Contents
- Competition: Bundesliga, Relegation Playout
- Date: Monday, 25th May, 2026
- Kickoff: 19:30 UK / 20:30 CEST
- Venue: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn)
After a goalless draw in the first leg of the Bundesliga Relegation Playout, Paderborn and Wolfsburg will face off in the second leg. Paderborn are looking to return to the German top flight after five years, while Wolfsburg battle to avoid relegation for the first time since their promotion to the Bundesliga in 1997.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this highly important match.
SC Paderborn vs VfL Wolfsburg Head to Head (H2H) stats
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VfL Wolfsburg
0 : 0
SC Paderborn
Bundesliga Play-offs
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SC Paderborn
2 : 4
VfL Wolfsburg
Bundesliga
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VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 1
SC Paderborn
Bundesliga
-
VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 3
SC Paderborn
Club Friendlies 1
-
SC Paderborn
1 : 3
VfL Wolfsburg
Bundesliga
-
VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 1
SC Paderborn
Bundesliga
These teams met in the first leg at Wolfsburg, only a few days ago, with the game ending as a goalless draw. However, Wolfsburg were a much better team, having 63% ball possession and 15 more goal attempts. Looking further back, these teams have met a total of eight times. Paderborn won once, while Wolfsburg won four times.
When it comes to the number of goals, four of the past eight H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in six of them.
Paderborn team overview
Paderborn have gradually improved over the past years. They missed the Playoffs last year only by one point, and this year missed direct promotion only because of a worse goal difference than the 2nd-placed Elversberg. Still, after a goalless draw with Wolfsburg on the road, they have a really good opportunity to go up. They are still an underdog by the bookies but have put themselves in a good position before the second leg.
Left wing-back Jonah Sticker is unavailable for the upcoming tie. The 22-year-old received yellow cards in the 92nd and 94th minutes and will serve his suspension because of it. However, he hasn't played well lately, and his absence might not be as big a problem as it seems. Additionally, Raphael Obermair should remain sidelined with his ACL injury.
Last matches of SC Paderborn
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VfL Wolfsburg
0 : 0
SC Paderborn
Bundesliga Play-offs
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Darmstadt 98
0 : 2
SC Paderborn
2. Bundesliga
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SC Paderborn
2 : 2
Karlsruher SC
2. Bundesliga
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Elversberg
5 : 1
SC Paderborn
2. Bundesliga
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SC Paderborn
2 : 3
Schalke 04
2. Bundesliga
SC Paderborn lineup
Goalkeeper
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41
Dennis Seimen
Defenders
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25
Tjark Scheller
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4
Calvin Brackelmann
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22
Mattes Hansen
Midfielders
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17
Laurin Curda
-
7
Filip Bilbija
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5
Santiago Castañeda
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26
Sebastian Klaas
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2
Ruben Müller
Forwards
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9
Nick Bätzner
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30
Stefano Marino
Wolfsburg team overview
Wolfsburg haven't been at a desired level in recent matches, but have still been in the middle of the league table. This season, the team from Lower Saxony had an atrocious campaign and eventually avoided direct relegation in the last game of the season against another relegation candidate, St. Pauli. Generally speaking, they started playing better in the final few games of the season, losing only 1:0 to Bayern Munich in the past six matches.
Midfieler Vini Souza served his one-game suspension and will be available for the final game of the season. The 26-year-old Brazilian started in the previous ten games before suspension and was probably one of the team's best players during that stretch. On the other hand, seven players who missed the previous games with injuries should remain sidelined - Maximilian Arnold, Bence Dardai, Kilian Fischer, Rogerio, Jenson Seelt, Patrick Wimmer, and Jonas Wind.
Last matches of VfL Wolfsburg
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VfL Wolfsburg
0 : 0
SC Paderborn
Bundesliga Play-offs
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St Pauli
1 : 3
VfL Wolfsburg
Bundesliga
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VfL Wolfsburg
0 : 1
Bayern Munich
Bundesliga
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SC Freiburg
1 : 1
VfL Wolfsburg
Bundesliga
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VfL Wolfsburg
0 : 0
Borussia M`gladbach
Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg lineup
Goalkeeper
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1
Kamil Grabara
Defenders
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3
Denis Vavro
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6
Jeanuël Belocian
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4
Konstantinos Koulierakis
Midfielders
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32
Mattias Svanberg
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26
Saël Kumbedi
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5
Vini Souza
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24
Christian Eriksen
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21
Joakim Maehle
Forwards
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17
Dzenan Pejcinovic
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9
Mohamed Amoura
Prediction
In the first H2H game, we saw a goalless draw. To be fair, Wolfsburg created some good chances, but they weren't really clear-cut ones. Also, in total, these teams have had only 1.59xG, and with promotion/relegation on the line, we do not expect a different type of match.
Also, in the previous games, Wolfsburg were excellent for this type of bet, going under 2.5 goals in four of the past five games. The main reason for that is the fact that they heavily improved on the defensive end. We saw that in the Paderborn game as they completely shut down the opposing team, and we expect them to do the same on the road.
Considering what we saw in the first leg and all the above, we believe that an under 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for the upcoming tie.
3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals
- The first leg finished as a goalless draw
- Wolfsburg went under 2.5 goals in four of the past five games.
- Wolfsburg scored one or zero goals in 8 out of the past 11 games - 73%
Main prediction SC Paderborn - VfL Wolfsburg
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds: