AC Milan vs AS Roma prediction 11.04.2024

AC Milan

AC Milan

0 - 1

Elapsed: FT

Half time: 0 - 1

Full time: 0 - 1

Kick off:

Date:

AS Roma

AS Roma

1

1.84

X

3.74

2

4.90

match ended

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  • Competition: Europa League, Quarterfinals, 1st Leg
  • Date: Thursday, 11th April 2024
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UTC +1 / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

This season, the remaining eight teams in the Europa League are fantastic and worthy of the Champions League Finish. One of the quarter-final duels is between the two Italian powerhouses, AC Milan and AS Roma. 

AC Milan ended up in the Europa League after finishing 3rd in the Champions League "death" group F. In fact, they were on level with points with PSG, but due to worse h2h stats, they finished 3rd. In Serie A, Rossoneri were also unlucky because they were playing a really good season, which could, in some years, mean the battle for Scudetto. Unfortunately for them, their city rival, Inter, is playing an otherworldly season in Serie A and have an 11-point advantage with a game less played. So, Rossoneri's best chance of securing the title is through the EL. 

AS Roma have struggled to break in the top four and secure the Champions League in the last five years. Not even the "Special One" managed to secure them that. However, they did have success in Europe under him, winning the Europa Conference League and reaching the Europa League Finals last year. However, they once again had a poor season in Serie A, and the club decided to sack Jose Mourinho. To everyone's surprise, that was the right call, as they went on a remarkable run. Right now, they are in 5th place, only three away from the desired 4th place! 

AC Milan vs AS Roma pick: AC Milan to win

AC Milan is in superb form, winning seven in a row. At San Siro, they have been excellent throughout the season, winning 15 of 22 matches. In the EL knockout phase, they were superb at home, easily beating Slavia Prague and Rennes with a combined goal difference of 7:3. 

AS Roma have lost just once in the last 11 games in all competitions. However, their best games came at home, not away from it. In the previous three road games against Lecce, Brighton, and Fiorentina, they won just two points, and, to be fair, all three opponents outplayed them.

In the previous two h2h games this season, AC Milan won 2:1 and 3:1. Additionally, the last time AS Roma recorded a win was almost five years ago, back in October 2019. Considering all the above, we believe Rossoneri should secure a comfortable win in this EL duel.

AC Milan vs AS Roma Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. AC Milan

    3 : 1

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  2. AS Roma

    1 : 2

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  3. AS Roma

    1 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  4. AC Milan

    2 : 2

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  5. AC Milan

    3 : 1

    AS Roma

    Serie A

AC Milan

AC Milan team news

Two central defenders, Malick Thiaw and Pierre Kalulu, who missed almost the entire season with injuries, suffered injuries again and will most likely miss the Roma game. 

Also, Tommaso Pobega should remain sidelined with a hamstring injury, which kept him away from the field since mid-December. 

Last matches of AC Milan

  1. AC Milan

    3 : 0

    Lecce

    Serie A

  2. Fiorentina

    1 : 2

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  3. Hellas Verona

    1 : 3

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  4. Slavia Praha

    1 : 3

    AC Milan

    Europa League

  5. AC Milan

    1 : 0

    Empoli

    Serie A

AC Milan lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Mike Maignan

Defenders

  • 2

    Davide Calabria

  • 23

    Fikayo Tomori

  • 46

    Matteo Gabbia

  • 19

    Theo Hernandez

Midfielders

  • 4

    Ismael Bennacer

  • 8

    Ruben Loftus-Cheek

  • 14

    Tijjani Reijnders

Forwards

  • 11

    Christian Pulisic

  • 9

    Olivier Giroud

  • 10

    Rafael Leao

AS Roma

AS Roma team news

Roma will have almost the entire squad available. The only player who should miss the game with injury is Sardar Azmoun, who is mostly a backup option up front. 

Roma's total market is around 327.7 million euros, compared to Milan's 533.5 million.

Last matches of AS Roma

  1. AS Roma

    1 : 0

    Lazio

    Serie A

  2. Lecce

    0 : 0

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  3. AS Roma

    1 : 0

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

  4. Brighton & Hove Albion

    1 : 0

    AS Roma

    Europa League

  5. Fiorentina

    2 : 2

    AS Roma

    Serie A

AS Roma lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 99

    Rade Svilar

Defenders

  • 19

    Zeki Celik

  • 5

    Evan Ndicka

  • 23

    Gianluca Mancini

  • 69

    Angelino

Midfielders

  • 4

    Bryan Cristante

  • 16

    Leandro Paredes

  • 7

    Lorenzo Pellegrini

Forwards

  • 21

    Paulo Dybala

  • 90

    Romelu Lukaku

  • 92

    Stephan Shaarawy

3 Reasons why AC Milan should win

  1. AC Milan won seven in a row
  2. AS Roma failed to win in the last three road games
  3. AC Milan won both h2h games this season (2:1 and 3:1)

Main prediction AC Milan - AS Roma

AC Milan to win

Updated

clock
winrate

56% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.84

Bet here

Additional predictions

BTTS

Best odds:2.00

Over 2.5

Best odds:2.18

AC Milan vs AS Roma - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

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How much is the average xG for AC Milan this season?

The average xG for AC Milan in the Serie A this season is 1.56.

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How much is the average xG for AS Roma this season?

The average xG for AS Roma in the Serie A this season is 1.27.