / 21:15 CEST
  • Venue: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril)

Estoril are having a much worse year than the last season when they finished ninth. This season, they are 15th with five points away from the playout spot. They did start the season great, but after that good start, they have been absolutely atrocious. Since there are only three rounds left, with a potential win, they could secure survival. 

The main problem for Estoril this season was their inability to score. So far, they have scored only 26 goals in 31 matches. Only Santa Clara, Pacos Ferreira, and Portimonense have scored less than Estoril this season. 

Arouca are having one of the best seasons in the club's history. They are in 5th place with 48 points from 31 matches. They are in a good position to secure Europe three rounds before the end of the season with five points more than the 7th-placed Chaves. 

Arouca are also one of the teams with a poor offensive record - 33 goals in 31 matches. But their defense have been on point, and that is the primary reason for their success this season. 

Estoril vs Arouca pick: Under 2.5 goals

Estoril are in awful form, with ten losses in 12 matches! They struggled offensively during that period and failed to score in seven of those 12 matches. 

Estoril were 21 times under 2.5 goals in 31 rounds in Liga Portugal. 

Arouca played only low-scoring games in the last part of the season and were under 2.5 goals in the previous 13 consecutive games. Additionally, Arouca have the least games with three or more goals in Liga Portugal (nine). 

Arouca failed to score in the previous two games against Rio Ave and Porto.

In the last h2h game, we have seen a 2:0 win for Arouca. Also, four of the previous five h2h games finished with fewer than three goals. 

Estoril vs Arouca Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Arouca

    2 : 0

    Estoril

    Liga Portugal

  2. Estoril

    1 : 2

    Arouca

    Liga Portugal

  3. Arouca

    0 : 2

    Estoril

    Liga Portugal

  4. Arouca

    1 : 0

    Estoril

    Segunda Liga

  5. Estoril

    1 : 0

    Arouca

    Segunda Liga

Estoril

Estoril team news

After a 1:0 loss to Boavista, coach Ricardo Soares spoke to the media. He was satisfied with the start of the match despite Boavista having better ball possession, but the start of the second half wasn't good. He also said they need to analyze their mistakes and prepare for an important game against Arouca. 

A starting right full-back, Tiago Santos, received a fifth yellow card in the last match and will serve his suspension against Arouca.

An important central defender, Lucas Africo, recovered from the injury and was on the bench in the last match. He could play limited minutes against Arouca. 

Last matches of Estoril

  1. Boavista

    1 : 0

    Estoril

    Liga Portugal

  2. Estoril

    3 : 0

    Santa Clara

    Liga Portugal

  3. Benfica

    1 : 0

    Estoril

    Liga Portugal

  4. Estoril

    0 : 1

    Portimonense S.C.

    Liga Portugal

  5. Braga

    4 : 1

    Estoril

    Liga Portugal

Estoril lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 99

    Daniel Figueira

Defenders

  • 22

    Shaquil Delos

  • 23

    Pedro Álvaro

  • 3

    Bernardo Vital

  • 31

    Joãozinho

Midfielders

  • 27

    Rafik Guitane

  • 5

    João Gamboa

  • 20

    João Carvalho

Forwards

  • 21

    Tiago Gouveia

  • 9

    Alejandro Marqués

  • 28

    Carlos Eduardo

Arouca

Arouca team news

After a 1:0 loss to Porto, coach Armando Evangelista was satisfied despite losing the game. He said Porto gave them very little space to have the ball, and even when they had the possession, they forced long balls too much. "We worked, we tried, and nobody can accuse us of the opposite," he added.

Oday Dabbagh missed the previous nine games with a muscle injury and should be out for this game too. The 24-year-old scored seven goals in the 14 games he played for the team.

Joao Basso, a team captain and a starting central defender, could miss the game with a muscle injury. Jerome Opoku and Nino Galovic should start at the back with him potentially out.

A rotation midfielder, Vitinho, is dealing with a long-term injury and will miss the Estoril game too. 

Left full-back Weverson arrived at the club during the winter break but played only 66 minutes in Liga Portugal due to injuries. He is ruled out for this game too.

Last matches of Arouca

  1. Arouca

    0 : 1

    Porto

    Liga Portugal

  2. Rio Ave

    1 : 0

    Arouca

    Liga Portugal

  3. Arouca

    1 : 0

    Vizela

    Liga Portugal

  4. Sporting CP

    1 : 1

    Arouca

    Liga Portugal

  5. Arouca

    1 : 0

    Maritimo

    Liga Portugal

Arouca lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Ignacio de Arruabarrena

Defenders

  • 28

    Tiago Esgaio

  • 13

    João Basso

  • 3

    Jerome Opoku

  • 6

    Mateus Quaresma

Midfielders

  • 14

    Oriol Busquets

  • 5

    David Simão

  • 11

    Antony Alves

  • 10

    Alan Ruiz

  • 2

    Morlaye Sylla

Forwards

  • 19

    Rafa Mújica

5 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Estoril were 21 times under 2.5 goals in 31 rounds
  2. Estoril failed to score in three of the last four games
  3. Arouca were 22 times under 2.5 goals in 31 league games
  4. Arouca were under 2.5 goals in the last 13 games
  5. Four of the last five h2h games finished with fewer than three goals

Main prediction Estoril - Arouca

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.65

Bet here

Additional predictions

Double Chance (X2)

Best odds:1.49

BTTS - NO

Best odds:1.91

AH2 (0)

Best odds:2.02

Estoril & Arouca current standing in Liga Portugal

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Benfica 34 28 3 3 82 - 20 +62 87
2 Porto 34 27 4 3 73 - 22 +51 85
3 Sporting Braga 34 25 3 6 75 - 30 +45 78
4 Sporting CP 34 23 5 6 71 - 32 +39 74
5 Arouca 34 15 9 10 36 - 37 -1 54
6 Vitória SC 34 16 5 13 34 - 39 -5 53
7 Chaves 34 12 10 12 35 - 40 -5 46
8 Famalicão 34 13 5 16 39 - 47 -8 44
9 Boavista 34 12 8 14 43 - 54 -11 44
10 Casa Pia 34 11 8 15 31 - 40 -9 41
11 Vizela 34 11 7 16 34 - 38 -4 40
12 Rio Ave 34 10 10 14 36 - 43 -7 40
13 Gil Vicente 34 10 7 17 32 - 41 -9 37
14 Estoril 34 10 5 19 33 - 49 -16 35
15 Portimonense 34 10 4 20 25 - 48 -23 34
16 Marítimo 34 7 5 22 32 - 63 -31 26
17 Paços de Ferreira 34 6 5 23 26 - 62 -36 23
18 Santa Clara 34 5 7 22 26 - 58 -32 22

Estoril vs Arouca - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.
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How many goals should Estoril score at home, according to xG statistics?

Estoril should score 1.15 goals.
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How many goals should Arouca score on the road, according to xG statistics?

Arouca should score 0.94 goals.