Napoli vs Atalanta prediction 11/03/2023

• Date: 11/03/2023
• Competition: Serie A
• KO: 17:00 GMT / 18:00 CET
• Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Napoli)

Serie A leaders Napoli will be looking to get back to winning ways on Saturday when they host an always-dangerous Atalanta at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.

While still boasting a massive 15-point advantage at the summit of the division, Napoli would suffer a rare home loss, with Lazio scoring a well-earned 1:0 win at this venue last Sunday, denying Luciano Spalletti´s side the opportunity to extend their lead to 18 points.

Now, with a first Scudetto in over 30 years still very much in their sights, the Neopolitans will need to be wary of the challenge of a visiting La Dea that needs to find some form, having won just one of their previous five Serie A matches.

Napoli vs Atalanta Betting Tips: Napoli to win / BTTS

Following the disappointing loss last weekend, we expect a return to more entertaining affairs in Naples, with this fixture so often proving an exciting one in years gone by. In fact, nine of the last 11 meetings between these rivals since 2018 saw BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored, including each of their last five over the past two years. A total of 22 goals were scored in those five most recent matches, with Napoli winning successive matches in Bergamo, having lost each of the previous three.

Indeed, at this venue, Atalanta have a pretty decent record in recent seasons. La Dea have won three and lost just one of their last six in Naples. In addition, six of the last seven meetings between these sides at this venue saw BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored, while just five of their last 20 matches since 2014 did not see both teams hitting the net.

More recently, Atalanta have struggled in Serie A somewhat, with just four points and three goals scored in their five most recent league matches. Yet, having won on their travels at Lazio already this year, it would be unwise to dismiss the challenge of a side with such an excellent record in this fixture in seasons gone by.

Still, Napoli have been so dominant at home this year, with last weekend´s loss against the Romans ending a nine-match Serie A winning streak in Naples, and it seems hard to imagine them losing back-to-back matches, particularly with Atalanta struggling for form in recent matches.

Ultimately, we expect the hosts to get back to winning ways, although goals at both ends have every chance in a fixture that so often proves an enjoyable and high-scoring occasion.