Luton Town vs Sunderland prediction 16.05.2023

Luton Town F.C.

Luton Town F.C.

2 : 0

Sunderland

Sunderland

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  • Competition: Championship, Playoff Semi-Finals, 2nd leg
  • Date: Tuesday, 16th May 2023
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

In the second leg of the Championship Playoff Semi-Finals, we are headed to Luton after a 2:1 for Sunderland. We saw a close match in the first leg, where Sunderland had more chances and better possession. Still, according to the xG, Luton Town had better chances and should have scored 1.01 goals, while Sunderland should score just 0.44 goals despite having 60% ball possession. 

Luton Town achieved three promotions since the 2013/14 season and looking for its fourth through the playoffs. The last season they finished sixth and were eliminated by Huddersfield in the semi-finals. This season, The Hatters finished the season third, behind Burnley and Sheffield Utd, and secured the playoffs a long time ago. 

Before the loss to Sunderland, The Hatters were on a 14-game unbeaten run, and this one loss shouldn't affect such a good team as Luton. 

Sunderland achieved promotion last season through the playoffs in League One after finishing 5th in the regular phase, and this season they are trying to replicate that scenario. They barely made the playoffs and were tied with Blackburn for that 6th place with 69 points, but they had a better goal difference.

Just like Luton Town, Sunderland played very well in the last part of the season. They extended their unbeaten run to ten with a win in the first leg of the Playoffs Semi-Finals.

Luton Town vs Sunderland pick: Luton Town to win

Through the regular season, Luton Town have been great and deservedly finished third. They were also superb at home in the final part of the season, with five wins and one draw in the last six games. During that period, they managed to keep a clean sheet four times! 

Sunderland finished the season strongly, but they mainly played against teams from the bottom half of the league table. 

Sunderland are having a massive problem with injured players. They will miss at least eight important players. 

In the first leg, Sunderland won by 2:1 in a fairly even match. We will most likely see another close game, but we feel Luton Town have an advantage over Sunderland at Kenilworth Road.

Luton Town F.C. vs Sunderland Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Luton Town F.C.

    2 : 0

    Sunderland

    Championship

  2. Sunderland

    2 : 1

    Luton Town F.C.

    Championship

  3. Sunderland

    1 : 1

    Luton Town F.C.

    Championship

  4. Luton Town F.C.

    1 : 1

    Sunderland

    Championship

  5. Sunderland

    1 : 1

    Luton Town F.C.

    League One

Luton Town F.C.

Luton Town team news

After a 2:1 loss in the first leg, coach Rob Edwards spoke to the media. He said his team needed to have the ball more, but in terms of chances, it was an even match. "We are right in the tie, and that is where we wanted to be before heading back home. We will recover and analyze the game and see where we can be better," he added. 

For this match, coach Edwards will have the entire squad available.

Last matches of Luton Town F.C.

  1. Coventry City

    1 : 1

    Luton Town F.C.

    Championship

  2. Luton Town F.C.

    2 : 0

    Sunderland

    Championship

  3. Sunderland

    2 : 1

    Luton Town F.C.

    Championship

  4. Luton Town F.C.

    0 : 0

    Hull City

    Championship

  5. Blackburn Rovers

    1 : 1

    Luton Town F.C.

    Championship

Luton Town F.C. lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 34

    Ethan Horvath

Defenders

  • 32

    Gabriel Osho

  • 4

    Tom Lockyer

  • 29

    Amari'i Bell

Midfielders

  • 2

    Cody Drameh

  • 18

    Jordan Clark

  • 13

    Marvelous Nakamba

  • 17

    Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu

  • 45

    Alfie Doughty

Forwards

  • 9

    Carlton Morris

  • 11

    Elijah Adebayo

Sunderland

Sunderland team news

After the 2:1 win in the first leg, coach Tony Mowbray was satisfied with a win. He said they will go to Luton and try to win the game. "We won't be protecting anything. We won't be trying to slow the game down, and we won't be putting loads of men at the back," he added.

