Ukraine vs Italy prediction 20.11.2023

Ukraine

Ukraine

0 : 0

Italy

Italy

The match has ended, you can view football predictions for today and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: EURO Qualification
  • Date: Monday, 20th November 2023
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: BayArena (Leverkusen)

On Monday night in Leverkusen, we will have a huge game between Ukraine and Italy. The teams are tied at the second position on the table, and only one can get a direct spot at EURO, while the other team will go to the playoff. Italy have a slight advantage as they can qualify for EURO if the teams split the points. 

The biggest problem for Ukraine is that they will once again play a neutral field. It would be a miraculous success to win against Italy on Monday and qualify for EURO from this tough group. Ukraine have been playing well in the last few months, as it lost only one of the previous eight matches, including friendlies. On Thursday, Ukraine won 2-0 in a friendly against Lechia Gdansk. We shouldn't read too much into that win as it wasn't important at all. 

Italy have missed the previous World Cup, so far, for them, it would be a disaster to miss EURO too. Italy won three of the last four matches. In the previous game, Italy won 5-2 at home against North Macedonia. The home side dominated, as they had 62% ball possession and 15 shots more than the opponent, so it is no wonder they recorded a big victory. Such an impressive win certainly erased all the team's problems, so Italy should have a lot of confidence ahead of the decisive game versus Ukraine. 

Ukraine vs Italy pick: Italy to win

Ukraine and Italy had the previous h2h match in September, when Luciano Spalletti's team won 2-1. Italy had 59% ball possession and 15 shots on the goal more than Ukraine. Italy are clearly a better team, so I expect them to win on Monday too. 

Best bookmakers for Ukraine vs Italy match

Ukraine vs Italy Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Ukraine

    0 : 0

    Italy

    Euro Qualification

  2. Italy

    2 : 1

    Ukraine

    Euro Qualification

  3. Italy

    1 : 1

    Ukraine

    Friendly International

  4. Ukraine

    0 : 2

    Italy

    Friendly International

  5. Ukraine

    1 : 2

    Italy

    Euro Qualification

Ukraine

Ukraine team news

The biggest problem for Ukraine is that they have been playing home matches on a neutral field since the war started in their country.

Interestingly, Ukraine still hasn't lost the game on a neutral field since then.

In six matches, they have three wins and three draws. Is it time for the first defeat?

Last matches of Ukraine

  1. Ukraine

    0 : 0

    Italy

    Euro Qualification

  2. Malta

    1 : 3

    Ukraine

    Euro Qualification

  3. Ukraine

    2 : 0

    North Macedonia

    Euro Qualification

  4. Italy

    2 : 1

    Ukraine

    Euro Qualification

  5. Ukraine

    1 : 1

    England

    Euro Qualification

Ukraine lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Anatoliy Trubin

Defenders

  • 21

    Oleksandr Karavaev

  • 13

    Ilya Zabarnyi

  • 22

    Mykola Matvienko

  • 16

    Vitaliy Mykolenko

Midfielders

  • 17

    Oleksandr Zinchenko

  • 7

    Georgiy Sudakov

  • 5

    Sergiy Sydorchuk

Forwards

  • 15

    Viktor Tsygankov

  • 11

    Artem Dovbyk

  • 10

    Mykhaylo Mudryk

Italy

Italy team news

Of course, Italy will be again without suspended Sandro Tonali and Nicolo Fagioli. Those two players are punished for breaching betting rules. Also, Italy in November are without Manuel Locatelli due to injury.

Still, Italy have more than capable replacements. They showed that against North Macedonia on Friday too. 

Last matches of Italy

  1. Ukraine

    0 : 0

    Italy

    Euro Qualification

  2. Italy

    5 : 2

    North Macedonia

    Euro Qualification

  3. England

    3 : 1

    Italy

    Euro Qualification

  4. Italy

    4 : 0

    Malta

    Euro Qualification

  5. Italy

    2 : 1

    Ukraine

    Euro Qualification

Italy lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gianluigi Donnarumma

Defenders

  • 13

    Matteo Darmian

  • 4

    Federico Gatti

  • 15

    Francesco Acerbi

  • 3

    Federico Dimarco

Midfielders

  • 18

    Nicolo Barella

  • 8

    Jorginho

  • 7

    Giacomo Bonaventura

Forwards

  • 11

    Domenico Berardi

  • 10

    Giacomo Raspadori

  • 14

    Federico Cheisa

4 Reasons why Italy should win against Ukraine

  1. Italy won 2-1 in September against Ukraine
  2. Ukraine scored only four goals in the previous four games at neutral field
  3. Italy won three of the last four matches
  4. Italy scored 12 goals in the previous four games

Main prediction Ukraine - Italy

Italy to win

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.73

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Do you agree with Nemanja 87 ?

Nemanja 87

Nemanja  87

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39 votes

Yes 79%

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39 votes

No 21%

Additional predictions

Over 2.5

Best odds:1.97

BTTS

Best odds:1.83

Ukraine & Italy current standing in Euro Qualification

Group C P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 England 8 6 2 0 22 - 4 +18 20
2 Italy 8 4 2 2 16 - 9 +7 14
3 Ukraine 8 4 2 2 11 - 8 +3 14
4 North Macedonia 8 2 2 4 10 - 20 -10 8
5 Malta 8 0 0 8 2 - 20 -18 0

Ukraine vs Italy - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

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How much is the average xG for Ukraine in EURO qualifications?

The average xG for Ukraine in EURO qualifications is 1.21.

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How much is the average xG for Italy in EURO qualifications?

The average xG for Italy in EURO qualifications is 1.55.