Paraguay vs Colombia Prediction 21.11.2023
Paraguay
0 : 1
Colombia
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Contents
- Competition: CONMEBOL 2026 World Cup qualifying
- Date: Wednesday, 21nd, November 2023
- Kickoff: 23:00 UTC / 00.00 CET
- Venue: Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asuncion)
In their quest to maintain their unbeaten record as the sole South American side, Colombia is set to journey to Asuncion this Wednesday to face Paraguay in the sixth round of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers.
Paraguay vs Colombia Betting Tips: Under 2.5
The clash of two South American sides that have emphasized their solid defensive approach in the opening qualification matches suggests that Wednesday's encounter will lack excitement, likely resulting in a shared spoils with a low-scoring affair.
In pursuit of their first World Cup appearance since 2010, Paraguay finds little satisfaction in the unfolding of their qualifying campaign. With just one hard-earned win in the opening five matches, they stand outside the automatic qualification places heading into the duel against Colombia.
Clearly, the absence of cutting edge in the final third is the primary reason why Los Guaranies doesn't occupy any of the top six spots in the CONMEBOL section. Their only match where they succeeded in breaching the opponent's defense ended in a slim 1-0 victory over Bolivia.
Taking a broader look at their situation, it's evident that Paraguayans are grappling with long-standing issues in scoring, dating back to the conclusion of the previous WC qualification cycle. The fact that they entered the scoreboard in only two of the last 14 matches in this category sounds worrying.
Emotions ran high for Manuel Diaz, the father of Liverpool's striker, as he shed tears while watching his son, Luis Diaz, score a double for a remarkable turnaround, securing a monumental 2-1 victory for Colombia against the five-time world champion Brazil, just days after his release from kidnappers.
The outstanding success in Barranquilla not only keeps Los Cafeteros as the only undefeated Latin American outfit in the CONMEBOL World Cup qualifiers but also extends their impressive unbeaten streak to 16 matches, with 11 ending in their favor.
The Colombian defensive wall has proven exceptionally robust during their undefeated streak, keeping their net untouched on an impressive 10 occasions. More importantly, they successfully thwarted formidable offensive units such as Chile and Ecuador, holding them scoreless in both qualifying visits, playing to a goalless draw of 0-0.
Drawing attention to recent confrontations, it's essential to mention the struggles of Paraguay in unlocking the Colombian defense, netting only once in the past four duels, all of which ended with under 2.5 goals. This time, however, Colombia won't have an easy task in terms of scoring, considering that Los Guaranies haven't conceded a goal in Asuncion in the opening two qualifying matches, boasting an impressive five home games without conceding.
Taking into account that the team under Daniel Garnero's guidance is by far the least effective in the CONMEBOL section, with none of their opening five qualification tests seeing more than a single goal, and factoring in the dependable Colombian defense, the decision to predict a low-scoring affair is justified.
Best bookmakers for Paraguay vs Colombia match
Paraguay vs Colombia Head to Head (H2H) stats
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Paraguay
0 : 1
Colombia
WC Qualification South America
-
Colombia
2 : 0
Paraguay
Friendly International
-
Colombia
0 : 0
Paraguay
WC Qualification South America
-
Paraguay
1 : 1
Colombia
WC Qualification South America
-
Colombia
1 : 0
Paraguay
Copa America
Paraguay team news
Paraguay's struggles in front of goal throughout their qualifying campaign are further compounded by the injury to Newcastle's forward, Miguel Almiron, sustained just before the international break.
Apart from that, the Paraguay coach will be forced to make at least one adjustment to the squad after the Chile encounter (0-0) since Robert Rojas, the central defender from Atletico Tigre, was sent off with a red card just before halftime at Estadio Monumental David Arellano.
Last matches of Paraguay
-
Paraguay
0 : 1
Colombia
WC Qualification South America
-
Chile
0 : 0
Paraguay
WC Qualification South America
-
Paraguay
1 : 0
Bolivia
WC Qualification South America
-
Argentina
1 : 0
Paraguay
WC Qualification South America
-
Venezuela
1 : 0
Paraguay
WC Qualification South America
Paraguay lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Carlos Coronel
Defenders
-
4
Matias Espinoza
-
3
Omar Alderete
-
15
Gustavo Gomez
-
5
Fabian Balbuena
Midfielders
-
16
Matias Rojas
-
14
Andres Cubas
-
23
Mathías Villasanti
Forwards
-
18
Diego Gomez
-
7
Oscar Cardozo
-
9
Antonio Sanabria
Colombia team news
RC Lens left-back Deiver Machado will be absent from the team in the final November qualifying test due to muscle discomfort he suffered in the 2-1 victory over Brazil, forcing him to leave the field early in the second half.
His replacement, Cristian Borja, is poised to retain his spot in the starting eleven, especially after providing the assist to Luis Diaz for the opening goal, completely revitalizing his national team's chances.
Last matches of Colombia
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Paraguay
0 : 1
Colombia
WC Qualification South America
-
Colombia
2 : 1
Brazil
WC Qualification South America
-
Ecuador
0 : 0
Colombia
WC Qualification South America
-
Colombia
2 : 2
Uruguay
WC Qualification South America
-
Chile
0 : 0
Colombia
WC Qualification South America
Colombia lineup
Goalkeeper
-
12
Camilo Vargas
Defenders
-
17
Cristian Borja
-
3
Jhon Lucumi
-
23
Davinson Sanchez
-
21
Daniel Munoz
Midfielders
-
8
Jorge Carrascal
-
5
Kevin Castano
-
7
Luis Diaz
-
10
James Rodríguez
-
15
Mateus Uribe
Forwards
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19
Rafael Borre
4 Reasons why we expect Under 2.5
- Each of Paraguay's opening five qualifying matches has seen no more than one goal.
- Paraguay has kept a clean sheet in each of their last five home matches.
- Colombia has finished both of their qualifying away matches without scoring against Chile and Ecuador.
- There have been no more than 2.5 goals in four consecutive head-to-head matches between these national teams.
Main prediction Paraguay - Colombia
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
Do you agree with don_ andres ?
12 votes
Yes 67%
12 votes
No 33%
Additional predictions
Draw
Best odds:3.21
BTTS - NO
Best odds:1.73
Paraguay & Colombia current standing in WC Qualification South America
Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Argentina | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 - 2 | +6 | 15 |
2 | Uruguay | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 - 5 | +8 | 13 |
3 | Colombia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 - 3 | +3 | 12 |
4 | Venezuela | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 - 3 | +3 | 9 |
5 | Ecuador | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 - 3 | +2 | 8 |
6 | Brazil | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 - 7 | +1 | 7 |
7 | Paraguay | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 - 3 | -2 | 5 |
8 | Chile | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 - 7 | -4 | 5 |
9 | Bolivia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 - 14 | -10 | 3 |
10 | Peru | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 - 8 | -7 | 2 |