FC Porto vs Estoril prediction 10/03/2023

Porto

Porto

3 : 2

Estoril

Estoril

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  • Date: 10/03/2023
  • Competition: Primeira Liga
  • KO: 20:15 GMT / 21:15 CET
  • Venue: Estádio Do Dragão (Porto)

Eight points behind Primeira Liga leaders Benfica, Porto know only a win will do when they host struggling Estoril at the Estádio Do Dragão (Porto).

Following a disastrous home loss against Gil Vicente, Porto returned to winning ways last weekend with a 3:1 with at Chaves and will now be expected to claim another three points against an Estoril side that sits 15th in the division, having lost each of their previous four Primeira Liga matches. 

Porto vs Estoril Betting Tips: Porto to win -1,5 AH

While Porto did lose their most recent match at the Estádio Do Dragão, their home record is a strong one, with the Dragões winning nine and losing just two of 11 home matches this season. However, Porto had not lost any of their previous 36 home league games prior to recent losses against Benfica and the aforementioned Gil Vicente. 

Still, it´s hard to see past a return to winning form for the home side, with Porto claiming the points in 14 of 16 home Primeira Liga matches over the past twelve months.11 of those wins also saw at least three goals scored with Porto themselves scoring three or more in all 11 victories.

Visiting Estoril seem unlikely to pose much threat, with the away side losing seven of their eight most recent league games. Now just six points above the relegation play-off position, the Canarinhos have lost each of their last six on their travels while failing to score in five successive away defeats and losing by more than one goal in four.

While Estoril did hold Porto to a surprise draw in the reverse fixture earlier this season, the h2h record at this venue does suggest a simple enough win is to be expected for the hosts, with Porto winning each of their last five home league matches against Estoril. The visitors failed to score in all five losses, with Porto covering the -1 handicap on four occasions. 

With that in mind, we´re backing Porto to cover the -1 handicap in what should prove a relatively routine and straightforward victory for Sérgio Conceição´s side.

Porto vs Estoril Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Estoril

    1 : 1

    Porto

    Liga Portugal

  2. Porto

    2 : 0

    Estoril

    Liga Portugal

  3. Estoril

    2 : 3

    Porto

    Liga Portugal

  4. Estoril

    1 : 3

    Porto

    Liga Portugal

  5. Porto

    4 : 0

    Estoril

    Liga Portugal

Porto

FC Porto Team News

Mario and Uribe are both available again, having missed the win at Chaves due to suspension. Brazilian forward Gabriel Veron and goalkeeper Francisco Meixedo remain long-term injury absentees for the Dragões.

Last matches of Porto

  1. Chaves

    1 : 3

    Porto

    Liga Portugal

  2. Porto

    1 : 2

    Gil Vicente

    Liga Portugal

  3. Inter Milan

    1 : 0

    Porto

    Champions League

  4. Porto

    1 : 0

    Rio Ave

    Liga Portugal

  5. Sporting CP

    1 : 2

    Porto

    Liga Portugal

Porto lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 99

    Diogo Costa

Defenders

  • 23

    João Mário

  • 2

    Fábio Cardoso

  • 3

    Pepe

  • 12

    Zaidu Sanusi

Midfielders

  • 16

    Marko Grujić

  • 46

    Stephen Eustaquio

  • 20

    André Franco

  • 19

    Danny Namaso

  • 25

    Otávio

Forwards

  • 29

    Toni Martínez

Estoril

Estoril Team News

Brazilian defender Lucas Africo remains on the treatment table for Estoril, who arrive in Oporto with Head Coach Verissimo expected to make some alterations to their starting XI following another loss last weekend.

Last matches of Estoril

  1. Estoril

    0 : 3

    Vizela

    Liga Portugal

  2. Sporting CP

    2 : 0

    Estoril

    Liga Portugal

  3. Estoril

    1 : 3

    Pacos de Ferreira

    Liga Portugal

  4. Rio Ave

    2 : 0

    Estoril

    Liga Portugal

  5. Estoril

    2 : 1

    Boavista

    Liga Portugal

Estoril lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 99

    Daniel Figueira

Defenders

  • 62

    Tiago Santos

  • 34

    Edson Mexer

  • 23

    Pedro Álvaro

  • 78

    Tiago Araújo

Midfielders

  • 20

    João Carvalho

  • 5

    João Gamboa

  • 10

    Francisco Geraldes

Forwards

  • 27

    Rafik Guitane

  • 11

    Cassiano

  • 21

    Tiago Gouveia

Key Facts FC Porto vs Estoril

  1. Porto have won 14 of their last 16 home league matches
  2. Porto scored three goals or more in 11 of those victories
  3. Estoril have lost each of their last six away league matches
  4. Estoril lost by more than one goal in four of those matches
  5. Estoril failed to score in each of their previous five away league matches
  6. Porto have won each of their last five home league matches against Estoril
  7. Estoril failed to score in all five losses
  8. Porto won by more than one goal in four of those five victories

Main prediction Porto - Estoril

AH1 (-1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

58% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Originally from Scotland, Ryan is an experienced betting expert and content producer based out of Barcelona, Spain.

Best Odds:

1xBet

1.69

Bet here

Do you agree with Ryan Allan ?

Ryan Allan

Ryan Allan

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19 votes

Yes 95%

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19 votes

No 5%

Additional predictions

Over 2.5

Best odds:1.6

BTTS - NO

Best odds:1.7

AH1 (-1)

Best odds:1.3

Porto & Estoril current standing in Liga Portugal

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Benfica 34 28 3 3 82 - 20 +62 87
2 Porto 34 27 4 3 73 - 22 +51 85
3 Sporting Braga 34 25 3 6 75 - 30 +45 78
4 Sporting CP 34 23 5 6 71 - 32 +39 74
5 Arouca 34 15 9 10 36 - 37 -1 54
6 Vitória SC 34 16 5 13 34 - 39 -5 53
7 Chaves 34 12 10 12 35 - 40 -5 46
8 Famalicão 34 13 5 16 39 - 47 -8 44
9 Boavista 34 12 8 14 43 - 54 -11 44
10 Casa Pia 34 11 8 15 31 - 40 -9 41
11 Vizela 34 11 7 16 34 - 38 -4 40
12 Rio Ave 34 10 10 14 36 - 43 -7 40
13 Gil Vicente 34 10 7 17 32 - 41 -9 37
14 Estoril 34 10 5 19 33 - 49 -16 35
15 Portimonense 34 10 4 20 25 - 48 -23 34
16 Marítimo 34 7 5 22 32 - 63 -31 26
17 Paços de Ferreira 34 6 5 23 26 - 62 -36 23
18 Santa Clara 34 5 7 22 26 - 58 -32 22

FC Porto vs Estoril - FAQ

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FC Porto Player to Watch

Mehdi Taremi - The Iranian forward has scored six goals in his last 12 league appearances.
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Estoril Player to Watch

iago Gouveia - The 20-year-old leads the Estoril scoring charts with just four goals in 20 Primeira Liga appearances following his summer arrival from Benfica.
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Where to watch?

This Primeira Liga match can be viewed live on BT Sport.