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Italy vs England Prediction

Italy vs England Prediction

Italy

Italy

Jul 11

19:00

1 : 1

England

England

Ryan Allan

Ryan Allan

59% winrate

3 wins in a row

Originally from Scotland, Ryan is an experienced betting expert and content producer based out of Barcelona, Spain.

Published 

Italy vs England Betting Tips

After a glorious summer of football, the European Championship finally comes to a conclusion this Sunday as Roberto Mancini´s wonderful Italy takes on an increasingly strong looking England at the so-called “home of football”, Wembley Stadium. 

Indeed, with 50 games played and 140 goals scored, this has been one of the most exciting and enjoyable European Championships in recent memory, setting a record for the highest average of goals per game at 2.8.

Certainly, while plenty of teams have entertained over the past 3 and a half weeks, few would argue that the two best sides have reached the final, with both Italy and England impressing in their unbeaten runs to this showcase showdown.

But is football really “coming home”?

While the merits of that particular English lexicon have been debated endlessly in recent days, there is no denying that Gareth Southgate´s side does seem to have a strong wave of momentum behind their bid to lift a first major trophy since 1966 in this their first-ever European Championship final. 

Still, this is a hardy Italian side, currently in the midst of their longest ever unbeaten run of matches, and they surely represent the biggest test of an English side in many a year, if not since all the way back in their golden era of the 60s. 

With so much spirit and determination behind their bid for a first major trophy since the 2006 World Cup, a hugely competitive contest has to be expected and given the history between these nations, the English should perhaps reign in their talk of football coming home just yet.

Ultimately, we expect this highly anticipated final to go much like the semi-finals, with both sides evenly matched and capable of hitting the target. Kane is now scoring 4 goals in his last 3 for the home side, and Chiesa bagging in 2 of his last 3 appearances for the Azzurri.

As such, we´re taking both teams to hit the target at 2.1 odds against, an outcome we have now seen in 3 of the 4 quarter-finals and both semi-final matches.

Picking a winner here is certainly tough with the bookies making England narrow 1.8 favourites to lift the trophy, and while we expect the Italians to force extra-time, a home victory does now seem to have a certain air of inevitability about it. 

However, we´re going to sit on the fence and take a draw over 90 minutes before the footballing Gods decide which of these proud footballing nations will finally get their hands on the coveted trophy.

Final score 1:1

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Italy Team News

The loss of Spinazolla certainly hindered the Italians in their somewhat fortuitous win over Spain and whether Mancini will look for an alternative solution to that issue remains to be seen.

While Ciro Immobile has struggled to make a major impact during these finals, compatriot Federico Chiesa has found his form at the right time and will be looking for more goals following his wonderful strike against the Spanish, while Lorenzo Insigne is likely to provide a big test of an English defence breached just once in this tournament.

Italy Twitter

England Team News

It´s hard to imagine the pragmatic Southgate making any changes to his starting xi with Bukayo Saka again likely to be preferred ahead of Jadon Sancho on the right of England´s attack.

Having failed to hit the net during the first round, Harry Kane could yet land the Golden Boot outright with a pair of strikes here to add to the 4 he has managed during the knock-out phase.

In defence, Jordan Pickford will be looking for a record-breaking 6th clean sheet at a single European Championship, having already earned the Golden Glove award.

England Twitter

Where To Watch

Euro 2020 is being broadcast live to over 200 countries around the world. All you need to do – choose your national TV channel and enjoy with MightTips.

Key Facts

  • 5 of the last 6 matches in this competition have seen BTTS, including both sides, in semi-final contests.
  • England has failed to win any of their last 6 competitive matches against Italy (excluding friendlies).
  • Italy remains unbeaten in each of their last 33 matches.
  • England has lost just 1 of their last 20 home matches.
  • England has scored in 5 of their previous 6 matches. Italy has scored in all 6 of its matches.

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Main prediction

Both Teams to Score

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Do you agree with Ryan Allan?

Ryan Allan

141 votes

Yes 78.01%

141 votes

No 21.98%

Italy vs England preview: Best odds

Mightytips provides you with the latest Italy vs England preview, analyses 71 betting sites, and chooses the best odds! Odds shown come direct from online bookmakers. Updated every 5 mins.

Italy vs England odds

Updated at 4:33:05 AM

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Team 1 to Win

3.22 3.22 3.22 3.4 3.4

Team 2 to Win

2.62 2.62 2.62 2.5 2.48

Who will win?

Italy (164)

60.29

England (72)

60.29

Draw (36)

60.29

Italy vs England Head to Head (H2H) stats

27.03.18
1 : 1
England
-
Italy

More info Less info

31.03.15
1 : 1
Italy
-
England

More info Less info

14.06.14
1 : 2
England
-
Italy

More info Less info

15.08.12
2 : 1
England
-
Italy

More info Less info

Last matches

Italy Italy
11.07.21
D
1 - 1
Italy
-
England

More info Less info

06.07.21
D
1 - 1
Italy
-
Spain

More info Less info

02.07.21
W
1 - 2
Belgium
-
Italy

More info Less info

26.06.21
W
2 - 1
Italy
-
Austria

More info Less info

20.06.21
W
1 - 0
Italy
-
Wales

More info Less info

16.06.21
W
3 - 0
Italy
-
Switzerland

More info Less info

11.06.21
W
0 - 3
Turkey
-
Italy

More info Less info

04.06.21
W
4 - 0
Italy
-
Czech Republic

More info Less info

28.05.21
W
7 - 0
Italy
-
San Marino

More info Less info

31.03.21
W
0 - 2
Lithuania
-
Italy

More info Less info

England England
11.07.21
D
1 - 1
Italy
-
England

More info Less info

07.07.21
W
2 - 1
England
-
Denmark

More info Less info

03.07.21
W
0 - 4
Ukraine
-
England

More info Less info

29.06.21
W
2 - 0
England
-
Germany

More info Less info

22.06.21
W
0 - 1
Czech Republic
-
England

More info Less info

18.06.21
D
0 - 0
England
-
Scotland

More info Less info

13.06.21
W
1 - 0
England
-
Croatia

More info Less info

06.06.21
W
1 - 0
England
-
Romania

More info Less info

02.06.21
W
1 - 0
England
-
Austria

More info Less info

31.03.21
W
2 - 1
England
-
Poland

More info Less info

Italy vs England Predicted Lineup

Italy vs England Predicted Lineup
21

Gianluigi Donnarumma

2

Giovanni Di Lorenzo

19

Leonardo Bonucci

3

Giorgio Chiellini

13

Emerson Palmieri

18

Nicolò Barella

8

Jorginho

6

Marco Verratti

14

Federico Chiesa

17

Ciro Immobile

10

Lorenzo Insigne

1

Jordan Pickford

2

Kyle Walker

5

John Stones

6

Harry Maguire

12

Kieran Trippier

14

Kalvin Phillips

4

Declan Rice

3

Luke Shaw

10

Raheem Sterling

19

Mason Mount

9

Harry Kane

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