Sunderland are having huge problems with injuries, especially at the back. After the game, coach Mowbray admitted that Dennis Cirkin is unlikely to be fit for the second leg. 

Three other center-backs are also injured (Daniel Ballard, Danny Batth, and Aji Alese), and the team is without a real center-back. Trai Hume (full back) and Luke O'Nien (midfielder) will likely start as center-backs once again. 

Four more players are also injured: midfielders Elliot Embleton, Jewison Bennette, Corry Evans, and forward Ross Stewart.

Last matches of Sunderland

  1. Luton Town F.C.

    2 : 0

    Sunderland

    Championship

  2. Sunderland

    2 : 1

    Luton Town F.C.

    Championship

  3. Preston North End

    0 : 3

    Sunderland

    Championship

  4. Sunderland

    2 : 2

    Watford

    Championship

  5. West Bromwich Albion

    1 : 2

    Sunderland

    Championship

Sunderland lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Anthony Patterson

Defenders

  • 10

    Patrick Roberts

  • 32

    Trai Hume

  • 13

    Luke O'Nien

  • 11

    Lynden Gooch

Midfielders

  • 16

    Amad Diallo

  • 24

    Dan Neil

  • 39

    Pierre Ekwah

  • 20

    Jack Clarke

Forwards

  • 21

    Alex Pritchard

  • 28

    Joe Gelhardt

3 Reasons why we should see Luton Town win against Sunderland

  1. Luton Town won five of the last six home games
  2. Luton Town kept a clean sheet in four of the previous six home games
  3. Sunderland will miss many important players, including all four of their center-backs

Main prediction Luton Town F.C. - Sunderland

Luton Town F.C. to win

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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38 votes

Yes 61%

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Additional predictions

BTTS

Best odds:1.8

Over 2.5

Best odds:2.13

Team 2 to Win

Best odds:4.11

Luton Town F.C. & Sunderland current standing in Championship

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Burnley 46 29 14 3 87 - 35 +52 101
2 Sheffield United 46 28 7 11 73 - 39 +34 91
3 Luton Town 46 21 17 8 57 - 39 +18 80
4 Middlesbrough 46 22 9 15 84 - 56 +28 75
5 Coventry City 46 18 16 12 58 - 46 +12 70
6 Sunderland 46 18 15 13 68 - 55 +13 69
7 Blackburn Rovers 46 20 9 17 52 - 54 -2 69
8 Millwall 46 19 11 16 57 - 50 +7 68
9 West Bromwich Albion 46 18 12 16 59 - 53 +6 66
10 Swansea City 46 18 12 16 68 - 64 +4 66
11 Watford 46 16 15 15 56 - 53 +3 63
12 Preston North End 46 17 12 17 45 - 59 -14 63
13 Norwich City 46 17 11 18 57 - 54 +3 62
14 Bristol City 46 15 14 17 55 - 56 -1 59
15 Hull City 46 14 16 16 51 - 61 -10 58
16 Stoke City 46 14 11 21 55 - 54 +1 53
17 Birmingham City 46 14 11 21 47 - 58 -11 53
18 Huddersfield Town 46 14 11 21 47 - 62 -15 53
19 Rotherham United 46 11 17 18 49 - 60 -11 50
20 Queens Park Rangers 46 13 11 22 44 - 71 -27 50
21 Cardiff City 46 13 10 23 41 - 58 -17 49
22 Reading 46 13 11 22 46 - 68 -22 44
23 Blackpool 46 11 11 24 48 - 72 -24 44
24 Wigan Athletic 46 10 15 21 38 - 65 -27 39

Luton Town vs Sunderland - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.
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How many goals should Luton Town score at home, according to xG statistics?

Luton Town should score 1.79 goals.
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How many goals should Sunderland score on the road, according to xG statistics?

Sunderland should score 1.34 goals.