Nice vs Brest prediction 17.05.2025 | Ligue 1

• Competition: Ligue 1
• Date: Saturday, 17th May, 2025
• Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
• Venue: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

The French Ligue 1 is slowly coming to an end. While PSG won the title again, in this last round, Nice, Lille, and Strasbourg, which are level in points, are trying to secure the desired fourth place and the Champions League Qualifiers next season.

Last year, Nice finished fifth, just four points away from the Champions League Qualifiers. This year, the Eaglets are in a much better position to secure those Qualifiers. Right now, they are in fourth place with 57, tied with Lille and Strasbourg. However, they have a four and six-goal advantage over those teams, and with a potential win, they will very likely secure that fourth place.

On the other hand, Brest are without a motive in this match. They sit in eighth place without a chance of moving upwards to the European spots. Last year, they had a much better placement (3rd place), but we can't consider this season a big failure because the popular Pirates are definitely not among the best teams in France. Before the last season, they were constantly in the lower part of the league's table.

Nice vs Brest pick: Nice to win and cover the -1 AH spread

Nice were on a great three-game winning streak before losing the last match 2:0 away from home vs Rennes. They even won 3:1 against PSG during that three-game stretch. But even in that loss, the Eaglets were good and deserved a draw. Now, in the last game of the season, they have a massive motive to win because that would secure them the CL Qualifiers. Additionally, at home, the Eaglets did great, winning 10 out of 16 games (62.5%). Only PSG and Monaco had more wins at home this year.

Brest won back-to-back games against Montpellier and Lille, but both of them were at home. Away from home, they haven't been great, winning once in the last six games while allowing a total of 18 goals - three per game! We doubt they can secure a positive result in this motiveless game with that kind of defensive performance.

In the first h2h game this season, Nice won 1:0 at Stade Francis-Le Blé in Brest. Considering the difference in motive, Nice's home-pitch advantage, and Brest's poor road record in recent games, we believe the hosts should secure a comfortable win.