Luton Town vs Burnley prediction 03.10.2023

• Competition: Premier League
• Date: Tuesday, 3rd October 2023
• Kickoff: 19:30 UK / 20:30 CEST
• Venue: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Luton Town made an incredible run in the last few years, achieving three promotions in six seasons and reaching the Premier League. However, the season in the English top-flight division did not start the best for the Hatters, considering they are 17th with four points in six rounds. Still, to be fair, many football experts expected such a start, and this is no surprise. Still, the last two rounds vs Wolves and Everton are a reason for the optimism. 

Burnley had a dominant last season, securing the Championship title by winning 101 points and leaving the 2nd-placed Sheffield United ten points behind. Even though most people expected them to have the best season of all Premier League newcomers, that has not been the case for now. At the moment, the Clarets are 19th, with just one point in six rounds.

Luton Town vs Burnley pick: Under 2.5 goals

Luton Town have big problems offensively this season. They scored only five goals in six rounds, and even though five goals in six rounds doesn't sound that bad, they only scored one from open play! The rest were from penalties or set pieces. Primarily due to a poor offense, The Hatters were three times under 2.5 goals in the last four games.

Burnley had a terrible start to the season, but to be fair, they had a very tough schedule. But still, only four goals scored in six rounds is unacceptable for this team. Lately, in the last three Premier League games, they scored only once and were under 2.5 goals all three times.

In the last season, these teams played two h2h games and were both times under 2.5 goals. Additionally, the previous five h2h games finished with fewer than three goals. Considering the previous h2h games and the current goalscoring form of both teams, we feel that the under 2.5 goals is the safest option for this tie.