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Moldova vs Italy prediction 13.11.2025 | World Cup Qualifiers

Moldova

Moldova

Kick off:

Date:

Italy

Italy

1

49.00

X

12.00

2

1.05

  • Competition: World Cup Qualifiers
  • Date: 13th November 2025
  • Kick-off: 19:45 UTC / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Zimbru Stadium

Moldova welcome Italy to Chișinău on Thursday evening as they continue their search for a first victory in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. Sixteen points separate these two sides in Group I, with Italy flying high near the top and Moldova struggling at the bottom. The odds clearly lean towards the visitors, but the home side will be eager to put on a fight in front of their fans. This preview dives into team form, key stats, and where the betting value might lie.

Moldova vs Italy Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Italy

    2 : 0

    Moldova

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Italy

    6 : 0

    Moldova

    Friendly International

  3. Italy

    2 : 1

    Moldova

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Moldova

    0 : 1

    Italy

    WC Qualification Europe

These two nations have met four times since 2004, with Italy winning all of them comfortably. The Azzurri not only claimed victory in every game but also kept three clean sheets, highlighting their dominance. These encounters produced an average of three goals per match.

Moldova

Moldova team overview

Moldova’s struggles on the international stage are well-documented. They finished bottom of their qualifying group in each of the last two World Cup campaigns without picking up a single win.

Six games into the current cycle, little has changed. Lilian Popescu’s team have yet to taste victory, collecting only one point from six matches.

Their poor start included five straight defeats before a 1-1 draw with Estonia last month finally broke the losing streak. That result extended Moldova’s winless run across all competitions to nine matches but at least there’s been some improvement in attack - they’ve scored in their last three outings.

For Thursday’s clash, Mihail Caimacov and Ion Nicolaescu, who have each found the net once in qualifying, are expected to lead the line as the hosts look to spring a surprise.

Last matches of Moldova

  1. Estonia

    1 : 1

    Moldova

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Romania

    2 : 1

    Moldova

    Friendly International

  3. Norway

    11 : 1

    Moldova

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Moldova

    0 : 4

    Israel

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Italy

    2 : 0

    Moldova

    WC Qualification Europe

Moldova lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Andriy Kozhukhar

Defenders

  • 2

    Oleg Reabciuk

  • 6

    Mihail Gherasimencov

  • 4

    Vladislav Baboglo

  • 14

    Artur Crăciun

  • 16

    Danila Forov

Midfielders

  • 18

    Victor Bogaciuc

  • 22

    Vadim Rață

  • 11

    Mihail Caimacov

Forwards

  • 17

    Virgiliu Postolachi

  • 21

    Sergiu Perciun

Italy

Italy team overview

Italy, meanwhile, are on a mission to right the wrongs of the past after missing the last two World Cups. Gennaro Gattuso’s men sit second in the group, three points behind leaders Norway, and they know that nothing but a win will do before their crucial showdown with the Norwegians this weekend.

The Azzurri come into this match brimming with confidence after five straight wins, powered by a ruthless attack that has scored at least three goals in four of those games.

Goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma, now thriving at Manchester City, has been a steady presence between the posts, while Sandro Tonali is expected to control the midfield after a string of impressive performances for Newcastle United.

Last matches of Italy

  1. Italy

    3 : 0

    Israel

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Israel

    4 : 5

    Italy

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Italy

    5 : 0

    Estonia

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Italy

    2 : 0

    Moldova

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Norway

    3 : 0

    Italy

    WC Qualification Europe

Italy lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gianluigi Donnarumma

Defenders

  • 22

    Giovanni Di Lorenzo

  • 23

    Gianluca Mancini

  • 3

    Federico Dimarco

  • 13

    Riccardo Calafiori

Midfielders

  • 18

    Nicolò Barella

  • 5

    Manuel Locatelli

  • 8

    Sandro Tonali

Forwards

  • 20

    Andrea Cambiaso

  • 9

    Mateo Retegui

  • 10

    Giacomo Raspadori

Prediction

Italy head into this clash full of confidence after five straight wins and a dominant attacking run, while Moldova continue to search for their first win in almost a year. The hosts may show some fight and could find the net with home support behind them, but the Azzurri’s superior quality and depth should prove too much to handle. Expect Italy to control the game, score multiple goals, and extend their winning streak in Chișinău.

Three reasons we expect at least three goals in this game

  1. Moldova have conceded at least three goals in four of their last six matches.
  2. Italy scored three or more goals in each of their last four matches.
  3. Two of the last three meetings between Moldova and Italy produced over 2.5 goals.

Main prediction Moldova - Italy

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

61% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

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Best Odds:

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1.34

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Moldova vs Italy standings in WC Qualification Europe

Group I P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Norway 6 6 0 0 29 - 3 +26 18
2 Italy 6 5 0 1 18 - 8 +10 15
3 Israel 7 3 0 4 15 - 19 -4 9
4 Estonia 7 1 1 5 7 - 17 -10 4
5 Moldova 6 0 1 5 4 - 26 -22 1

Moldova vs Italy – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Thursday’s World Cup Qualification encounter between Moldova and Italy on Sofascore.

? How many corner kicks have Moldova won on average in their last five games in this competition?

7.00

? What is the average number of yellow cards Italy receive in their last five games in this competition?

1.60