Poland vs Netherlands prediction 14.11.2025 | World Cup 2026 Qualification
Poland
Kick off:
Date:
Netherlands
1
5.20
X
3.80
2
1.65
Contents
- Competition: World Cup 2026 Qualification, Europe
- Date: 14th November, 2025
- Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
- Venue: National Stadium Warsaw
Poland host the Netherlands in Warsaw on Friday with Group G stakes high: the Dutch can effectively seal direct qualification with a win, while Poland need points to keep pressure on the leaders and secure at least a playoff route. The tie pitches Poland’s compact home form against a Netherlands side that has combined clinical finishing with a status of an elite international team.
Poland vs Netherlands Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Netherlands
1 : 1
Poland
WC Qualification Europe
-
Poland
1 : 2
Netherlands
European Championship
-
Poland
0 : 2
Netherlands
UEFA Nations League
-
Netherlands
2 : 2
Poland
UEFA Nations League
-
Poland
1 : 2
Netherlands
UEFA Nations League
-
Netherlands
1 : 0
Poland
UEFA Nations League
Recent meetings have favoured the Netherlands by a narrow margin this decade, but Poland have proven difficult to break down at home in 2025. Across the last seven official encounters between the two nations, the Dutch have prevailed on five occasions, while two matches ended in draws - including the Round 3 clash of this World Cup qualifying campaign in Rotterdam (1-1).
Poland team overview
Poland arrive on the back of a positive run of results: a 2-0 away win in Lithuania and a 1–0 friendly victory over New Zealand underline a side that defends well and takes chances efficiently. In 2025 home fixtures, Poland have registered multiple clean sheets - specifically, four in five home matches this year - making the National Stadium an uncomfortable venue for visiting teams.
Their only defeat of this qualifying campaign came away to Finland (1-2), although they did manage to come from behind to draw 1-1 against the Netherlands back in September. Even a win on Friday would not take them to the top of Group G, as they would be level on points with the Netherlands, but the Dutch boast a far superior goal difference (+19 compared to Poland’s +6).
No serious injuries or suspensions have been reported in the Polish squad ahead of this game.
Last matches of Poland
-
Lithuania
0 : 2
Poland
WC Qualification Europe
-
Poland
1 : 0
New Zealand
Friendly International
-
Poland
3 : 1
Finland
WC Qualification Europe
-
Netherlands
1 : 1
Poland
WC Qualification Europe
-
Finland
2 : 1
Poland
WC Qualification Europe
Poland lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Łukasz Skorupski
Defenders
-
2
Matty Cash
-
16
Tomasz Kędziora
-
5
Jan Bednarek
-
4
Jakub Kiwior
-
53
Sebastian Szymański
Midfielders
-
7
Piotr Zieliński
-
8
Michał Skóraś
-
24
Jakub Piotrowski
Forwards
-
16
Jakub Kamiński
-
9
Robert Lewandowski
Netherlands team overview
The Netherlands travel to Warsaw in outstanding scoring form. Back-to-back 4-0 qualifying wins (over Malta and Finland) have kept them top of Group G and just one victory away from automatic qualification, with 16 points from six matches following the win against Finland. Even a draw would be enough to virtually secure first place in the group due to their superior goal difference over Poland.
Memphis Depay and Cody Gakpo have been central to the Dutch attacking output - Depay continuing his scoring streak and Gakpo contributing both goals and assists - while Virgil van Dijk and the defensive unit have tightened up after early-campaign lapses. The Dutch have demonstrated both attacking prowess and defensive solidity throughout the qualifiers, scoring 22 goals and keeping four clean sheets in six matches.
Last matches of Netherlands
-
Netherlands
4 : 0
Finland
WC Qualification Europe
-
Malta
0 : 4
Netherlands
WC Qualification Europe
-
Lithuania
2 : 3
Netherlands
WC Qualification Europe
-
Netherlands
1 : 1
Poland
WC Qualification Europe
-
Netherlands
8 : 0
Malta
WC Qualification Europe
Netherlands lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Bart Verbruggen
Defenders
-
2
Denzel Dumfries
-
12
Jurriën Timber
-
4
Virgil van Dijk
-
37
Micky van de Ven
Midfielders
-
38
Ryan Gravenberch
-
21
Frenkie de Jong
-
17
Donyell Malen
-
18
Cody Gakpo
-
4
Tijjani Reijnders
Forwards
-
10
Memphis Depay
Prediction
Tactically this shapes as a low-to-medium scoring affair where the Netherlands have the edge on form and firepower but Poland’s home solidity and set-piece threat make them dangerous. Expect the Dutch to dominate territory and chances, but Poland to defend deep and aim for rapid counters or set-piece opportunism. A pragmatic win for the Netherlands with a total scoreline of under 2.5 goals is most likely, as it would see the Dutch guarantee their place at next year’s tournament as direct qualifiers.
Prediction: Netherlands to Win
Three reasons we expect Netherlands to Win
- The Netherlands have gone unbeaten so far in this qualifying campaign - five wins and a draw.
- They have averaged wins by more than two goals in pretty much every single qualifying match so far, with a 3-2 win away at Lithuania being the only exception.
- The Netherlands were far more dominant in the first head-to-head meeting in September: 74% possession vs 26%, 3 big scoring chances against 1 and 14 shots against 6 in total.
Main prediction Poland - Netherlands
Netherlands to win
Best Odds:
Megapari
1.66
Poland vs Netherlands standings in WC Qualification Europe
| Group G | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 - 3 | +19 | 16 |
| 2 | Poland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 - 4 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Finland | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 - 13 | -5 | 10 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 - 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 5 | Malta | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 - 16 | -15 | 2 |