Torino vs AS Roma prediction 24.09.2023

• Competition: Serie A
• Date: Sunday, 24th September 2023
• Kickoff: 19:45 UTC +1 / 20:45 CEST
• Venue: Stadio Olimpico di Torino (Turin)

Torino have been primarily a mid-table team since arriving at the Italian top-flight division in the 2012/13 season. In the last two seasons, "Il Toro" finished tenth with 50 and 53 points, much closer to Europe than to the relegation zone. The current season started OK for them, as they won seven points in four rounds and are currently sitting in 7th place. 

Not that long ago, AS Roma were constantly in the top three Italian teams, but in recent years, that has not been the case. They were unable to qualify for the Champions League for a few years and played in the Europa League or Europa Conference League. However, to be fair, they were very close to winning the Europa League last season as they lost in the Finals to Sevilla after the penalty shootout. Their goal this season is surely to try to finish in the top four places and secure the Champions League next season. Still, they did not start the current season well, as they won just four points in four rounds - three fewer than their next opponent - Torino.

Torino vs AS Roma pick: Over 2.5 goals

Torino were over 2.5 goals in three of the first five matches in all competitions. Last season, they had significant problems offensively at their pitch, averaging only 0.8 goals per game. However, with some changes over the Summer, they look a lot better. In the last two games, they scored a total of four goals vs Genoa and Salernitana and are in very good momentum, so we expect them to continue with good offensive displays. 

AS Roma didn't have the season's best start, winning just one point in three games. But in the last two games, they won both games vs Empoli and Sheriff (in the Europa League) and, more importantly, looked extremely good offensively, scoring nine goals! Last season, AS Roma were one of the best defensive teams in Serie A, allowing only 38 goals in 38 rounds. Only Napoli, Lazio, and Juventus were better, but this season, Roma are not looking even remotely as good defensively. In five games, they allowed seven goals, with only one clean sheet. So far, they were all five times over 2.5 goals this season.

With both teams in good offensive momentums, and considering AS Roma played only high-scoring games this season, we think that over 2.5 goals is the best option for this tie.