River Plate vs Alianza prediction

• Date: 27/05/2022  
• Competition: CONMEBOL Libertadores 
• KO: 01:00
• Venue: Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti (Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires)

Having already secured their passage to the CONMBEDOL Libertadores knockout phase, River Plate welcomes Alianza Lima to the Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti.

Taking 13 points from a possible 15 thus far, the Argentine champions have enjoyed a stress-free group stage and will round off their campaign against an Alianza side that have taken just 1 point from their 5 group matches.

Having already claimed top spot in the group, River will likely use this fixture to give other members of their squad some valuable game-time against an opponent that is not expected to give the hosts too many problems having failed to win a single match in this event since 2012.

As you might expect, River enters this contest as massive favourites at just 1.071 odds to claim another victory while the Peruvians arrive in Buenos Aires as huge underdogs, available at 28.0 odds to claim a shock win.

Failing to win any of their last 28 matches in this competition, it´s easy to see why Alianza are given little chance here however it is worth noting that they have lost by more than 1 goal in only 3 of their last 13 matches in this tournament and while minnows at this level, are often tough to  break down.

Ultimately, with little on the line, it´s tough to find too many betting angles that appeal in this fixture. While River should win comfortably enough, Alianza have conceded no more than 2 goals in any one fixture in the group phase and while they are almost certain to fall to another loss, a heavy beating seems unlikely, particularly with River likely to rotate their starting lineup. 

Still, River claimed a 1:0 win in Peru earlier in the group and a 3:0 win when these sides last met in Argentina in 2019 and considering what we have seen so far in this competition, another clean sheet and home victory seems almost inevitable here.

Final score 2:0