Toulouse vs Nantes prediction 14.05.2023

Toulouse

Toulouse

0 : 0

Nantes

Nantes

match ended

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  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: Sunday, 14th May 2023
  • Kickoff: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CEST
  • Venue: Stadium Municipal (Toulouse)

This season became the best in Toulouse's history by winning the first major trophy in the club's history. Just about a half month ago, they secured it by winning 5:1 against Nantes. Since this is their first season after spending two years in League 2, this success is even more significant. 

With only four rounds left, Toulouse are 13th with 42 points in Ligue 1 and without a chance to drop down into the relegation zone. Since they already secured Europe by winning the Cup, they will play without pressure in the remaining games. Mathematically they can still get relegated, but that would mean that 17th-placed Nantes needs to win all four and Toulouse to lose all four games. 

Nantes won the Cup last season and were close to winning it again. They were also good in the Europa League, where Juventus eliminated them in the 1/16 finals. On the other hand, they were atrocious in Ligue 1. At the moment, they are 17th with 32 points from 34 matches - two points away from the safe zone. 

Looking only at the last ten matches, Nantes have been simply awful. During that ten-game stretch, Nantes and Troyes are the only teams without a win in Ligue 1.

Toulouse vs Nantes pick: Under 2.5 goals

Toulouse were under 2.5 goals in the previous three Ligue 1 games, primarily due to a poor offense. During that period, we have seen just one scored and one allowed goal! 

Toulouse have been very bad at home in the league in the previous period. They lost five in a row and failed to score in three of those five losses.

So far, Nantes have scored 35 goals in 34 league games. Only Ajaccio, Angers, and Auxerre scored fewer goals than Nantes. 

Nantes are on an 11-game winless streak in the league, and in the last two games, they failed to score against Brest and Strasbourg. 

Toulouse vs Nantes Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Nantes

    1 : 5

    Toulouse

    Coupe de France

  2. Nantes

    3 : 1

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  3. Nantes

    0 : 1

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1 Play-offs

  4. Toulouse

    1 : 2

    Nantes

    Ligue 1 Play-offs

  5. Nantes

    2 : 1

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

Toulouse

Toulouse team news

After a 0:0 draw with Ajaccio, coach Philippe Montanier spoke to the media. He said it was a disappointing result because they had a dozen shots and five on target. He also said they dominated the game but lacked efficiency and an "offensive spark." 

For this match, coach Montanier will miss just Rhys Healey. Due to an ACL injury, the forward missed almost the entire season. He is close to making a return but will not play against Nantes.

Last matches of Toulouse

  1. Ajaccio

    0 : 0

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  2. Toulouse

    0 : 1

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  3. Nantes

    1 : 5

    Toulouse

    Coupe de France

  4. Lorient

    0 : 1

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  5. Toulouse

    1 : 2

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

Toulouse lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 30

    Maxime Dupé

Defenders

  • 3

    Mikkel Desler

  • 4

    Anthony Rouault

  • 2

    Rasmus Nicolaisen

  • 26

    Waren Kamanzi

Midfielders

  • 17

    Stijn Spierings

  • 13

    Vincent Sierro

  • 7

    Ado Onaiwu

  • 5

    Denis Genreau

  • 21

    Rafael Ratão

Forwards

  • 27

    Thijs Dallinga

Nantes

Nantes team news

After a series of bad results, the club finally sacked Antoine Kombouare. On 9th May 2023, Nantes U19 manager, Pierre Aristouy, took over the first team for the remaining four games. 

Two starting midfielders will miss the Toulouse game due to injuries. Moussa Sissoko will miss the game with a hamstring injury, and Pedro Chirivella is out with a groin injury.

Last matches of Nantes

  1. Nantes

    0 : 2

    Strasbourg

    Ligue 1

  2. Brest

    2 : 0

    Nantes

    Ligue 1

  3. Nantes

    1 : 5

    Toulouse

    Coupe de France

  4. Nantes

    2 : 2

    Troyes

    Ligue 1

  5. Auxerre

    2 : 1

    Nantes

    Ligue 1

Nantes lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Alban Lafont

Defenders

  • 21

    Jean-Charles Castelletto

  • 3

    Andrei Girotto

  • 4

    Nicolas Pallois

Midfielders

  • 28

    Fabien Centonze

  • 25

    Florent Mollet

  • 8

    Samuel Moutoussamy

  • 29

    Quentin Merlin

Forwards

  • 10

    Ludovic Blas

  • 27

    Moses Simon

  • 11

    Marcus Coco

4 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Toulouse were three times under 2.5 goals in the last four matches
  2. Toulouse failed to score in the previous two games
  3. Nantes scored 35 goals in 34 matches
  4. Nantes was unable to score during the last two games against Brest and Strasbourg

Main prediction Toulouse - Nantes

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Additional predictions

Team 1 to Win

Best odds:2.26

BTTS - NO

Best odds:2.24

Toulouse & Nantes current standing in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 38 27 4 7 89 - 40 +49 85
2 Lens 38 25 9 4 68 - 29 +39 84
3 Olympique Marseille 38 22 7 9 67 - 40 +27 73
4 Rennes 38 21 5 12 69 - 39 +30 68
5 Lille 38 19 10 9 65 - 44 +21 67
6 Monaco 38 19 8 11 70 - 58 +12 65
7 Olympique Lyonnais 38 18 8 12 65 - 47 +18 62
8 Clermont 38 17 8 13 45 - 49 -4 59
9 Nice 38 15 13 10 48 - 37 +11 58
10 Lorient 38 15 10 13 52 - 53 -1 55
11 Reims 38 12 15 11 45 - 45 0 51
12 Montpellier 38 15 5 18 65 - 62 +3 50
13 Toulouse 38 13 9 16 51 - 57 -6 48
14 Brest 38 11 11 16 44 - 54 -10 44
15 Strasbourg 38 9 13 16 51 - 59 -8 40
16 Nantes 38 7 15 16 37 - 55 -18 36
17 Auxerre 38 8 11 19 35 - 63 -28 35
18 Ajaccio 38 7 5 26 23 - 74 -51 26
19 Troyes 38 4 12 22 45 - 81 -36 24
20 Angers SCO 38 4 6 28 33 - 81 -48 18

Toulouse vs Nantes - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.
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How many goals should Toulouse score at home, according to xG statistics?

Toulouse should score 1.6 goals.
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How many goals should Nantes score on the road, according to xG statistics?

Nantes should score 1.45 goals.